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Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3397268
  • September 2015
  • Region: Spain
  • 74 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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In 2012, the industrial production index for chemicals declined 0.7% on average, while for rubber and plastic products it plummeted an average of 9.0%, compared with growth of 0.2% and -1.5% respectively in 2011. In the first four months of 2013, the chemicals production index fell by a further 7.3% while the rubber and plastics index fell by 5.0%. This signalled a deterioration of chemical and petrochemicals performance in H113. Although there was an uptick in April, the operating environment has not changed radically to support a sustained recovery.

With the rest of the eurozone caught up in a pronounced slowdown, Spain's capacity to export its way out of recession has disappeared entirely. We estimated that GDP contracted 1.4% in 2012 and the recession should deepen in 2013, when growth should fall to -1.7%. Only a fiscal stimulus is likely to provide a turnaround to escape the debt-deflationary trap Spain is in, but this appears off the cards over the next year.

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SWOT

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast
Table: Spain Oil, Gas & Petrochemicals - Historical Data & Forecasts

Macroeconomic Forecast

Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Spain 2010-2019)

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings

Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index

Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)

Spain Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index

Market Overview

Market Structure
Table: Spain's Polymer Capacity

Industry Trends And Developments

Upstream
Table: Refineries In Spain

Company Profile

Cia Española de Petróleos (Cepsa)

Repsol YPF
Table: Repsol - Financial Results (EURmn)

Regional Overview

Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins

Trouble In The East

Global Industry Overview

Could US Gas Run out?

Project Curtailments

Medium-term Outlook

Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025)

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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Cia Española de Petróleos (Cepsa)

Repsol YPF

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