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United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3499759
  • November 2015
  • Region: United Arab Emirates
  • 60 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Aramex
  • Emirates SkyCargo
  • Etihad Cargo
  • MORE

We expect continued robust growth across the UAE's freight modes in the near term and over our medium-term forecast period to 2020. Massive investment into freight transport infrastructure - not least the development of the UAE's nascent rail network - will ensure that growth in freight volumes continues far beyond our forecast period. This will be driven not only by domestic demand, but will also be massively informed by the UAE's becoming one of the world's foremost global transhipment hubs.

Looking at the UAE's domestic trade growth prospects, we are bullish in both real and nominal terms.

Looking first at real growth, we forecast an expansion of 5.1% in total trade in 2016, followed by a further 4.9% in 2017. Imports will outpace exports, at 6.2% to 4.0% in 2016 and 6.0% to 3.7% in 2017. This reflects the shaky outlook for the oil sector, and the determination by the government to keep up spending,
and the subsequent buoyant outlook for consumer spending. Real total trade growth to 2020 will average 4.0% annually.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Aramex
  • Emirates SkyCargo
  • Etihad Cargo
  • MORE

SWOT

Freight Transport

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)
Table: The UAE's Top Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: The UAE's Top Export Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)

Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)

Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (United Arab Emirates 2012-2019)

Market Overview

Company Profile

Aramex

Emirates SkyCargo

Etihad Cargo

Political Outlook

Domestic Politics

Some Risks Remain
Table: UAE - Political Table

Long-Term Political Outlook

Oil Price Outlook

Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis

GDP By Expenditure
Table: UAE - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: UAE - Fixed investment Forecasts
Table: UAE - Net Exports Forecasts

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Arab Emirates 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Aramex
Emirates SkyCargo
Etihad Cargo

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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