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Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting Product Image

Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting

  • Published: January 2003
  • Region: Global
  • 27 Pages
  • Technology Futures, Inc

This monograph, written by leading technology forecasters, includes discussion and examples of several substitution models including the Fisher-Pry and Gompertz models. When combined with good judgment and knowledge of the industry, these relatively simple models can usually outperform industry wisdom and the guesses that often pass for market forecasts. Anyone whose future depends on technology markets will find them extraordinarily useful both in gaining insight and understanding, as well as in decision making.

Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting
Processes and Patterns of Technology Adoption
The Process of Technologically-Driven Adoption
The Process of Diffusion, The Process of Mortality
Mathematical Models for the Adoption of New Technology
The Fisher-Pry Model
The Gompertz Model
Using Technology Market Adoption for Forecasting
Using Substitution Models to Estimate Additions and Sales
Experience with Forecasting with Substitution Models
Conclusion

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