Australia Mining Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3421494
  • September 2015
  • Region: Australia
  • 103 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Australia's mining sector is set to suffer the painful spillover effects of a prolonged period of weak mineral prices, in part resulting from a sharp investment slowdown in China.

Australia has been among the biggest beneficiaries of the China-led commodities boom over the past decade, attracting huge amounts of investment into the minerals space. Driven by China's voracious appetite for key commodities such as coal and iron ore, the value of Australia's mining industry had increased by more than six-fold from USD24bn in 2003 to USD154bn in 2013. As a result, this has seen the sector's share of GDP rising from 4.5% to 10.2% over the same period. However, the boom years in the mining industry are over. With China's economy on course for a continued slowdown over the coming years and mineral prices set to remain low, Australia's mining sector will suffer the painful spillover effects.

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Industry Forecast

Bauxite: Weipa Leads Growth
Table: Australia - Select Bauxite Projects
Table: Australia - Bauxite Production (2011-2019)

Coal: Continued Headwinds
Table: Australia: Select Coal Projects
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Copper: Constructive Outlook Despite Slower Growth
Table: Australia - Largest Copper Projects
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Gold: Golden Years Gone

Domestic & International Firms Still Active
Table: Australia - Largest Gold Mining Projects
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Iron Ore: Maximizing Production In Years Ahead

Smaller Players To Focus On Cost Control
Table: Australia Iron Ore Production Forecast

Lead: Growth Positive But Subdued
Table: Lead Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Nickel: Expansion Despite Poor Prices
Table: Australia - Select Nickel Projects

Tin: Output Growth Ahead
Table: Australia - Tin Mining Projects
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Zinc: Century Mine Closure Underpins Negative Outlook
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Australia 2011-2019)

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

Australia Risk/Reward Index


Industry Rewards

Country Rewards


Industry Risks

Country Risks
Table: Australia - Mining Industry Value & Minerals Production Forecasts

Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index

Regulatory Development

Mining Regulatory Framework
Table: Australia - Mineral Taxes

State Warming To Uranium

Commodities Forecast

Global - Metals: Lower Costs And Weak Demand To Anchor Prices

Metal Price Weakness: Chinese Equity Slump & US Dollar Strength

US Dollar Strength To Anchor Weak Metal Prices

Competitive Landscape

Iron Ore Majors To Outperform
Table: Financial Data For Key Mining Firms Listed In Australia

Company Profile

Global Company Strategy - BHP Billiton - Q3 2015

Latest Financial Results
Table: BHP Billiton - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data

Global Company Strategy - MMG Limited - Q3 2015
Table: MMG Ltd - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: MMG Limited - Key Financial Data

Global Company Strategy - Glencore Xstrata - Q3 2015

Company Overview

Latest Financial Results

Company Strategy
Table: Glencore - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data

Rio Tinto

Company Overview

Company Strategy

Latest Financial Results
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data

Regional Overview

Continued Domination Of Iron Ore Production

Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform

Slowing Demand From China

Indonesian Ban To Remain In Place

Global Industry Overview

Global Mining: 2015 Key Themes Revisited
Table: Key Mining Themes For 2015

Theme: Mining Capital Expenditure Will Continue To Decline

Theme: US Dollar Strength

Iron Ore Consolidation & Majors Share To Increase

Asian Investment In Africa To Continue

2015's Standouts


Industry Forecast Methodology


Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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