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Romania Power Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3495093
  • November 2015
  • Region: Romania
  • 55 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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This quarter we have downgraded our power forecasts for Romania to reflect our view that the completion of the country's flagship Cernavoda 3 and 4 reactors is unlikely before the end of our forecast period in 2024. Overall, the decision to exclude the Cernavoda reactors from our forecast has had a significant impact on our outlook for the Romanian power sector and means we expect the country to remain more reliant on coal and gas than previously anticipated. We forecast electricity generation will remain relatively flat - registering annual average growth of 0.9% between 2015 and 2024. Coal will remain the biggest component of the power mix, but gas will gain share as coal capacity is take offline to comply with tightening EU emissions targets, and Romania boosts domestic gas production from the Black Sea towards the end of our forecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- A new government strategy for 2015-2025 highlights the increasingly decrepit state of much of Romania's electricity infrastructure. According to the report, many of the country's electric energy production capacities have gone beyond the technical life and are becoming wasteful and polluting.

According to the government, the Oltenia and Hunedoara complex energy units are now on the brink of bankruptcy.

- In January 2015, new regulations came into force which allow only energy traders who possess a license issued by Romania's energy regulation agency ANRE to import or export electricity. Under the new rules, energy suppliers can sell energy only to the final customers, while the traders can buy and sell energy on the central market or for export or import. The new law also prohibits energy producers to import or export energy.

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Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Romania 2014-2020)

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Romania Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Romania 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector

Romania Power Forecast Scenario

Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast

Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast

Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast

Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024)

Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024)

Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Romania 2019-2024)

Industry Risk Reward Index

CEE Power RRI

Romania Power Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Key Policies And Market Structure

Regulation And Competition

Sustainable Energy Policies

Pricing

Romania Power Projects Database
Table: Romania Major Projects - Power

Competitive Landscape

Transelectrica

Electrica

Termoelectrica

Hidroelectica

E N

Enel

Company Profile

Hidroelectrica

Regional Overview

CEE Power Regional Overview

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

Methodology And Sources

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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Hidroelectrica

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