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4G: Assessment Markets and Technologies


Description: This report researches 4G technologies and markets, which are evolving already at the present time. Early prognosis that 4G will start commercialize not before 2010 are now reconsidered, and several 4G ingredients have been already introduced either for the commercial use, or on the trial basis.

The report concerns the following components of 4G:

-UWB
-802.11n
-SDR, and
-802.16e.

It shows that all mentioned technologies have features responded to the 4G requirements though the features itself are defined loosely. These technologies:

-Wireless
-Support a multimedia environment
-Can be IP-based
-Support fully packet-switched networks
-Support rates of transmission in 100s Mb/s (with 802.16e as an exception)
-Provide effective means for interoperability
-Provide effective means for transition communications sessions between outdoor and in-building environments
-Use the most advanced technologies such SOFDM, MIMO and other
-Have already being commercially tested in various degrees.

The report structure allows following technological and marketing progress for each above-mentioned technology. We concentrated on the most important, distinguished marketing and technological issues and supported our research with the marketing analysis.

The report shows that:

-4G is a today reality and several standardized in 2005-2006 technologies are developing as a part of the 4G group
-We expect that transition 2.5G-3G-4G will be gradual and we hope that disruptive effects will be minimum
-The analyzed technologies have many features that make them belonging to 4G
-The marketing analysis and forecast proved proliferation of these technologies even before 2010
-At the present time, it is difficult to say which technologies will prevail. Each of them has attractive features and may find a wide range of applications.

Research Methodology

Considerable research was done using the Internet. Information from various Web sites was studied and analyzed; evaluation of publicly available marketing and technical publications was also conducted. Telephone conversations and interviews were held with industry analysts, technical experts and executives. In addition to these interviews and primary research, secondary sources were used to develop a more complete mosaic of the market landscape, including industry and trade publications, conferences and seminars.

The overriding objective throughout the work has been to provide valid and relevant information. This has led to a continual review and update of the information content.

Target Audience

This report provides the 4G technology and market analysis and assessments that are useful for service providers, vendors, network operators and managers, Enterprise IT staff, investors and end users seeking to gain a deeper understanding of the UWB, SDR, 802.16e and 802.11n opportunities and barriers.

For systems vendors, integrators and others, the report provides an analysis and assessment of competing products currently available as well as an estimation of the overall opportunities in the coming years. The end users can gain a more thorough understanding of product’s market and capabilities as well as the economics of using 4G technologies to improve cost efficiency.


Contents: 1.0 Introduction
1.1 General
1.2 Planning Wireless Technologies: Generations
1.3 Goal
1.4 Structure
1.5 Research Methodology
1.6Target Audience

2.0 4G Technologies
2.1 Wireless Revolution or Evolution?
2.1.1 4G as 3G Successor
2.2 UWB
2.2.1 General
2.2.1.1 History
2.2.2 Obstacles
2.2.3 Benefits
2.2.4 Definition
2.2.5 Rates
2.2.6 Spectrum Allocation
2.2.7 Choices
2.2.8 Major Features
2.2.8.1 Communications Features
2.2.9 Standards and Regulations
2.2.9.1 Multiband OFDM
2.2.9.2 DS-UWB
2.2.9.3 Standards Bodies
2.2.9.4 Groups
2.2.9.5 Forces
2.2.9.6 FCC and ETSI
2.2.9.7 ECMA International
2.2.9.8 ITU and International
2.2.10 Market Estimate
2.2.11 Industry
2.3 802.11n
2.3.1 4G Advanced Technologies: MIMO and Others
2.3.1.1 General
2.3.1.2 MIMO
2.3.1.3 Spatial Multiplexing
2.3.1.4 OFDM
2.3.1.5 Directions
2.3.2 Standard
2.3.2.1 Ratification
2.3.3 Details: Technology
Source: Intel Lab
2.3.4 Benefits
2.3.5 Market
2.3.5.1 General
2.3.5.2 Market Forecast
2.3.5.2.1 Model Assumptions
2.3.5.2.2 Market Forecast
2.3.5.2.2.1 Chipsets
2.3.5.2.2.2 Equipment

2.3.6 Industry Players
Atheros
Belkin
Broadcom
Intel
Ruckus
Linksys
Marvell
Metalink
Netgear
SiGe

2.4 SDR
2.4.1 SDR Technology
2.4.1.2 Why SDR?
2.4.1.3 Multiple Choices
2.4.1.4 Versatility
2.4.2 SDR Forum Position
2.4.3 Gaps
2.4.4 FCC Position
2.4.5 SDR In Actions
2.4.5.1 Directions
2.4.6 Multifunctionality

2.4.6.1 Multi-modal
2.4.6.2 Multi-band/Multi-standard
2.4.7 Decisions
2.4.8 Non-technical Issues
2.4.8.1 Regulatory Issues
2.4.9 Features Summary
2.4.10 SDR and OSI
2.4.11 Developments
2.4.12 SDR and Military
2.4.12.1 SCA
2.4.12.2 Commercialization
2.4.13 SDR and 4G Spectrum
2.4.14 Market
2.4.14.1 Landscape
2.4.14.2 Features
2.4.14.3 Cost
2.4.14.4 Market Drivers-Summary
2.4.14.5 Market Forecast
2.4.14.5.1 Model Assumptions
2.4.14.5.2 Estimate
2.4.15 Market Players

2.5 802.16e Technology
2.5.1 General
2.5.2 History of WiMAX Development
2.5.2.1 The IEEE 802.16-2004 Standard
2.5.2.1.1 IEEE 802.16-2004 Physical Layer
2.5.2.1.2 IEEE 802.16-2004 MAC Layer
2.5.2.1.3 IEEE 802.16-2004 Frame Structure
2.5.3 IEEE 802.16e Standard Specifics
2.5.3.1 Types of Handover
2.5.3.1.1 MS Initiated HO
2.5.3.1.2 BS Initiated HO
2.5.3.1.3 Soft HO
2.5.3.2 Sleep Mode
2.5.3.3 IEEE 802.16e Physical Layer
2.5.3.3.1 SOFDMA
2.5.3.3.2 OFDMA

2.5.4 Spectrum
2.5.4.1 Future Spectrum for BWA/WiMAX
2.5.4.2 Spectrum Availability for WiMAX Mobility
2.5.4.3 WiMAX Forum

2.5.5 Beginning
2.5.6 ITU Activity
2.5.7 WiMAX End to End
2.5.8 Standards Evolution
2.5.9 Market
2.5.9.1Target Market
2.5.9.2 Paid Subscribers Base
2.5.9.3 Geography
2.5.10 Applications
2.5.11 Market Forecast
2.5.11.1 Methodology
2.5.11.2 Categories
2.5.11.3 Forecast
2.5.11.4 Market Prospective
2.5.12 Market Players

3.0 Other Technologies
4.0 Limitations
5.0 Conclusions


Figure 1: Wireless Communications: Generations
Figure 2: UWB Spectrum
Figure 3: Market Estimate: UWB Circuitry ($B)
Figure 4: Market Estimate: Multiband OFDM UWB Circuitry ($B)
Figure 5: Market Estimate: DS UWB Circuitry ($B)
Figure 6: Estimate of UWB Market – Communications Applications ($B)
Figure 7: Basic two-antenna MIMO system with two-stream SDM example
Figure 8: 802.11 Protocol Family MAC Frame Structure
Figure 9: 802.11n IC Market Estimate ($M)
Figure 10: Market Estimate: 802.11n Equipment Shipping ($B)
Figure 11: SDR Market Estimate for the Military Segment ($B)
Figure 12: SDR Market Estimate for Commercial Segment ($B)
Figure 13: SDR Market Estimate ($B)
Figure 14: Market Estimate for SDR Software ($B)
Figure 15: Market Estimate for SDR Hardware ($B)
Figure 16: Market Estimate for SDR Base Stations ($B)
Figure 17: Market Estimate for SDR Portables ($B)
Figure 18: SDR market Geography (2006)
Figure 19: 700 MHz Band Allocation
Figure 20: Standards Evolution
Figure 21: Projection: 802.16e Subscribers Base (M)
Figure 22: 802.16e Markets Geography
Figure 23: 802.16e Applications
Figure 24: Projection: 802.16e Service Providers Revenue ($B)
Figure 25: Projection: 802.16e Sales ($B)


Table 1: 4G – Today Technologies
Table 2: 3G and 4G Features
Table 3: Comparison: DS-UWB and MB-OFDM
Table 4: FCC Emission Limits for UWB
Table 5: Comparison of different 802.11 transfer rates
Table 6: SDR Multiple Tiers
Table 7: Simplified Block-Diagram of SDR System (Tier 2)
Table 8: SDR Market Drivers
Table 9: Frequencies
Table 10: WiMAX Family-Major Parameters


Companies Mentioned Aether (localization devices) Alereon (chipsets) Artimi (chipsets) BBN (radio, first responders) Camero (radar, equipment for first responders) decaWave (chipsets) Focus Enhancement (chipsets) Freescale (chipsets, systems) General Atomics (chipsets) Multispectral (RFID and others) Parco (RFID) Pulse~ Link (chipsets) Staccato (chipsets) TriQuint (chipsets – homeland security applications) Time Domain (chipsets-fusion of communications & radar) Tzero (chipsets) Ubisense (RFID-tracking) Wisair (chipsets) WiQuest (chipsets) Atheros Belkin Broadcom Intel Ruckus Linksys Marvell Metalink Netgear SiGe Adaptix (SW, Broadband Access) AeroStream (Consumer, Military Radio) AirNet Communciations (SDR Base Stations) Analog Devices (Chipsets) Array Systems Computing (DSP) BitWave Semiconductor (Chipsets) Cisco (802.11a) CRC –Canadian Research Center (Software) Harris (Radio Systems) Hypres (Chipsets) ICS (Modules, Software) ISR Technology (Platforms) Kaben (Chipsets) Lyrtech (DSP and FPGA development solutions) Morpho (Software) Mercury Computers Systems (Toolsets) Motorola (SDR in Public Safety) NavSys (GPS and Communications) Nova Engineering (Platforms) Objective Interface (Software) Pentek (SDR Boards) picoChip (ICs) PrismaTech (SDR Development Environment) Rockwell Collins (Radios) Spectrum Signal Processing (Platforms) Sundance (Platforms, Modules) Thales (Radio) Wind River (Software) Xilinx (Chips, SDR Development Kits) Zeligsoft (Software Tools) Adaptix (Platform) Aeroflex (Test equipment) Airspan Networks (Platform, USB) Alcatel Alvarion (Platform, Public Safety) Aperto Networks (Base stations, Subscriber units) Altera (Chipsets) Beceem Communications, Incorporated (Chipsets) Cambridge Consultants (Reference Design) Comsys (Processors, chipsets) EoNex (Wireless modem ASIC, SW) NexNet picoChip (Chipsets) Posdata (Base stations, chipsets, subscriber units) Samsung (Base stations) STMicroelectronics (Base station modems) Sequans (Chipsets, SW) TI (Chipsets) Wavesat Incorporated (Chipsets) Wintegra (SW, processors)


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