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Zambia Mining Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3389268
  • September 2015
  • Region: Zambia
  • 57 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Zambia's mining royalty reversal will boost the sector's investment attractiveness. However, mineral policy uncertainty will continue to limit the sector's growth outlook until the country's Presidential elections in 2016.

The April 20, 2015, decision by the Zambian government's decision to slash mining royalties will bolster the country's mining sector growth outlook. The new royalty tax will come into effect on July 1 2015 and will cut royalties on open pit mining from 20.0% to 9.0%. The downwards revision supports our view that the royalty tax would be unsustainable in its current form (see 'Tax Moderation On The Cards' January 9).

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SWOT

Industry Forecast

Copper: Short-Term Decline, Long-Term Growth Potential
Table: Zambia - Major New Copper Projects/ Expansions
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Zambia 2014-2019)

Coal: Sold Growth, Despite Weak Project Pipeline
Table: Zambia - Coal Projects
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Zambia 2014-2019)

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

Zambia Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Africa: Headwinds To Slow Growth

Key Takeaways:

Latest Revisions:
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index

Regulatory Development

Zambia- Regulatory Development- Policy Uncertainty To Curb Growth

Commodities Forecast

Global - Metals: Lower Costs And Weak Demand To Anchor Prices

Metal Price Weakness: Chinese Equity Slump & US Dollar Strength

US Dollar Strength To Anchor Weak Metal Prices

Competitive Landscape
Table: Zambia Key Players - Comparative Valuation Metrics

Company Profile

Global Company Strategy - Vedanta Resources - Q4 2015

Latest Financial Results

Company Strategy
Table: Vedanta Resources - Supply Chain Analysis

Company Details
Table: Vedanta Resources - Key Financial Data

First Quantum - Q4 2015

Latest Results
Table: First Quantum: Key Financial Data

Regional Overview

Africa Mining: The Four Key Themes

Key Themes

SSA Gold: Stagnation, But DRC To Shine Bright

Iron Ore Price Weakness To Curb Growth

Regulatory Uncertainty To Curb Growth

Mining To Remain Key Contributor To GDP

Global Industry Overview

Global Mining: 2015 Key Themes Revisited
Table: Key Mining Themes For 2015

Theme: Mining Capital Expenditure Will Continue To Decline

Theme: US Dollar Strength

Iron Ore Consolidation & Majors Share To Increase

Asian Investment In Africa To Continue

2015's Standouts

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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