Wireless Infrastructure Market Opportunities, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2002 to 2007
Wintergreen Research, Inc, January 2003, Pages: 375
Wireless infrastructure companies responding to changes in the worldwide wireless communications industry that includes moves toward digital systems. The carriers are purchasing digital systems that support IP 3G architecture, changing the character of wireless telecommunications markets.
A strong financial condition positions a few companies with competitive advantage that positions them to gain market share in the long term. Nokia, Alcatel, Motorola, and Siemens have a significant competitive advantage. Lucent and Ericsson are well positioned in the market, but have some hurdles as well. Companies with a broad market presence in service provider and enterprise markets, in components, software, and equipment have strategic advantage.
By 2007, wireless markets will account for 55% of telecommunications markets. By this time, handset and wireless switch sales will begin to slow due to market saturation. Base station spending is strong as companies compete to achieve better coverage.
Wireless telecommunications equipment accounts for 55% of the total telecommunications market in 2001. Wireless base station infrastructure, wireless switches, and consumer handset equipment markets represent the largest segments. Wireless segments account for growth occurring in the near term in telecommunications markets.
Markets are expected to be flat in 2002 and then grow steadily as service providers compete to improve their coverage. Wireless switch markets at $35.8 billion in 2001 are expected to drop to $34.7 billion in 2002 and begin to recover by 2005. Growth recurs in 2007 as markets reach $50.9 billion.
The key topics covered in this report include:
- Wireless Communications Network Protocols
- Wireless Industry Security Solutions
- Wireless Communications Market Outlook
- Strategic Alliances
- Growth Of Organization-Wide Networks
- Support For Distributed Computing
- Reliable, Robust Systems
- Mission Critical Messaging Market Dynamics
Following is a list of the companies profiled in this report:
- Alcatel
- Cisco Systems
- Ericsson
- Fujitsu
- Lucent Technologies
- Motorola
- NEC
- Nokia
- Nortel
- Siemens
This report consists of over 375 pages and includes over 85 tables and figures.
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
WIRELESS INFRASTRUCTURE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES-1
Wireless Communications Market Trends ES-1
Convergence Means That Voice Becomes Data In The Network ES-2
Worldwide Wireless Communications Market Driving Forces ES-5
Wireless Telecommunications Market Forecasts ES-7
Wireless Infrastructure Buildout ES-10
1. WIRELESS NETWORK MARKET DESCRIPTION 1-1
1.1 Wireless Networks 1-1
1.1.1 UMTS 1-2
1.1.2 GSM / EDGE 1-6
1.1.3 TDMA And GSM Mature Technology 1-6
1.2 Wireless Markets 1-7
1.2.1 Wireless Communications Network Protocols 1-7
1.2.2 Market Growth Patterns 1-8
1.2.3 Aspects To The Migration From 2G Wireless Communications 1-9
1.2.4 Caribbean And Latin America 1-10
1.2.5 Europe, Middle East, And Africa Region 1-10
1.2.6 Japan And Asia Pacific Region 1-11
1.3 Wireless Industry Security Solutions 1-12
1.3.1 Difficulty Of Integration Of Acquired Businesses 1-12
1.4 Strategic Alliances 1-13
1.4.1 Role Of Mission Critical Middleware Messaging 1-14
1.4.2 Messaging Solutions 1-14
1.4.3 Mission-Critical Functionality 1-15
1.4.4 Messaging Software 1-17
1.5 Linking Internal Operations 1-17
1.6 Distributing Information 1-19
1.7 Support For Distributed Computing 1-20
1.8 Growth Of Organization-Wide Networks 1-21
1.9 Network Computing 1-23
1.9.1 Network Utilization 1-24
1.10 Moving Transactions 1-25
1.11 Interconnecting E-Mail Systems 1-25
1.12 Publish Subscribe Systems 1-25
1.13 Open Middleware Systems 1-26
1.14 Application Integration 1-26
1.14.1 Difference Between An Application Server And Application Integration 1-29
1.15 Businesses Process Engineering 1-30
1.15.1 Key Component Of Business Process Management 1-30
1.15.2 Difference Between Business Process Management (BPM) And Workflow 1-31
1.16 High Performance 1-32
1.16.1 Scalability 1-33
1.16.2 Automatic Configuration 1-34
1.17 Reliable, Robust Systems 1-35
1.18 Trends 1-36
1.19 Mission Critical Messaging Market Dynamics 1-38
1.20 Industry Consolidation 1-41
1.20.1 Transaction Delivery Networks 1-42
2. WIRELESS INFRASTRUCTURE MARKET FORECASTS 2-1
2.1 Wireless Communications Market Trends 2-1
2.1.1 Convergence Means That Voice Becomes Data In The Network 2-1
2.2 Worldwide Wireless Communications Market Driving Forces 2-5
2.2.1 Go To Market Strategy 2-7
2.2.2 Impact Of Voice Packet Architecture 2-7
2.3 Telecommunications Summary Segment Analysis 2-8
2.4 Wireless Communications Market Outlook 2-15
2.4.1 Time To Market 2-19
2.4.2 Pursue Performance Excellence 2-19
2.5 Wireless Telecommunications Market 2-20
2.5.1 Wireless Telecommunications Market Shares 2-20
2.5.2 Wireless Infrastructure Markets 2-26
2.5.3 Wireless Telecommunications Market Forecasts 2-29
2.5.4 Wireless Infrastructure 2-31
2.5.5 Base Station Market Forecasts 2-32
2.5.6 Wireless Switch Market Forecasts 2-34
2.5.7 Wireless Infrastructure Segments 2-38
2.5.8 Wireless Infrastructure Regional Analysis 2-44
2.5.9 Driving Forces Of Wireless Infrastructure Market 2-47
2.5.10 Wireless LAN Market Forecasts 2-47
2.5.11 Broadband Fixed Wireless Market Forecasts 2-48
2.5.12 Mobile Subscribers 2-48
2.5.13 Wireless Networks 2-49
3. WORLDWIDE WIRELESS INFRASTRUCTURE EQUIPMENT PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 3-1
3.1 Wireless 3-1
3.1.1 Wireless Core Network Equipment 3-1
3.1.2 Changing Marketplace 3-1
3.2 Core Networking 3-2
3.3 Wireless Switch Platforms 3-3
3.4 Motorola Wireless Infrastructure 3-3
3.4.1 Motorola Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (UMTS) Applications 3-4
3.4.2 Motorola UMTS RAN (UTRAN) 3-6
3.4.3 Motorola Wireless 3G 1X Infrastructure 3-7
3.4.4 GSM Solutions 3-7
3.4.5 Deploying GPRS in GSM Network 3-8
3.4.6 Motorola Technology Infrastructure Solutions 3-9
3.4.7 Motorola Softswitch 3-11
3.4.8 Motorola Blade 3-11
3.4.9 Motorola Short Messaging Platform 3-12
3.4.10 Motorola Personal Communications Segment 3-13
3.4.11 Motorola Global Telecom Solutions Segment 3-14
3.5 Ericsson Wireless Infrastructure 3-14
3.5.1 Solutions For All-IP 3G Networking 3-16
3.5.2 Ericsson GSM/GPRS 800 3-17
3.5.3 Ericsson UMTS / WCDMA Network Solutions 3-18
3.5.4 Ericsson Positions For Deregulation 3-18
3.5.5 Ericsson IP Architecture 3-18
3.5.6 Ericsson IP Telephony 2.1 Switch 3-20
3.5.7 Ericsson Jambala™ Mobility Gateway 3-24
3.5.8 Ericsson Mobile Platforms 3-25
3.5.9 Juniper / Ericsson 3-25
3.5.10 Ericsson IPT 2.1 Platform 3-26
3.6 Nokia General Packet Radio Service 3-33
3.6.1 Nokia Network System Positioning 3-35
3.6.2 Nokia GSM 3-35
3.6.3 Nokia 3G Initiatives 3-35
3.6.4 Nokia WAP For The Operators 3-36
3.6.5 Siemens Wireless Network Products 3-37
3.6.6 Ericsson Wireless Network Products 3-38
3.6.7 Ericsson 3G 3-38
3.6.8 Ericsson CDMA Systems 3-39
3.6.9 Motorola Wireless Network Products 3-40
3.6.10 Motorola GPRS Infrastructure 3-41
3.6.11 Nokia Circuit-Switched and Packet-Switched in One Seamless Network 3-43
3.6.12 Nokia Server Products 3-43
3.7 Lucent 3-43
3.7.1 Lucent Wireless Network Products 3-44
3.7.2 Lucent Application Processor Cluster 3-47
3.7.3 Lucent Microcell 3-48
3.7.4 Lucent Ethernet Interface Node 3-49
3.7.5 Lucent Wireless Network Benefits 3-50
3.7.6 Lucent Wireless Infrastructure Positioning 3-51
3.7.7 Lucent Mobile Internet 3-51
3.7.8 Lucent Standard Open APIs 3-52
3.7.9 SpringTide® 7000 Wireless IP Service Switch Router 3-52
3.7.10 Lucent Tunnel Switching 3-54
3.7.11 SpringTide® 7000 Wireless IP Service Switch 3-54
3.7.12 Lucent Compression Support 3-55
3.7.13 Lucent QoS 3-55
3.7.14 Lucent Wireless Applications And Service Delivery Products 3-56
3.7.15 Lucent Mobility Products 3-56
3.7.16 Lucent Wireless Core Network Equipment 3-56
3.7.17 Lucent Softswitch-Based 3-G MSC 3-57
3.8 Alcatel 3G/UMTS 3-57
3.8.1 Alcatel Wireless Network Products 3-58
3.8.2 Alcatel Wireless System Key Features 3-59
3.8.3 Evolium SAS Alcatel / Fujitsu Company 3-59
3.9 Kyocera And Arraycomm Mobile And Satellite 3-60
3.10 NEC 3G W-CDMA 3-61
3.10.1 NEC W -CDMA 3-62
3.11 Nortel Wireless 3-62
3.11.1 Nortel Multiservice Switch For Wireless 3-63
3.11.2 Nortel GPRS Gateway Support Node 3-64
3.11.3 Nortel Wireless Networking Products 3-64
3.11.4 Nortel Networks Wireless GSM/GPRS Infrastructure Upgrades 3-65
3.11.5 Nortel Wireless Applications 3-66
3.12 Siemens Wireless 3-68
3.12.1 Siemens TD-SCDMA Video 3-69
3.12.2 Siemens Wireless Modules 3-69
3.13 Base Station Products 3-70
3.14 Motorola Base Stations 3-70
3.14.1 Centralized Base Station Controller (CBSC) 3-71
3.14.2 GSM Base Transceiver Station 3-71
3.15 Ericsson GSM Systems 3-72
3.15.1 Ericsson Indoor Base Station 3-73
3.15.2 Ericsson WCDMA Base Stations 3-73
3.16 Nokia 3-77
3.17 Siemens GSM Base Station 3-80
3.17.1 Siemens Third Generation Wireless Solutions 3-81
3.17.2 Siemens S-PRO Base Station 3-82
3.18 Alcatel Base Stations 3-84
3.19 Lucent Base Station Products 3-85
3.19.1 Lucent Base Station Standards Compliance 3-86
3.19.2 Lucent Packet Base Stations 3-90
3.20 Wireless Smart Antenna Technology 3-91
3.20.1 Nortel Networks CDMA Smart Antenna Solution 3-91
3.21 Network Systems 3-92
3.21.1 Open Systems / Middleware 3-93
3.21.2 Support For Growth In Phases 3-95
3.21.3 Maximized Resource Utilization 3-96
3.21.4 Cisco End-To-End Networking Solutions 3-96
4. WIRELESS INFRASTRUCTURE TECHNOLOGY 4-1
4.1 Key Technologies 4-1
4.1.1 Wireless Short Messaging and Instant Messaging 4-1
4.2 Bluetooth 4-2
4.3 Global Evolution (EDGE) 4-3
4.3.1 EDGE Supported Services 4-4
4.4 Air Interfaces 4-5
4.5 Wireless Packet Radio Services Technology 4-8
4.5.1 GPRS Support Nodes 4-9
4.5.2 PacketGSM Technology 4-11
4.5.3 GPRS Changing The Operator Business Environment 4-12
4.5.4 Nokia GPRS Core Solution 4-12
4.6 Two-Way Radio Regulation 4-13
4.7 Spread Spectrum Technical Issues 4-14
4.7.1 Ranges 4-14
4.7.2 Screen 4-15
4.8 Optical Techniques 4-15
4.9 Network Convergence of Voice and Data 4-16
4.9.1 Constellation Of Next -Generation Elements 4-16
4.9.2 Need For Flexibility 4-17
4.9.3 Modular Designs Provide Flexibility 4-17
4.10 High-Capacity Mobile Infrastructure 4-18
4.10.1 Main Technologies 4-19
5. WIRELESS INFRASTRUCTURE COMPANY PROFILES 5-1
5.1 Alcatel 5-1
5.1.1 Alcatel Acquisition Of Astral Point Communications 5-2
5.1.2 Alcatel Customers 5-3
5.1.3 Digitel (Philippines) / Alcatel 5-3
5.1.4 Sichuan Unicom (China) / Alcatel 5-3
5.1.5 Alcatel Fourth Quarter And Full Year 2001 Results 5-3
5.1.6 Response To Economic Decline 5-5
5.1.7 Alcatel Geographical Distribution Of Sales 2001 5-6
5.1.8 Alcatel Segment Analysis 2001 5-7
5.1.9 Business Analysis Of The Second Quarter Carrier Networking 5-12
5.1.10 e-Business 5-12
5.1.11 Alcatel Business Analysis Carrier Networking 5-13
5.1.12 Alcatel Optics 5-13
5.1.13 Alcatel e -Business 5-14
5.1.14 Alcatel Optronics 4th Quarter And Full Year 2001 Results 5-14
5.1.15 Alcatel Optronics 5-15
5.1.16 Alcatel Softswitches 5-15
5.1.17 Alcatel Integration 5-17
5.1 Cisco Systems 5-18
5.1.18 Cisco Systems Internet Positioning 5-18
5.1.19 Cisco Net Sales / Revenue 5-19
5.1.20 Stock Repurchase Program Expanded 5-25
5.1.21 Enterprise 5-25
5.1.22 Service Provider 5-26
5.1.23 Commercial 5-27
5.1.24 Cisco Routers 5-30
5.1.25 Cisco Switches 5-30
5.1.26 Cisco Access 5-31
5.1.27 Cisco Service Provider Packet Switching And Routing 5-32
5.1.28 Cisco IOS Software 5-33
5.1.29 Cisco Softswitch 5-34
5.1.30 Cisco Systems / Vida Networks 5-34
5.2 Ericsson 5-34
5.2.1 Ericsson Customers 5-35
5.2.2 Ericsson And Samsung 5-37
5.2.3 Cingular Wireless / Ericsson 5-37
5.2.4 Ericsson CDMA Systems 5-38
5.2.5 WLAN From Ericsson 5-38
5.2.6 Ericsson / Juniper EJN Mobile IP 5-39
5.2.7 Ericsson PBX 5-39
5.2.8 Ericsson Revenue 2001 5-40
5.2.9 Multi-Service Networks 5-43
5.2.10 Internet Applications 5-43
5.3 Fujitsu 5-43
5.3.1 Fujitsu Network Communications 5-44
5.3.2 Fujitsu Sonet 5-45
5.3.3 Fujitsu DWDM 5-45
5.3.4 Fujitsu Network Communications Optical Transport Solutions5- 5-47
5.3.5 Fujitsu Network Communications Revenue 5-47
5.3.6 Fujitsu FY2001 Third Quarter Financial Results 5-48
5.3.7 Services & Software 5-49
5.3.8 Information Processing 5-50
5.3.9 Telecommunications 5-50
5.3.10 Electronic Devices 5-51
5.3.11 Fujitsu Telecommunications Europe Limited 5-51
5.4 Lucent Technologies 5-51
5.4.1 Service Provider Networks 5-52
5.4.2 Lucent Technologies Strategic Positioning 5-53
5.4.3 Business Forces Driving Change For Lucent 5-54
5.4.4 Softswitch Market Forces 5-55
5.4.5 Softswitch Emergence 5-57
5.4.6 Lucent Softs witch / Level 3 5-58
5.4.7 Lucent Revenue 5-58
5.4.8 Lucent Sale Of Optical Fiber Business 5-64
5.4.9 Lucent Sale Of Manufacturing Operations 5-66
5.4.10 Agere 5-66
5.4.11 Regional Market Analysis 5-67
5.4.12 United States And Canada Telecommunications Markets 5-68
5.4.13 European Telecommunications Markets 5-68
5.4.14 Asia Pacific Region Telecommunications Markets 5-69
5.4.15 Chinese Telecommunications Markets 5-69
5.4.16 Caribbean And Latin America 5-70
5.4.17 Africa 5-70
5.4.18 Lucent Regional Revenues 5-71
5.4.19 Lucent Non-U.S. Operations 5-74
5.4.20 Lucent Bell Labs 5-75
5.4.21 Service Intelligent Network Architecture 5-76
5.4.22 Bell Labs Powers LambdaXtreme 5-80
5.4.23 Bell Labs-Developed Raman Amplification System 5-80
5.4.24 Bell Labs Flexent™ Mobility Server 5-81
5.4.25 Bell Labs Multilingual Text -to-Speech Systems 5-81
5.4.26 Bell Labs Nature Of Internet Traffic 5-82
5.4.27 Bell Labs Calculates Theoretical Limits Of Fiber Optic Communications 5-83
5.4.28 Bell Labs Software Enables Global Roaming Across All Wireless Networks 5-84
5.5 Motorola 5-86
5.5.1 Motorola China 5-Year Strategy 5-87
5.5.2 Wireless Internet Ecosystem 5-88
5.5.3 Motorola Integrated Communications Solutions 5-88
5.5.4 Motorola Cost Reduction Actions 5-89
5.5.5 Motorola Customers 5-90
5.5.6 Commercial, Government And Industrial Solutions Segment5- 5-90
5.5.7 Broadband Communications Segment 5-91
5.5.8 Semiconductor Products Segment 5-92
5.5.9 Motorola Revenue 5-92
5.5.10 Motorola 2001 Acquisitions 5-93
5.6 NEC 5-94
5.6.1 NEC Handsets 5-96
5.6.2 NEC Handset Customers 5-97
5.6.3 NEC Third Quarter Revenue Of The Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2002 5-97
5.6.4 NEC Networks 5-98
5.6.5 NEC Solutions (America) 5-105
5.7 Nokia 5-105
5.7.1 Nokia Networks 5-105
5.7.2 Nokia Customers 5-106
5.7.3 Nokia Mobile Phones 5-106
5.7.4 Open Mobile Architecture Initiative 5-107
5.7.5 Nokia Networks 5-108
5.7.6 Nokia Ventures Organization 5-108
5.7.7 Nokia Revenue 5-109
5.7.8 Nokia Broadband DSL 5-110
5.7.9 Nokia / Proximus 5-111
5.7.10 Smart Communications (Philippines) / Nokia 5-111
5.7.11 Orange(UK) / Nokia 5-112
5.7.12 Nokia Provider Partnerships 5-112
5.7.13 Nokia Revenue 5-113
5.7.14 Nokia Acquisitions 5-114
5.7.15 Nokia Joint Initiatives 5-114
5.8 Nortel 5-115
5.8.1 Strategies 5-116
5.8.2 Lines Of Business 5-116
5.8.3 Nortel Enterprise Solutions 5-116
5.8.4 Nortel Networks Realignment Plan 5-117
5.8.5 Nortel Reorganization 5-118
5.8.6 Nortel Networks Optical Networks 5-119
5.8.7 Nortel Networks Customers 5-119
5.8.8 Nortel Networks Open Optical Dense-Wavelength Division Multiplexing (DWDM) System 5-122
5.8.9 IP-Ready Open Optical Interfaces 5-123
5.8.10 Nortel Networks Optical Packet Network Solution 5-124
5.8.11 IP Data Services 5-125
5.8.12 Sonet/SDH 5-126
5.8.13 Optical IP Network Backbones 5-126
5.8.14 Acquisitions 5-126
5.8.15 Focus On Solutions 5-127
5.8.16 Nortel Revenues 5-127
5.8.17 Motorola / Nortel In Wireless Merger Talks 5-129
5.8.18 Nortel Networks / Sprint 5-130
5.8.19 Nortel Networks / Cingular 5-131
5.9 Siemens 5-131
5.9.1 Siemens Information And Communication Networks 5-132
5.9.2 Siemens Corporate 5-132
5.9.3 Reorganization Of Siemens Information And Communication Networks Group 5-133
5.9.4 Siemens Strategic Partnership With Quintus Corporation 5-134
5.9.5 HiPath Procenter Strategy 5-135
5.9.6 HiPath Enterprise Convergence Architecture 5-135
5.9.7 Siemens Surpass 5-135
5.9.8 Siemens Customers 5-136
5.9.9 Siemens Information And Communication Networks 5-137
5.9.10 Siemens U.S. 5-138
5.9.11 Siemens Global Leadership Posit ions 5-138
5.9.12 Information And Communication Networks (ICN) 5-140
5.9.13 Siemens / Unisphere Solutions / Juniper 5-142
5.9.14 Juniper Acquisition of Unisphere Networks 5-143
5.9.15 Siemens ICN Positioning 5-144
5.9.16 Information And Communication Mobile (ICM) 5-145
5.9.17 Motorola And Siemens 5-147
5.9.18 Siemens Revenue Fiscal 2000 And 2001 5-148
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