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Taiwan Shipping Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3431576
  • October 2015
  • Region: Taiwan
  • 109 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We expect positive growth rates for Taiwan's total trade in 2015 despite challenges by slower Chinese demand growth. Modest economic growth domestically will sustain imports while a slower but growing Chinese economy will continue to consume significant volumes of Taiwanese exports. Further contributing to our positive outlook, Kaohsiung, the country's largest port, is part of several new shipping routes launched this year, driving throughput growth.

With 40% of exports from Taiwan headed to China, it is important to track Chinese demand when analysing Taiwan's shipping industry. We forecast a 6.7% real GDP growth in China this year and an average of 6.1% over the period 2015-2019. This compares to 8.5% averaged over the previous five years. Despite a slowdown in Chinese demand growth and consequently trade volumes with Taiwan, the continued increase in China's consumption will be able to attract Taiwan's production of raw materials, metals and more importantly manufactured goods. The potential election of a new government in January next year could however upset trade relations with China. Local concern about dependence on China has increased the opposition party's popularity in Taiwan, which has a far less friendly stance toward Beijing than the governing party. Public calls for greater independence, lead by the 'Sunflower Movement', have already delayed proposed extensions of trade agreements with China.

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SWOT

Shipping

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Port Of Kaohsiung Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Taiwan 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Taiwan 2012-2019)

Market Overview

Taiwan Container Shipping Market Overview

Taiwan Company Profile

Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation

Wan Hai Lines

Cheng Lie Navigation Company (CNC Line)

Shipping - Global Industry View

Container Shipping: Three Key Themes
Table: Major Beneficiaries
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route

Global Company Strategy

Maersk Line

Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)

Navios Maritime Holdings

CMA CGM

Evergreen Line

COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Taiwan 2010-2019)

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Taiwan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Taiwan 1990-2025)

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