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China's Railway Development in 2006
Research In China, March 2006
This report is for domestic railway enterprises' decision makers and potential investors in railway industry. Through descriptions and analyses of the current domestic railway industry, it shows the new development trends. Furthermore, relevant suggestions are proposed for investment in the railway industry.
This study consists of 7 chapters. Chapter 1 introduces the general development status of the railway industry, including the development of railway transportation and railway construction. Chapter 2 analyzes the current demand-supply situation, future demand for railway transportation, railway supply, etc. Chapter 3 analyzes the competition in the railway industry, including industry characteristics, current competition situation, entry and exit barriers, etc. Chapter 4 gives systematic analysis to investing-financing in railway industry, including investment status, prospects of railway infrastructure investment and financing, investment risks and suggestions, etc. Chapter 5 introduces future development trends in the railway industry. Chapter 6 introduces the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” of the railway industry, including direction of railway reform and significant points in future development. Chapter 7 introduces 4 listed companies in the railway industry and provides detailed analysis of their development and prospects.
The railway industry is an important part of China's comprehensive transportation system. In recent years, both railway mileage and traffic have increased rapidly, but the market share of railway transportation has shown a falling tendency.
Because of system limitations, China's railway industry still lags behind in investing-financing areas. This results in railway construction unable to meet the demand of economy development.
There is high demand in our railway transportation industry, and sometimes the demand exceeds supply. It is estimated that the supply capacity will increase a lot in the future and relieve transportation pressure effectively.
The railway industry is a sunrise industry: bright prospects, obvious scale effect and strong entry and exit barriers.
A structure of diversified capital sources has been formed in the railway industry, but the main finance source is the Ministry of Railways. The finance demands in the railway industry will be released gradually following mass railway network construction. The railway industry in China is worth investing in the long term.
During the “Eleventh Five-Year”, the political environment of China's railway industry will grow mature, and railway freight and infrastructure construction will offer great investment opportunities.
In general, China's railway industry will become a hotspot for investments. This industry will witness a breakthrough in development, and the investing-financing system will develop further.
Risks of railway industry mainly include the imperfections of investing-financing system, uncertainty of reasonable return on investment, amount limitation of external capitals, etc.
Anti-risk measures for investment in the railway industry include share-hold operation in railway construction, cooperation with both state-owned capital and foreign capital, multiple operations through cooperation with railway operation companies, gaining investment by carrying capacity, etc.
This report is also available in Chinese - please search our site for further details.
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