Italy Autos Report Q4 2015

  • ID: 3442069
  • October 2015
  • Region: Italy
  • 71 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Italy's economic recovery is gaining momentum and our outlook for GDP growth and private consumption spending is improved as a result. However, the country will still be an underperformer compared to the rest of the eurozone with GDP forecast to grow by 0.7% and 1.1% in 2015 and 2016, respectively. This will help boost vehicle sales in all segments, and we expect sales growth to reach 10.1% in 2015. New investment by Lamborghini is playing to our view that high margin car production will remain resilient in Italy and highlights the luxury appeal of the 'Made In Italy' brand-image and reconfirms Italy's strong competitive advantage in the luxury vehicles segment. Autos component suppliers will experience growing opportunities in Italy's improving domestic supply chain. We believe the component industry's consolidation phase has largely run its course and we now see growing opportunities for Italian suppliers.

We identify the passenger car segment as the industry's outperformer in 2015 and forecast growth of 10.2%.

The segment will outperform the commercial vehicle (CV) market - which we forecast to grow 8.9% owing to the rise in consumer spending outpacing the slow recovery in fixed investment in the country.

Factors specific to the passenger car sector segment will also spur the expansion of the segment. These being (a) the growing need to replace out-dated cars and (b) aggressive discounting campaigns by automakers.

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Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Sales, Production And Trade
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2019)

Table: Age Of Cars On The Road


Table: Vehicle Exports By Category

Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2019)
Table: Italy - Sales By Brand, January-August
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Engine Type

Table: Italy - Passenger Car Production By Brand

Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2019)

Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Italy 2013-2019)


Macroeconomic Forecast

Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Italy 2010-2019)

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings

Europe - Risk/Reward Index

Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential

Developed States Show Signs Of Risk

Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position

Company Profile

Company Monitor

Regional Overview

Europe Overview

Global Industry Overview

1 Currency Weakness Hurting African Growth

2 Increasing Local Content In Trouble Spots

3 SUVs Rolling On

4 Tech/Autos Lines Are Blurring

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025)


Industry Forecasts

Sector-Specific Methodology


Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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Company Monitor

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