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WiMAX: Wireless Super-Chips


Description: WiMAX has tremendous potential to offer a global standardized broadband wireless platform. However, the market will face several hurdles in the near term, some of which include a solid migration path to mobile WiMAX (802.16e) from fixed WiMAX (WiMAX-2004), competition from ever-evolving 3G and Wi-Fi technologies, and commitment from service providers to building out WiMAX networks. This report includes two forecast scenarios, one conservative and one aggressive. WiMAX chipset shipments and revenues are broken down into the following equipment segments: CPE (modems and gateways), Point-to-Multipoint Base Stations, Point-to-Point Base Stations, Clients (external and embedded), and Mobile Handsets. The report includes WiMAX vendor profiles, with background information on providers of PHY and MAC solutions, and radio front-end providers. WiBro (basically a service offered in South Korea that is based on mobile WiMAX) is also covered, with the overall WiMAX forecast numbers including any WiBro chipsets.

This report found the following:

- Despite tremendous hype around WiMAX, the WiMAX chipset market has a relatively small number of players, as the market is quite nascent.

- There has been much innovation in WiMAX chipsets this year. Heavyweights Intel and Fujitsu released WiMAX PHY and MAC System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions this year, along with start-ups Sequans and Wavesat. Signal processing specialist, picoChip, powered the market for macro base stations chipsets, with its software reference designs.

- Intel, perhaps WiMAX's biggest cheerleader, has the power to drive mobile WiMAX into becoming a standard embedded feature within mobile PCs, as Intel did with Wi-Fi in its Centrino mobile platform.

The report, WiMAX: Wireless Super-Chips includes a five-year forecast of the worldwide WiMAX chipset market, broken out by equipment type. It includes as "WiMAX" those chipsets that adhere to Fixed WiMAX (802.16-2004), Mobile WiMAX (802.16e), and WiBro (South Korea's mobile broadband service based on Mobile WiMAX). Also included are those chipsets that are WiMAX-ready (and adhere to 802.16-2004) that shipped, or will ship in 2005 and 2006, although not certified by the WiMAX Forum. The report also contains analysis of WiMAX chipset technology, market drivers and challenges, and brief profiles of chipset vendors.


Contents: Executive Summary

Methodology

Introduction

WiMAX Overview
- Fixed WiMAX
- Mobile WiMAX
- WiBro

WiMAX Technology Architecture

- PHY—OFDM
OFDM-256, OFDMA, and SOFDMA
- MAC
- WiMAX Enhancements
- Frequencies

Competitive Technology Landscape

State of the WiMAX Market

- Overview: BWA Market Pre-WiMAX
- 2005 Happenings: WiMAX Chips, End-Products, and Commercial Services Debut
WiMAX ICs—2005
WiMAX End-Products and Commercial Services—2005
WiBro

WiMAX Chipset Design
- Primary WiMAX Chipset Components
- Design Considerations
Power
Range
Overcoming Multipath Interference
Process
Chipset Type

WiMAX Market Drivers & Challenges
- WiMAX Market Drivers
- WiMAX Challenges

WiMAX Chipset Forecasts
- WiMAX Equipment Timeline: Optimistic
- WiMAX Equipment Segments Breakdown
- Geographic Breakdowns
- Conservative Forecast
- Aggressive Forecast

WiMAX IC Vendors
- PHY/MAC Providers
- WiMAX Radio Front-End Providers
- Other WiMAX IC Players to Watch

Conclusion

List of Tables
Table 1. 802.16 Family of Standards
Table 2. Worldwide WiMAX Licensed and License-Exempt Bands (Units)
Table 3. WiMAX Competitive/Complementary Technology Landscape
Table 4. IC Vendor Quick Summary
Table 5. WiMAX: Competitive Opportunities and Threats
Table 6. WiMAX Forecast Assumptions: Aggressive vs. Conservative
Table 7. Worldwide WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Conservative
Table 8. Geographic Breakdown: Conservative WiMAX Chipset Forecast Revenues (US$)
Table 9. WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Aggressive
Table 10. Geographic Breakdown: Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Revenues Forecast (in US$)
Table 11. WiMAX IC Vendor Matrix

List of Figures
Figure 1. WiMAX Revenue Forecasts: Aggressive and Conservative
Figure 2. WiMAX Point-to-Multipoint
Figure 3. Outline of WiMAX Reference Design for WiMAX CPE Modem—Wavesat
Figure 4. Intel's PRO/Wireless 5116 CPE System Diagram
Figure 5. Sequans' PHY and MAC SoC Solution—SQN1010 Subscriber Station Chip
Figure 6. Conservative vs. Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Shipment Forecast
Figure 7. Conservative vs. Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Revenues Forecast (US$)
Figure 8. WiMAX Equipment Roll-Out Timeline: Optimistic
Figure 9. Conservative WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Units and Revenues in Millions
Figure 10. Conservative WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Units Breakdown by Device Segment
Figure 11. Geographic Breakdown: Conservative WiMAX Chipset Revenues (US$ in Millions)
Figure 12. Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Unit Shipments and Revenues in Millions
Figure 13. Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Forecast: Unit Breakdown by Device Segment
Figure 14. Geographic Breakdown: Aggressive WiMAX Chipset Revenues Forecast





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