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Iran Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3454202
  • November 2015
  • Region: Iran
  • 77 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Iran is the focus of intensive interest from investors in the petrochemicals industry, particularly European majors, but there is still an element of risk-aversion in spite of the hype. Although the sanctions are due to be withdrawn, there is lingering uncertainty. Additionally, economic structural problems, a slowdown in key export markets and the falling price of naphtha feedstock are deterrents for involvement in the ethanefed Iranian petrochemicals sector. However, potential rewards are high with considerable Iranian upstream resources and a large domestic market that investors cannot afford to ignore.

Planned projects would raise Iran's petrochemicals capacity three-fold to 180mn tonnes per annum (tpa) by 2022, although it is uncertain whether this target will be reached. This industry expects the next five years to see the completion of the Olefins 11 and 12 project, which will have capacities of 2.0mn tpa and 1.2mn tpa respectively. Meanwhile, the USD12bn petrochemical hub at Chabahar - the Makran Petrochemical Plan - will add 1.2mn tpa of ethylene and 900,000tpa of polyethylene (PE).

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SWOT

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Production

Consumption
Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated)

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)

Industry Risk Reward Index

MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016

Iran Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index

Market Overview
Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2019 ('000 tpa)

Privatisation

Industry Trends And Developments

Post-Sanctions Outlook

Upstream Developments

Current Plans

Company Profile

National Petrochemical Company

Regional Overview

Middle East And Africa Overview

Market Diversification Crucial To Growth

Tightening Ethane Supplies

Diversification Is The Long-Term Focus

Africa Falls Behind

Global Industry Overview

Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe

2016 Feedstock Outlook

Could US Gas Run out?

Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn

Long-term Outlook

Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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