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WiMAX: Challenging the Status Quo


Description: WiMAX has an excellent opportunity to expand the market for fixed, portable and mobile broadband access. Though traction in the 802.16-2004 (fixed) market will be important, the real success of WiMAX will depend on the much larger 802.16(e) market. This report evalutes the market potential for WiMAX in these applications, the technologies that will compete with WiMAX and the potential outcomes. Worldwide estimates for WiMAX subscribers, base stations and CPE are provided in conservative and aggressive forecasts.


Contents: Executive Summary

Methodology

Definition

Key Features

Security

Bandwidth

Non-Line-of-Sight (NLOS)

Coverage

Spectrum

Industry Support

Benefits

Applications

Demand

Alternatives

Wireline

Wireless
Proprietary BWA
WiFi
3G

Ecosystem

Availability

Challenges

Spectrum

802.16-2004 Competition

802.16-2004 Target Markets

802.16-2004 Vendor Selection

Timing

802.16(e) Competition
Forecasts

Equipment

Subscribers

Conclusion

List of Tables
Table 1. World Internet Usage and Population Statistics
Table 2. PC Penetration by Country (Units in Millions)
Table 3. WiMAX Addresses Proprietary BWA Failures
Table 4. WiMAX Evolution
Table 5. Licensed vs. Unlicensed Bands
Table 6. Business and Residential Market Characteristics
Table 7. Risks and Benefits of Early and Late Market Entry
Table 8. Wireless Network Challenge

List of Figures
Figure 1. Total Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers
Figure 2. IEEE-defined Area Network Technologies
Figure 3. NLOS Range for Rural Deployment at 3.5GHz
Figure 4. WiMAX Industry Support
Figure 5. Impact of Interoperability on WiFi Equipment Sales (Units in Millions)
Figure 6. GSM Market Share
Figure 7. WiMAX Applications
Figure 8. WiMAX Ecosystem by Brand Name
Figure 9. Players in the WiMAX Ecosystem
Figure 10. WiMAX Availability
Figure 11. WiMAX Deployment Band in 2006 and 2007 Figure 12. Changing Global Spectrum Mix
Figure 13. OECD Broadband Subscriptions by Technology
Figure 14. Broadband Subscribers per 100 Inhabitants in OECD Countries
Figure 15. Nomadic Mode Offers Service Differentiator over Fixed Access
Figure 16. SME Market Attractiveness
Figure 17. Clearwire Desktop CPE Supplied by NextNet
Figure 18. Worldwide 802.16-2004 CPE Shipment Forecast (Units)
Figure 19. Average Selling Price Forecast for 802.16-2004 CPE
Figure 20. Worldwide WiMAX Base Station Shipment Forecast (Units)
Figure 21. Average Selling Price Forecast for WiMAX Base Stations
Figure 22. Worldwide WiMAX Equipment Forecast ($)
Figure 23. WiMAX Equipment Market Forecasts by Region, ($) (Aggressive)
Figure 24. WiMAX Equipment Market Forecast by Region (Conservative)
Figure 25. Relationship of GDP per Capita to Broadband Penetration
Figure 26. Equipment Forecast by Frequency
Figure 27. Accumulated 802.16-2004 Subscribers Forecast
Figure 28. 802.16(e) Subscriber Forecast
Figure 29. Worldwide WiMAX Subscriber Forecast






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