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Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3518044
  • December 2015
  • Region: Venezuela
  • 64 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The operating environment for the agribusiness sector has deteriorated significantly over recent years, due to a poor macroeconomic climate, a shortage of foreign currency and agricultural inputs, and government mismanagement. Venezuela's economy will be under extreme downward pressure in 2015 and 2016 amidst the drop in international oil prices. The growing headwinds to the economy will weigh on agricultural production and consumption in the coming years, and we forecast most of the commodities to see modest if not declining growth out to 2019. Producers of agricultural goods will struggle as rising production costs and controlled prices at the farm level reduce margins.

Key Forecasts
- Coffee production decline to 2018/19: 20.4% to 549,000 60kg bags. Venezuela's coffee sector suffers from many structural weaknesses and is on the decline. Low profitability (due to government-mandated prices), the lack of private and public investment and coffee rust disease will impede production from growing.

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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Grains Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Grains Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019)

Coffee Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Coffee Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Venezuela - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2011-2019)

Commodity Strategy

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Americas GM Outlook

Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Venezuela Agribusiness Competitive Landscape

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook 2015
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

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