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Kazakhstan Power Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3511245
  • December 2015
  • Region: Kazakhstan
  • 55 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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This quarter our view on the Kazakhstan's power market remains largely unvaried. We continue to expect healthy growth in Kazakhstan's power sector over 10-year forecast period to 2024, in terms of generation and consumption. Although coal will continue to maintain its dominance over our ten-year forecast period to 2024, non-hydro renewables will grow rapidly, with a slew of foreign-financed wind and solar projects in the pipeline. The government also plans to restart the exploitation of nuclear energy, helped by Kazakhstan's vast uranium wealth. Power production will comfortably meet demand, with Kazakhstan's dependence on energy imports decreasing over our forecast period.

- We expect the Kazakh solar power sector to register limited growth over the next five years, as a result of the sporadic completion of only a small number of solar power projects. This will be in large part the result of investment prospects in the sector being undermined by uncertainty over the country's economic outlook and Kazakhstan's challenging business environment.

- Kazakhstan remains committed in developing its first nuclear power plant. In October 2015, Kazakhstan's Vice-Minister of Energy Bakhytzhan Dzhaksaliyev said Kazakhstan will decide the location and strategic partner for its first nuclear power station in the following two to three years.

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Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2020)

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Kazakhstan Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Kazakhstan Snapshot: Power Sector

Kazakhstan Forecast Scenario

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity

Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast

Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast

Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast

Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)

Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)

Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

CEE Power Risk Reward Index

Kazakhstan Power Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Key Policies And Market Structure

Regulation and Competition

Pricing

Kazakhstan Power Projects Database
Table: Major Projects - Power

Competitive Landscape

Samruk-Energo

KEGOC

AES

Company Profile

Samruk-Energo

Regional Overview

CEE Power Regional Overview

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

Methodology And Sources

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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Samruk-Energo

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