The South African IT market will continue to grow in local currency terms in 2016, but as was the case 2013-2015, we forecast contraction in US dollar terms due to rand depreciation against the US dollar and the negative impact on household purchasing power. The outlook for 2016 is however slightly less challenging as economic conditions begin to ease, and over the medium term vendors will be able to target growth opportunities as consumer and business sentiment strengthens. Nonetheless, the IT market will continue to primarily be driven by government spending via service expansion and modernisation programmes. There is also growing interest in IT solutions among SMEs looking to explore new sales and marketing channels as well as improve their operational efficiencies, offering new opportunities and maintaining South Africa's growth rate.
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
- Computer Hardware Sales: ZAR28.8bn in 2016 to ZAR34.2bn in 2019, a CAGR of 5.8% in local currency terms. Rand depreciation represents downside risk by squeezing household purchasing power,
resulting in deferred purchases and substitution for cheaper models.
- Software Sales: ZAR18.0bn in 2016 to ZAR23.9bn in 2019, a CAGR of 9.2% in local currency terms.
We believe the uptake of cloud-based software, which is less susceptible to piracy and through more flexible pricing will deepen the market to SMEs, will drive growth in software sales over the medium term.
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: MEA IT Risk/Reward Index - Q116
Table: Cloud Vendor Developments
Industry Trends And Developments
Table: National Broadband Policy Targets
Table: Dimension Data
Table: T-Systems South Africa
Middle East And Africa
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Components