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Canada Autos Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3397265
  • September 2015
  • Region: Canada
  • 63 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Ford Motor
  • General Motors
  • Industry Trend Analysis
  • MORE

With growth of 7.5% y-o-y in 8M15, Canada's light truck segment is still the driving force of the overall market. This has negative connotations, however, when it also makes up the majority of sales in provinces hit by the drop in oil income. Alberta is the most obvious example, underperforming both the national market and other provinces in H115 (latest available sub-national data) with a total sales decline of 9.2% yo-y.

In June alone, truck sales (including SUVs, minivans, trucks and buses), which account for around 77% of total sales due to their dual industrial and private use, fell 16.3% y-o-y.

Alberta has the third highest sales in the national market, and as such, disruptions on a provincial level will eventually filter through to the wider market. As such we have revised down our already conservative growth forecasts for 2016. We now expect a further decline of 2.0% in passenger car sales, which have been on a downtrend on the back of low fuel prices in favour of bigger vehicles. However, we have also slightly lowered our light truck forecast to growth of 2.0% compared with the previous 3.0% growth forecast, as the impact on the oil sector becomes more prominent. Overall, this results in growth of 0.5% for the total light vehicle market.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Ford Motor
  • General Motors
  • Industry Trend Analysis
  • MORE

SWOT

Political

Economic

Industry Forecast

Production, Sales And Trade
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Canada 2013-2019)

Production

Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Canada 2013-2019)
Table: Top 10 New Light Vehicle Sales, 2013-2014 (CBUs)
Table: Top 10 New Light Vehicle Sales, 8M14-8M15 (CBUs)

Three Issues Facing New 'Auto Czar'

1 Incentives

2 Labour Costs

3 Energy Costs

Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Canada 2013-2019)
Table: Class 5 Truck Sales By Brand, H114-H115
Table: Class 6 Truck Sales By Brand, H114-H115
Table: Class 7 Truck Sales By Brand, H114-H115
Table: Class 8 Truck Sales By Brand, H114-H115

Suppliers

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis
Table: Canada Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Average Oil Price Forecasts (USD/bbl)
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Net Exports Forecasts

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings

Industry Risk Reward Index

Mexico Move Reflects Investor Activity

Brazil On The Bubble

Central America A Work In Progress

Company Profile

Industry Trend Analysis

Ford Motor

General Motors

Regional Overview

Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Latin America - Production Investment Q215

Global Industry Overview

1 Currency Weakness Hurting African Growth

2 Increasing Local Content In Trouble Spots

3 SUVs Rolling On

4 Tech/Autos Lines Are Blurring

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecasts

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Industry Trend Analysis

Ford Motor

General Motors

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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