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The Dow Theory.com Newsletter
Schannep Timing Indicator & the Dow Theory, June 2012
Our Indicators and our investment strategy are geared to the serious major-trend investor.
The purpose of this indicator is to provide you with the timing needed to maximize your investment returns by knowing when to buy and when to sell in the stock market.
See if any of the following would have been helpful to you over the past several years:
Knowing in 2000 about 'Three Tops and a Tumble', three Special Reports written with the market above 10,900, that each predicted a Bear market and a recession was coming ?
Knowing in March of 2001 that a mild recession was a ‘done deal’? (The following November - 8 months later - the NBER proclaimed March the official start of the recession).
Knowing in September of 2001 that the market was in total capitulation and when that happens Bear markets end? A Special Report written on 9/11 described this truly incredible Indicator. Receiving an E-mail the evening before THE LOW DAY on September 21st, 2001 advising you to Buy at 8367?
Receiving a ‘Heads-Up’ on November 8th, 2001 that the Dow Theory had gotten a BUY signal and you should be fully invested?
Knowing in January of 2002 that the recession was ending? Again, a Special Report that month described another terrific Indicator that identified that the recession was ending. (In July of 2003 - 18 months later - the NBER proclaimed the recession had ended in November of 2001).
Knowing in June of 2002 that the Dow Theory was out of the market at 9126 on the Dow?
Knowing in July of 2002 that the market was once again in total capitulation and the 'end was near' for the Bear market? Receiving an E-mail TWO days before THE first low on July 23rd, 2002 at 8019.
Knowing in October of 2002 that the market was in a second total capitulation at the second of the double bottoms. Receiving an E-mail on THE day of the final low on Oct 9th, 2002 'Only Twice Before in 50 Years, and Now Today' at 7286 reiterating the Buy advice?
Knowing in November of 2002 that the new Bull market was 'official'.
Our subscribers knew ALL of the above. Do you know of any other Market Letter that can say that and have the evidence to back it up?
Our Stock Market Major Trend Timing Indicator has a history of significantly outperforming a Buy & Hold investment strategy, and with less risk. Our interpretation of The Dow Theory which is featured in the new edition of Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Edwards, Magee & Bassetti, and our proprietary Timing Indicator have successfully timed and beaten the stock market over many years. Timing isn't everything (and no, it's not the only thing), but it is one thing that can improve your investment results. There is a time to Buy and Hold and there is a time to Sell and Fold. Take advantage of this impressive investment performance by becoming a subscriber. As a subscriber you will have the following benefits:
- An E-Mail 'Heads-Up' alerting you to a new monthly Letter, and at any signal change, and advice on what you should be doing. This will put Timing on your side!
- Unlimited access to our subscribers website, consisting of our monthly newsletter updating you on our current investment position, and our Special Reports and Archived Letters. This is a wealth of information! Also, a REAL money portfolio for you to follow or use as a benchmark for your investments.
Dear Subscriber,
These are trying times, needless to say. The market cascaded into capitulation last week, as I advised you at the time, and is still there. Apparently, hedge funds and mutual funds, as well as individuals, are being forced to sell due to margin calls, fear, etc (see page 79 in my book). More people are fearful of a more serious recession than the current one which I first proclaimed last January. The credit crisis and financial tsunami that we are in has most people scared to death. It is exactly during fearful times that stock market bottoms are made.
As you know, after capitulation I remove any timeframe for the development of a Dow Theory Buy signal. That means that after Monday's bounce the set-back that has followed did drop by at least a 3% pullback (and held above the lows in a 'test' of the lows) on one or more of the Dow Jones Industrials, Transports, or the S&P500, so I would now add another 25% to the 25% already invested at capitulation (see page 101). Last nights close was just such a set-back. Therefore for those following just the Dow Theory it is time to move to the 50% already invested at capitulation in the Schannep Timing and the Composite Indicators. I will advise you in the November Letter what the plan is for going on to 100% invested in the Dow Theory, and the Schannep Timing and Composite Indicators. Until then, be as patient with the Buy signal as we had to be after our Sell signal waiting for the results that eventually followed.
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