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Peru Power Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3456770
  • November 2015
  • Region: Peru
  • 57 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We maintain our positive outlook for Peru's power sector over the coming decade, based on strong growth in power consumption, government tenders for power generation and transmissions projects, and robust investor interest in the market. Growth in electricity generation will come primarily from by additional hydropower and natural gas-fired projects, but we also expect to see increasing investment in the solar and wind power sectors as a result of a new renewables-specific energy auction. Delays to project implementation are the main risk to our upbeat growth forecasts for this market.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- We expect significant participation from international and domestic firms in Peru's new energy auction for up to 1,750 gigawatt hours (GWh) of energy a year, distributed between solar, wind, biomass and small hydropower projects. The tender was launched in September 2015, with 20-year power purchase agreements scheduled to be awarded in January 2016 and plants to come online by December 2018.

- While we reiterate non-hydropower renewables will play only a minor role in the Peruvian power mix over the coming years, the auction confirms our view that the sector will offer business opportunities.

Major international developers such as Enel Green Power and SunEdison have shown interest in investing in the market through the auction.

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Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Peru 2014-2020)

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Peru Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Peru 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector

Peru Power Forecast Scenario

Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Peru Key Thermal Power Pipeline

Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Peru - Hydropower Projects Under Construction

Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Renewable Energy To Be Contracted In 2015-2016 Auction

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Peru 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Peru 2019-2024)

Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Peru 2019-2024)

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
Table: Power Transmission Projects To Be Tendered By Proinversión
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Peru 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Peru 2019-2024)

Industry Risk/Reward Index

Latin America Power RRI: Mexico And Chile Lead Stable Index
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)

Peru Power Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Key Policies And Market Structure

Regulation And Competition

Peru Power Projects Database

Competitive Landscape

Electroperu

Endesa/Edegel

Duke/Egenor

Engie/Enersur

EGE San Gaban

Perenesa

Regional Overview

Latin America Power Regional Overview

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

Methodology And Sources

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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