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Malaysia Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3454210
  • November 2015
  • Region: Malaysia
  • 61 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We expect strong growth for trade in Malaysia over the coming years, boosting freight volumes for all modes. Rail will experience the biggest increase, catering for construction material transfers while road freight will dominate in terms of tonnage with industries utilising the country's extensive road network for their cargo transfer needs. Air freight will experience slow, steady growth limited by functional and cost constraints. Rising consumer demand in the growing economy is also contributing to our positive outlook with the recently agreed Trans-Pacific Partnership presenting further growth potential over the medium to long term.

Malaysia has enjoyed economic growth since 2010 and we forecast growth to continue over the medium term, although at slightly lower rates than previous years. For the years 2010-2014 real GDP average is estimated to have reached 5.7%, while we anticipate an average of 4.6% for years 2015-2019. Freight,
particularly for road, benefits from increasing consumer demand driven by relatively low unemployment rates (4.1% average 2015-2019) and inflation rates remaining lower than average wage growth. Malaysia oil production has declined significantly over the past decade however it remains a net exporter of oil and natural gas and so current low oil prices are having an effect on government revenues. With domestic demand for energy increasing and the country's oil reserves decreasing we forecast that by 2017 Malaysia will become a net importer of oil.

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SWOT

Freight Transport

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Destinations
Table: Top Export Destinations

Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)

Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)

Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)

Market Overview

Company Profile

MASkargo

Political Outlook

Domestic Politics

Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview

Oil Price Outlook

Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Malaysia 2010-2019)

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

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