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Colombia Power Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3511248
  • December 2015
  • Region: Colombia
  • 58 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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A sharp fall in hydropower generation due to El Niño, coupled with a lack of domestically produced feedstock to ramp up natural gas-fired power generation, will raise a risk of power rationing in Colombia over Q1 2016. The country's robust pipeline of new hydropower and coal-fired power projects supports our positive growth outlook for the market over the long term, with new renewable energy incentives posing only limited upside potential to our forecast for the sector.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- The impacts of the drought created by the El Niño weather phenomenon will be the main driver of developments in the Colombian power market in 2016. We expect a sharp fall in hydropower generation in 2015-2016, which has forced additional diesel and natural gas-fired power plants to be dispatched. The availability of excess thermal capacity to be used during periods of poor hydrology and plans to import natural gas should both allow Colombia to avoid experiencing power cuts, albeit narrowly.

- Due to a lack of domestic feedstock to satisfy the growing demand from power generators, Colombia has agreed to start importing natural gas from Venezuela from January 2016. Also to avoid a shortage of fuel
- which forced two power plants to be idled in October - a group of thermal generators has spearheaded the development of a new liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminal, whose completion is expected by end-2016.

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Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2020)

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Colombia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Colombia 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Colombia 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector

Colombia Power Forecast Scenario

Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024)

Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024)

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Colombia 2019-2024)

Industry Risk/Reward Index

Latin America Power RRI: Mexico And Chile Lead Stable Index
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)

Colombia Power Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Key Policies And Market Structure

Regulation And Competition

Sustainable Energy Policies

Pricing

Colombia Power Projects Database

Competitive Landscape

Emgesa

Interconexion Electrica (ISA)

Empresas Públicas de Medellín (EPM)

Isagen

Union Fenosa/EPSA

Codensa

Empresa de Energía de Bogotá (EEB)

Company Profile

Interconexión Eléctrica SA (ISA)

Regional Overview

Latin America Power Regional Overview

Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms

Methodology

Methodology And Sources

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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Interconexión Eléctrica SA (ISA)

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