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China's Railway Development in 2006


Description: This report is for domestic railway enterprises' decision makers and potential investors in railway industry. Through descriptions and analyses of the current domestic railway industry, it shows the new development trends. Furthermore, relevant suggestions are proposed for investment in the railway industry.

This study consists of 7 chapters. Chapter 1 introduces the general development status of the railway industry, including the development of railway transportation and railway construction. Chapter 2 analyzes the current demand-supply situation, future demand for railway transportation, railway supply, etc. Chapter 3 analyzes the competition in the railway industry, including industry characteristics, current competition situation, entry and exit barriers, etc. Chapter 4 gives systematic analysis to investing-financing in railway industry, including investment status, prospects of railway infrastructure investment and financing, investment risks and suggestions, etc. Chapter 5 introduces future development trends in the railway industry. Chapter 6 introduces the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” of the railway industry, including direction of railway reform and significant points in future development. Chapter 7 introduces 4 listed companies in the railway industry and provides detailed analysis of their development and prospects.

The railway industry is an important part of China's comprehensive transportation system. In recent years, both railway mileage and traffic have increased rapidly, but the market share of railway transportation has shown a falling tendency.

Because of system limitations, China's railway industry still lags behind in investing-financing areas. This results in railway construction unable to meet the demand of economy development.

There is high demand in our railway transportation industry, and sometimes the demand exceeds supply. It is estimated that the supply capacity will increase a lot in the future and relieve transportation pressure effectively.

The railway industry is a sunrise industry: bright prospects, obvious scale effect and strong entry and exit barriers.

A structure of diversified capital sources has been formed in the railway industry, but the main finance source is the Ministry of Railways. The finance demands in the railway industry will be released gradually following mass railway network construction. The railway industry in China is worth investing in the long term.

During the “Eleventh Five-Year”, the political environment of China's railway industry will grow mature, and railway freight and infrastructure construction will offer great investment opportunities.

In general, China's railway industry will become a hotspot for investments. This industry will witness a breakthrough in development, and the investing-financing system will develop further.

Risks of railway industry mainly include the imperfections of investing-financing system, uncertainty of reasonable return on investment, amount limitation of external capitals, etc.

Anti-risk measures for investment in the railway industry include share-hold operation in railway construction, cooperation with both state-owned capital and foreign capital, multiple operations through cooperation with railway operation companies, gaining investment by carrying capacity, etc.

This report is also available in Chinese - please search our site for further details.


Contents: 1 Overview of Railway Industry Development
1.1 Position of Railway Industry in National Economy
1.2 Development Status of Railway Transportation
1.2.1 Cargo Transportation Maintains Steady Increase
1.2.2 Sharp Increase of Passenger Transportation
1.2.3 Steady Increase of Passenger and Freight Traffic (Converted into Turnover Volume)
1.2.4 Transport Income Sets New Historical Record
1.2.5 Transportation Quality Increases a Lot
1.2.6 Permission for Non-Public Capitals entering into Railway Transportation
1.2.7 Problems Existed in Railway Transportation
1.3 General Status of Railway Construction
1.3.1 Rapid Development of Railway Infrastructure Construction
1.3.2 Continuous Expansion of Road Net Scales
1.3.3 Ministry of Construction and Railways Open-up Railway Construction Market Further
1.3.4 Railway Construction Lags behind Economy Development

2 Demand-Supply Analysis of China's Railway Industry
2.1 Current Status
2.1.1 Demand for Railway Transportation Increases Strongly, and Demand-Supply Gap Increases Further
2.1.2 Tense Situation of Railway Passenger Transportation
2.2 Analysis of Future Demands for Railway Transportation
2.2.1 Continuous and Rapid Development of Macro-Economy Provokes Increasing Demands for Transportation Industry
2.2.2 Transportation Situation Will Remain in Tension during The “Eleventh Five-Year”
2.2.3 Forecast of Demand Amount
2.2.4 Demand Forecast during the “Eleventh Five-Year”
2.3 Analysis of Railway Supply Capability
2.3.1 Analysis of Construction Status
2.3.2 Analysis of Transportation Capability
2.3.3 Forecast of Future Transportation Capacity

3 Analysis of Competition Situation in Railway Industry
3.1 Industry Characteristics
3.1.1 Railway Industry Belongs to “Sunrise Industry” in China
3.1.2 Obvious Scale Effect and Stable Profits
3.1.3 Obvious Regionality, i.e. Different Development Status in Different Sections
3.1.4 Prospect Forecast of Railway Transportation Industry
3.2 Analysis of Competition Situation
3.2.1 Segmentation Situation Nowadays
3.2.2 Regional Departments under Ministry of Railways, and Guangzhou Railway Group Corporation Control Road Right and Major Business
3.2.3 Obvious in Monopoly but Ambiguous in Marketability
3.2.4 Railway Transportation is one of the last industries opened-up in China's WTO Accession Agreement
3.2.5 Competition Power in Railway Industry
3.2.6 Advantages in Competition
3.3 Entry and Exit Barriers of Railway Industry
3.3.1 Entry Barriers
3.3.2 Exit Barriers

4 Analysis of Investing-Financing Status of Railway Industry
4.1 Current Investing-Financing Status of Railway Infrastructure Construction
4.1.1 Investment Scale
4.1.2 Capital Sources
4.1.3 Investors
4.1.4 Financing Measures
4.1.5 Main Income Sources
4.1.6 Return on Investment
4.2 Analysis of Investment Prospect of Railway Infrastructure Construction
4.2.1 Forecast of Total Investment Amount, 2006
4.2.2 Forecast of Investment during The “Eleventh Five year”
4.3 Investment Opportunities in Railway Industry
4.3.1 Railway Industry in China Has Long-Term Investment Value
4.3.2 Capital Gap in Railway Construction
4.3.3 Investment Opportunities in Railway Transportation
4.3.4 Manufacturing Industry of Locomotive and Rolling Stock
4.4 Investment Risks in Railway Industry
4.4.1 Problems in Investing-Financing System of Railway Construction
4.4.2 External Commercial Capital Share Is Limited
4.4.3 Be aware of Trap Effect in Investment in Railway Construction
4.4.4 Uncertainty of Reasonable Return
4.4.5 Strong Entry Barriers of Railway Construction Industry
4.4.6 Low Level of Marketization and Opening-up
4.5 Suggestions on Investment in Railway Industry
4.5.1 Share-Hold Operation in Railway Construction
4.5.2 Be Cautious in Entry into Passenger Transport and Choose Freight
4.5.3 Operation with State Owned and Foreign Capitals
4.5.4 Develop Multiple Operation through Cooperation with Railway Companies
4.5.5 Gain Investment through Carrying Capacity

5 Development Trends of Railway Industry
5.1 Great-Leap-Forward Developments Will Be Realized
5.2 Railway Marketization Reform Speeds up
5.3 Financing Channels Expand
5.4 Breakthrough of Investing-Financing Fields or Listing Road Net on Stock Market
5.5 Transition of Railway Transportation to modern Logistics
5.6 Railway Heavy-Haul Transportation Will Develop Fast
5.7 Railways Will Continue to Speed up to Strengthen Its Competition Advantages
5.8 Deepen Price Reform
5.9 High Speed Railway Will Develop Fast

6 Railway Industry and The “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”
6.1 Guidance
6.2 Major Objectives of Railway Industry in the “Eleventh Five Year Plan”
6.3 The “Eleventh Five Year” Objectives of Railway Reform
6.4 Direction and Policies of Railway Investing-financing Reform
6.5 The “Eleventh Five Year” Objectives of Railway Construction
6.6 Main Tasks of Railway Development

7 Analyses of Major Enterprises
7.1 Guangshen Railway Company Limited
7.1.1 Company Overview
7.1.2 Operation Status
7.1.3 Earning Capacity Will See a Big Increase
7.2 China Railway Erju Co., Ltd.
7.2.1 Company Overview
7.2.2 Operation Status
7.2.3 Problems in Operation
7.2.4 China Railway Erju, Benefits Most in The “Eleventh Five Year Plan” in Railway Construction
7.3 China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd.
7.3.1 Company Overview
7.3.2 Main Business
7.3.3 Operation Status
7.3.4 Development Prospects
7.4 North Landscape Architecture & Municipal Engineering Group
7.4.1 Company Overview
7.4.2 Operation Status
7.4.3 Competition Power
7.4.4 Speed up with Its Development

Selected charts

Demand Forecast of Railway Transportation during The “Eleventh Five Year”
Comparison of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Passenger Transport between Railway and Highway
Return on Railway Construction Investment
Return on Railway Transportation Investment
Investment Demand for Railway Infrastructure Construction, 2006
Medium-and-Long-Term Railway Network Plan
Course of Railway Marketization Reform in China
Measures and Performances of Expanding Financing Channels for Railway Construction
The Five Times Speed up of Railway System
Major Share-Holders Structure of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway
Passenger Carrying Income and Capacity of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway
Freight Carrying Income and Capacity of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway
Major Share-Holders Structure of China Railway Erju Co., Ltd.
Qualification of China Railway Erju Co., Ltd
Major Share-Holders Structure of China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd.
Business Structure
Major Share-Holders Structure of North Landscape Architecture & Municipal Engineering Group
Proportions of Turnover Volume of Freight Traffic of Different Transportation Means, 2005
Turnover Volume of Passenger Traffic of Different Transportation Means, 2005
Railway Cargo Carrying Capacity, 2001-2005
Railway Turnover Volume of Freight Traffic, 2001-2005
Structure of Freight of Railway Transportation, 2005
Passenger Carrying Capacity, 2001-2005
Railway Turnover Volume of Passenger, 2001-2005
Railway Passenger and Freight Traffic (Converted into Turnover Volume), 2001-2005
Income Increase of Railway Transportation, 2001-2005
Railway Transportation Efficiency, 2001-2005
Increase of Investment in China’s Railway Infrastructure Construction, 2001-2005
Total Length of Railways in Operation, 2001-2005
Ratio of Railway Construction Capital to Total Investment in Fixed Assets and to Transportation Investment, 2001-2005
Increase of Investment in Railway Transportation, 2001-2005
Ratio of Railway Transportation Investment to Traffic Transportation Investment, 2001-2005
Comparison of Transportation Income among Regional Departments under Ministry of Railways
Ministry of Railways Owns 16 Regional Departments and 1 Group Company
Operator and Business Structure of Railway Industry
Market Share of Each Transportation Type in Turnover Volume of Freight Traffic, 2001-2005
Market Share of Turnover Volume of Passenger Traffic of Different Transportation Means, 2001-2005
Railway Transportation Has Price Advantage Compared with Highway Transportation
Increase Speed of Railway Infrastructure Construction, 2001-2005
Proportion of Different Investors in Railway Infrastructure Construction
Capital Sources of Ministry of Railways
Income Sources of Railway Industry
Major Financial Indexes in Railway Industry
Costs Structure of Main Business in China's Railway Industry
Proportion of Investors in The Total Investment in Wuhan-Guangzhou Special railway Line
Course of Price Adjustment in Railway Passenger Transportation (Basic Price)
Planning Diagram of Medium-And-Long-Term Railway Network
Capital Structure of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway Line
Income Structure of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway Line
Capital Structure of China Railway Erju Co., Ltd.
Structure of Income from Main Operation of China Railway Erju Co., Ltd.
Regional Income from Main Operation of China Railway Erju Co., Ltd
Capital Structure of China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd.
Income and Profits of China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd., 2005
Capital Structure of North Landscape Architecture & Municipal Engineering Group


Companies Mentioned - Guangshen Railway Company Limited - China Railway Erju Co., Ltd. - China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd. - North Landscape Architecture & Municipal Engineering Group


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