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Peru Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3511232
  • December 2015
  • Region: Peru
  • 56 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Peru's freight sector will continue to have mixed growth rates in 2016, with a contraction in rail freight volumes of 2.48%, slowing growth in road freight at 1.05%, and the strongest growth in air freight at 2.75%. Rail freight has been affected by low exports of copper and generally subdued metals prices, while road freight growth will improve on 2015 estimates due to moderate growth in trade activity and construction sector growth. Rising private consumption leading to stronger demand for consumer electronics will benefit the air freight sector the most, hence the strongest growth forecast for this transport mode.

The economy in Peru is steadily improving and we forecast GDP growth at 3.8% for 2016, up from 2.2% estimated for 2015. August and September 2015 have however seen below expectations growth rates in GDP. The moderate growth is largely due to a slowdown in Peru's mining fuelled economy as mineral prices have been weaker. Rising copper production from new mines has on the other hand helped underpin official forecasts for a recovery, and economic growth has increased mainly because of mining. 2015 has seen a recovery in fishing, manufacturing and mining sectors, which will help the economy in the coming year and over the medium term. Unemployment has also been at its lowest of the year in the last two months. Going forward, Chinese investments in Peru will benefit the economy as the country seeks to accelerate their developments particularly through building major infrastructure projects, positively impacting the freight sector.

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SWOT

Political

Economic

Operational Risk

Industry Forecast

Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Peru 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners

Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Peru 2012-2019)

Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Peru 2012-2019)

Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Peru 2012-2019)

Market Overview

Company Profile

Ferrocarril Central Andino

Political Outlook

Domestic Politics

Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Table: Political Overview

Oil Price Outlook

Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis
Table: Peru - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Peru - Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Peru - Net Exports Forecast

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

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Ferrocarril Central Andino

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