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2005-2006 Annual Report on China Feed Market Review & Outlook


Description: With further adjustment and upgrade of livestock and poultry breeding structure, production structure of manufactured feed was also adjusted. Proportion of feed for hog further declined, while feed for chicken increased steadily and proportion of aquatic feed and feed for ruminant was much bigger. Production of formula feed rose a little, and production of condensed feed and additive premix continued to gear up as market demand increased.

A lot of events with far-reaching impact happened on feed market this year. For instance, New Hope Group purchased Shandong Liuhe Group; Tongwei Goup purchased Yuehua Aquatic Feed Co., Ltd and so on. Further more, many animal diseases occurred this year, causing big impact to consumption of livestock products and production and consumption of manufactured feed. However, price of manufactured feed still remained at a comparative high level in the latest years, and price of feed stuff was on a low level. Therefore, general situation of feed market this year seemed better than last year. By October this year, gross output of feed enterprises above designated size was 52.04 million tons, earning gross industrial production of 126.8 billion yuan and sales income of 122.6 million yuan, up 24£¥¡¢27£¥ and 27£¥ from same period last year respectively.

This report comprehensively researches production and consumption of manufactured feed, consumption and import and export of major feed stuff and additive in 2005. In addition, the report analyzes structure of varieties of manufactured feed products, price trends, import and export of feed market and general situation of feed industry. The report also gives comments to key feed producing provinces (Guangdong, Shandong, and Sichuan) and key feed enterprises (New Hope Group, Tongwei Group). It also reviews some big events on feed market in 2005, e.g. disease of porcine streptococcus, bird flu, New Hope Group purchased Shandong Liuhe Goup and Tongwei Group purchased Yuehua Company etc. At the end, there is prospect of China's feed market in 2006.

This research report is base on the information from National General Administration of Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture, National Feed Industry Office, National Feed Industry Association and relevant industries' associations, the Customs General Administration of China and data collecting stations of the company all over the country, so it's of high reliability.


Contents: Chapter One External Macro Environment Of The Feed Industry
1.1 Overview
1.2 Status of Crop Production
1.3 Status of Animal Husbandry and Consumption of Animal Products
1.4 Grain Consumption and Food Security
1.5 Status of Soybean Crushing Industry
1.6 Macro Government Policies

Chapter Two Production and Consumption of Manufactured Feed in 2005
2.1 Production of Manufactured Feed
2.1.1 Capacity, Production and Layout of Feed Industry in 2005
2.1.2 Production and Structure of Manufactured Feed in 2005
2.1.3 Analysis of Monthly Feed Production in 2005
2.1.4 Regional Disparity of Production Growth of Manufactured Feed in 2005
2.1.5 Analysis of Structural Growth of Manufactured Feed in 2005
2.1.6 Evaluation of Manufactured Feed Production in 2005
2.2 Consumption of Manufactured Feed
2.2.1 Consumption of Compound Feed for Pig Fattening
2.2.2 Consumption of Compound Feed for Meat-type Poultry
2.2.3 Consumption of Compound Feed for Egg-type Poultry
2.2.4 Consumption of Feed for Aquatic Production
2.2.5 Consumption of Compound Feed for Ruminant Animals
2.2.6 Consumption of Concentrate and Premix
2.2.7 Price Trend of Main Feed Varieties
2.2.8 Evaluation of Manufactured Feed Consumption in 2005
2.3 Production and Sales of Manufactured Feed in 2005
2.4 Impacts on Feed Production and Consumption from Consumption of Livestock Products
2.4.1 Impacts on Consumption of Livestock Products
2.4.2 Impacts on Export of Livestock Products

Chapter Three Analysis of Feedstuff Market in 2005
3.1 China Corn Market
3.1.1 China Corn Production
3.1.2 China Corn Consumption
3.1.3 China Corn Import and Export
3.1.4 China Corn Price Trend
3.1.5 China Corn Market Prospect in 2006
3.2 China Soymeal Market
3.2.1 China Soymeal Production
3.2.2 China Soymeal Consumption
3.2.3 China Soymeal Import and Export
3.2.4 China Soymeal Price Trend
3.2.5 China Soymeal Prospect in 2006
3.3 Market Analysis of Other Oilseeds
3.3.1 Analysis of Cotton Seed Meal Market
3.3.2 Analysis of Rapeseed Meal Market
3.3.3 Market Analysis of Other Meal Products
3.4 China FishMeal Market
3.4.1 China FishMeal Production
3.4.2 Environmental Pollution of Fishmeal Production
3.4.3 China Fishmeal Consumption
3.4.4 China Fishmeal Import and Export
3.4.5 Fishmeal Substitution
3.4.6 China Fishmeal Price Trend
3.4.7 China Fishmeal Market Prospect in 2006
3.5 Market Analysis of Meat-bone Meal
3.5.1 Production of Meat-bone Meal
3.5.2 Consumption of Meat-bone Meal
3.5.3 Import and Export of Meat-bone Meal
3.5.4 Prospect of Meat-bone Meal Market in 2006
3.6 Price Trend of Main Feedstuff
3.7 Analysis of the Ratio between Corn and Soymeal, and between Soymeal and Fishmeal
3.8 Consumption Structure of Raw Materials of Feed Industry
3.9 Shortage of Protein Feed and Exploration and Utilization of New Protein Feed

Chapter Four Market Analysis of Main Feed Additives in 2005
4.1 Lysine Market
4.1.1 Lysine Production
4.1.2 Lysine Consumption
4.1.3 Import and Export of Lysine
4.1.4 Price Trend of Lysine
4.1.5 Prospect of Lysine Market in 2006
4.2 Analysis of Methionine Market
4.2.1 Methionine Production
4.2.2 Methionine Consumption
4.2.3 Import of Methionine
4.2.4 Price Trend of Methionine
4.2.5 Prospect of Methionine Market in 2006
4.3 Amino Acid Consumption
4.4 Market Analysis of Calcium Hydrogenphosphate
4.5 Market Analysis of Vitamin Additives
4.6 Market Analysis of Other Animal Feed Additives
4.6.1 Threonine Market Analysis
4.6.2 Market Analysis of Enzymes
4.6.3 Microorganisms as Feed Additives
4.6.4 Feed Additives of Chinese Medicinal Herbs
4.7 Price Trend of Main Feed Additives
4.8 Consumption Structure of Feed Additives
4.9 Self-supply Rate of Main Feed Additives

Chapter Five Overview of Feed Industry in 2005
5.1 Concentration Level and Progress of Feed Production in 2005
5.1.1 Status of Scaled Feed Mills
5.1.2 Production Status of Main Provinces
5.1.3 Production Status of Top 10 Enterprises 6
5.2 Consumption Status of Feedstuff and Additives in 2005
5.3 Primary Indices of Feed Industry in 2005
5.3.1 Price Index of Feed
5.3.2 Total Output Value and Gross Profit
5.4 Profit-generation Status of Feed Mills of Different Scales
5.4.1 Profit-generation Status of Large-scale Feed Mills
5.4.2 Profit-generation Status of Medium-scale Feed Mills
5.4.3 Profit-generation Status of Small-scale Feed Mills
5.4.4 Comparison of Profit-generation Status of Feed Mills of Different Scales
5.5 Losses of Feed Mills of Different Scales
5.5.1 Losses of Large-scale Feed Mills
5.5.2 Losses of Medium-scale Feed Mills
5.5.3 Losses of Small-scale Feed Mills
5.5.4 Comparison Losses of Feed Mills of Different Scales 6
5.6 Profit-generation Status of Feed Mills of Different Regions
5.7 Status of Top 10 Feed Mills in Revenue

Chapter Six Review on Big Events of Feed Market in 2005
6.1 Pig Streptococcus
6.1.1 Pork Products Consumption Remained Sluggish
6.1.2 Slow Growth for Pig Feed Production and Consumption
6.1.3 Price of Corn, Soymeal and Lysine Kept Falling
6.2 Avian influenza
6.2.1 Poultry Product Consumption Fell Sharply
6.2.2 Big Slide of Poultry Feed Production and Consumption
6.2.3 Corn and Soymeal Price Dropped, Methionine Market Struggled
6.3 New Hope Merged Shandong Liuhe
6.4 Tongwei Group Purchased Zhanjiang Yuehua

Chapter Seven Major Feed Producing Provinces in 2005
7.1 Guangdong Province
7.1.1 Feed Market in Guangdong
7.1.1.1 Feed Industry
7.1.1.2 Feed Production in 2005
7.1.1.3 Prices of Main Feed Varieties
7.1.1.4 Market Status of Feedstuffs of Guangdong
7.2 Shandong Province
7.2.1 Feed Market
7.2.1.1 Feed Industry
7.2.1.2 Feed Production in 2005
7.2.1.3 Price of Main Feed Products
7.2.1.4 Market Status of Feedstuffs of Shangdong

Figures and Tables
Fig 2-1 Production of Manufactured Feed 1997-2005
Fig 2-2 Regional Layout of Manufactured Feed Production in 2005
Fig 2-3 Manufactured Feed Production of Some Regions of China 2001-2005
Fig 2-4 Production of Main Types of Compound Feed of China 2001-2005
Fig 2-5 Production of Compound Feed by Scaled Mills from 2001-2005
Fig 2-6 Structure of Manufactured Feed in 2005
Fig 2-7 Structure of Compound Feed in 2005
Fig 2-8 Proportion of Poultry Feed 1990-2005
Fig 2-9 Changes of Structure of Manufactured Feed from 1991-2005
Fig 2-10 Monthly Output of Compound Feed of Scaled Mills in 2005
Fig 2-11 Production of Manufactured Feed in First Halves of 2001-2005
Fig 2-12 Regional Disparity of Production Growth of Manufactured Feed in 2005
Fig 2-13 Structure of Growth of Manufactured Feed in Certain Places in 2005
Fig 2-14 Structure of Manufactured Feed in the Nation Guangdong and Shandong in 2005
Fig 2-15 Structure of Growth of Manufactured Feed in 2005
Fig 2-16 Structure of Growth of Manufactured Feed Production from 1991-2005
Fig 2-17 Growth of Manufactured Feed from 1991-2005
Fig 2-18 Consumption of Manufactured Feed of China from 1997-2005
Fig 2-19 Productions of Main Ruminant Animal Products and Ruminant Animal Feed from 1991-2005
Fig 2-20 National Average Prices of Main Feed Varieties from 2000-2005
Fig 3-1 Consumption of Corn as Feed from 1997-2005
Fig 3-2 Monthly Export of Corn from 2002-2005
Fig 3-3 Regional Structure of Corn Export of China 2005
Fig 3-4 Monthly Import of Corn from 2002-2005
Fig 3-5 Average Weekly Wholesale Price of Corn from 2001-2005
Fig 3-6 Soymeal Consumption from 1997-2005
Fig 3-7 Monthly Export of Soymeal from 2002-2005
Fig 3-8 Regional Structure of Soymeal Export of China 2005
Fig 3-9 Wholesale Price of Soymeal from 2001-2005
Fig 3-10 Output of Cotton Seed Meal and Cake from 1991-2005
Fig 3-11 Weekly Price of Cotton Seed Meal at Railway Station and Port from 2002-2005
Fig 3-12 Output of Rapeseed Meal from 1991-2005
Fig 3-13 Weekly Price of Rapeseed Meal at Railway Station and Port from 2002-2005
Fig 3-14 Output and Import of Fish Meal from 1992-2005
Fig 3-15 Consumption of Fish Meal Consumption from 1997-2005
Fig 3-16 Import of Fishmeal from 2002-2005
Fig 3-17 Regional Structure of Fishmeal Import of China 2005
Fig 3-18 Monthly Market Price of Imported Fishmeal from 2000-2005
Fig 3-19 China Meat-bone Meal Production from 1991-2005
Fig 3-20 National Consumption of Meat-bone Meal from 1997-2005
Fig 3-21 Average Market Price of Corn Soymeal and Imported Fishmeal from 2000-2005
Fig 3-22 Ratio between Corn and Soymeal from 1997-2005
Fig 3-23 Ratio between Soymeal and Fishmeal from 1997-2005
Fig 3-24 Consumption Structure of Raw Materials in Compound Feed from 1997-2005
Fig 4-1 China Lysine Production from 1998-2005
Fig 4-2 Import and Export of Lysine from 1992-2005
Fig 4-3 Monthly Import and Export of Lysine in 2005
Fig 4-4 Price Trend of Lysine from 2000-2005
Fig 4-5 Methionine Import from 1992-2005
Fig 4-6 Monthly Import of Methionine in 2005
Fig 4-7 Price Trend of Methionine from 2001-2005
Fig 4-8 Calcium Hydrogenphosphate Output 1997-2005
Fig 4-9 Wholesale Prices of Lysine and Methionine from 2004-2005
Fig 4-10 Consumption Structure of Feed Additives in 2005
Fig 5.1 Feed Production of Top 2 Top 5 Top 10 Regions and National Total 2001-2005
Fig 5.2 Compound Feed Production of Scaled Mills and All Feed Mills 2001-2005
Fig 5.3 Feed Production of Scaled Mills of Top 2 Top5 Top 10 Producing Provinces in Total Production of Scaled Mills 2001-2005
Fig 5.4 Feed Production of Top 10 Mills 2004-2005
Fig 5.5 Consumption Structure of Feedstuffs and Additives 2005
Fig 5.6 General Price Index of Agricultural Production Materials and Price Index of Feed from 1994-2005
Fig 5.7 Total Output Value Sales Revenue and Gross Profit of Scaled Mills from 2003-2005
Fig 5.8 Comparison of Business Growth of Feed Mills of Different Scales in 2005
Fig 5.9 15 Provinces with Profit of Feed Production over $12.330 Million in 2005
Fig 5.10 Regional Layout of Profit of Feed Production in 2005
Fig 5.11 Sales Revenue of Top 10 Feed Mills from 2003-2005
Fig 5.12 Total Net Profit of Top 10 Feed Mills from 2003-2005
Fig 6-1 Average Weekly Pork Price from 2003-2005
Fig 6-2 Pig Feed Retail Price of National Average and Sichuan from 2003-2005
Fig 6-3 Average Weekly Wholesale Price for Corn in Main Areas from 2003- 2005
Fig 6-4 Weekly Average Wholesale Price of Soymeal in Main Areas from 2003-2005
Fig 6-5 Weekly Average Wholesale Price of Lysine from 2003-2005
Fig 6-6 Average Weekly Chicken Retail Price from 2003-2005
Fig 6-7 Average Weekly Retail Price of Live Chicken from 2003- 2005
Fig 6-8 Weekly Price of Chicken Eggs from 2003-2005
Fig 6-9 Average Weekly Wholesale Price of Corn in Main Regions from 2003-2005
Fig 6-10 Weekly Average Wholesale Price of Soymeal in Main Regions from 2003-2005
Fig 6-11 Weekly Average Wholesale Price of Methionine from 2003-2005
Fig 7-1 Feed Production of Guangdong from 1990-2005
Fig 7-2 Production Structure of Manufactured Fee of Guangdong in 2005
Fig 7-3 Output of Compound Feed of Scaled Feed Mills of Guangdong from 2001-2005
Fig 7-4 Retail Price of Pig Feed of Guangdong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005
Fig 7-5 Retail Price of Broiler Feed of Guangdong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005
Fig 7-6 Retail Price of Layer Feed of Guangdong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005
Fig 7-7 Feed Output of Shandong between 1990 and 2005
Fig 7-8 Feed Industry Production Structure of Shandong in 2005
Fig 7-9 Output of Compound Feed of Scaled Mills in Shandong from 2001-2005
Fig 7-10 Retail Price of Pig Feed of Shandong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005
Fig 7-11 Retail Price of Broiler Feed of Shandong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005
Fig 7-12 Retail Price of Layer Feed of Shandong and the Whole Nation 2000-2005

Table 2.1 China Manufactured Feed Production and Product Structure 2005
Table 2.2 Monthly Manufactured Feed Output of Scaled Feedmills of China 2005
Table 2.3 China Compound Feed Output by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.4 China Compound Feed for Hog by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.5 China Compound Feed for Layer by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.6 China Compound Feed for Broiler by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.7 China Aquatic Compound Feed by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.8 China Other Compound Feed Output by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.9 China Concentrate Feed Output by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.10 China Pre-mix Feed Output by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.11 China Compound Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.12 China Hog Compound Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.13 China Broiler Compound Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.14 China Layer Compound Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.15 China Aquatic Compound Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.16 China Concentrate Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.17 China Pre-mix Feed Consumption by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 2.18 Retail Price of Compound Feed for Hog by Region of China 2005
Table 2.19 Retail Price of Compound Feed for Broiler by Region of China 2005
Table 2.20 Retail Price of Compound Feed for Layer by Region of China 2005
Table 3.1 China Corn Retail Price by Region 2005
Table 3.2 China Soymeal Retail Price by Region 2005
Table 3.3 China Fishmeal Retail Price by Region 2005
Table 3.4 China Corn Consumption for Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.5 China Corn Consumption in Compound feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.6 China Corn Consumption with Concentrate Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.7 China Corn Export by Destination 2005
Table 3.8 China Soymeal Consumption for Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.9 China Soymeal Consumption in Compound Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.10 China Soymeal Consumption in Concentrate Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.11 China Soymeal Export by Destination 2005
Table 3.12 China Soymeal Import by Destination 2005
Table 3.13 China Fishmeal Production by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 3.14 China Fishmeal Consumption for Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.15 China Fishmeal Consumption in Compound Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.16 China Fishmeal Consumption in Concentrate Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.17 China Fishmeal Import by Destination 2005
Table 3.18 China Meat-bone-meal Production by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 3.19 China Meat-bone-meal Consumption (1997-2005 )
Table 3.20 China Meat-bone-meal Consumption in Compound Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.21 China Meat-bone-meal Consumption in Concentrate Feed (1997-2005 )
Table 3.22 China Import of Meat-bone-meal with Cattle and Sheep Components
Table 3.23 Rate of Corn-Soymeal and Soymeal-Fishmeal of China (1997-2005 )
Table 4.1 China Lysine Production by Region (1998-2005 )
Table 4.2 China Lysine Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.3 China Lysine Export by Destination
Table 4.4 China Other Lysine Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.5 China Other Lysine Export by Destination
Table 4.6 China Lysine Import and Export by Month 2005
Table 4.7 China Methionine Production by Region 2005 (1998-2005 )
Table 4.8 China Methionine Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.9 China Calcium Hydrogenphosphate Production by Region (1997-2005 )
Table 4.10 China Whey Powder Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.11 China Glutamic Acid Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.12 China Other Aminoacid Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.13 China Choline & Salt Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.14 China Choline & Salt Export by Destination 2005
Table 4.15 China Inositol Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.16 China Glutamic Acid-Na Import by Origin 2005
Table 4.17 China Vitamin and Its Derivatives Import 2005
Table 4.18 China Feed Additive Import by Origin 2005
Table 5.1 Total Output Value of Feed Industry of China 2003-2005
Table 5.2 Sales Income of Feed Industry of China 2003-2005
Table 5.3 Gross Profit of Feed Industry of China 2003-2005
Table 7.1 Feed Output of Guangdong Province of China (1990-2005 )
Table 7.2 Feed Output of Shandong Province of China (1990-2005 )




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