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Estonia Freight Transport Report 2016

  • ID: 3454170
  • November 2015
  • Region: Estonia
  • 52 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Estonia's freight transport sector will continue to be affected by a drop in exports owing to a lack of demand from Russian markets (as a result of the food import ban) in addition to continuing economic weaknesses in Europe and especially in the Nordic countries, two of which are Estonia's top export destinations. Rail freight dominates the country's freight mix and will continue to do so over the medium term, benefitting from thawing tensions between Russia and the West over the longer term.

Estonia's economy has suffered since sanctions were imposed on Russia, and the ongoing tensions between the West and Russia will also affect the tourist industry in Estonia. However, we still remain bullish on Estonia's transport capabilities and for telecoms, the low-tax environment combined with a highly skilled workforce will benefit ICT services. Estonia's economy has shifted towards a more positive outlook and will post relatively strong real GDP growth over the next two years. With regard to exports, beyond the slightly pessimistic short-term outlook, Estonian exports are forecasted to improve over the medium term.

The recovery in the British and US economy will see exports to these markets rise. In addition, we believe relations between the West and Russia will thaw, increasing Estonian exports to the east. However, exports may not go back to the levels seen before the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis by the end of our forecast period.

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SWOT

Freight Transport

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Estonia 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Estonia 2013-2020)

Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)

Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)

Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)

Market Overview

Company Profile

Estonian Air Cargo

Eesti Raudtee Cargo (EVR Cargo)

Political Outlook

Domestic Politics

Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Estonia Politics Table

Oil Price Outlook

Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Estonia 2010-2019)

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Estonia 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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