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Indonesia Shipping Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3454211
  • November 2015
  • Region: Indonesia
  • 91 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Both of Indonesia's main ports are set to experience positive growth in 2016. Consumer demand and economic growth are set to bolster the country's shipping services, although the ongoing slowdown in China's economy could hold Indonesia back from maximising its potential over the next couple of years.

Indonesia's economy is faring extremely well at present, with real GDP growth forecast to reach 5.6% in 2016, up from 4.8% (estimate) in 2015. Added to the country's overall growth is the high rate of per capita growth, which we estimate rose by 10.8% in 2015 and, despite contracting slightly to 9.4% in 2016, will remain steadily about 10% in our medium-term forecast to 2019. This high consumer demand led from favourable demographics, rising levels of urbanisation and greater household leverage all bode well for the country's shipping sector, giving considerable upside risk to our forecasts. Although Indonesia's main export partners remain (in order) Japan, China, Singapore, the US and India, bilateral negotiations that were set to take place with the European Union (EU) in September 2015, along with a bilateral agreement of increased ties reached with Singapore earlier in the year, show the country is actively seeking to diversify its trade partners and export markets, especially away from a stumbling China. This could see pay-offs in the medium term to the country's shipping sector, especially if agreements outside of Asia - such as with the EU - were able to take hold.

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SWOT

Shipping

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Port Of Jakarta (Tanjung Priok) Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Sources 2006-2013
Table: Top Export Sources 2006-2013

Market Overview

Indonesia Container Shipping Market Overview
Table: Indonesia Container Port Plans

Company Profile

Samudera Shipping Line

Trada Maritime (TRAM)

Shipping - Global Industry View

Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast

Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)

Long-Term Outlook

Risks To Outlook

Global Company Strategy

Maersk Line

Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)

CMA CGM

Evergreen Line

COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Activity

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)

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