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Canada Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3518045
  • December 2015
  • Region: Canada
  • 72 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The operating environment for the agribusiness sector has deteriorated significantly over recent years, due to a poor macroeconomic climate, a shortage of foreign currency and agricultural inputs, and government mismanagement. Canada's economy will be under extreme downward pressure in 2015 and 2016 amidst the drop in international oil prices. The growing headwinds to the economy will weigh on agricultural production and consumption in the coming years, and we forecast most of the commodities to see modest if not declining growth out to 2019. Producers of agricultural goods will struggle as rising production costs and controlled prices at the farm level reduce margins.

Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth 2014/15 to 2018/19: 10.9% to 32.5mn tonnes. Output will increase as the country becomes a more important player on the global market, though will remain below the record levels of production from 2013/14.

- Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 7.4% to 1.2mn tonnes. This will be due to consumers'
increasing shift away from red meat, making poultry the most consumed meat in Canada.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 1.8% y-o-y. An increase compared with 1.2% in 2015.

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 1.5% y-o-y average. An increase compared with 0.9% in 2015.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Grains Outlook
Table: Canada - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)

Sugar Outlook
Table: Canada - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)

Dairy Outlook
Table: Canada - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Canada - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)

Commodity Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Americas GM Outlook

Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)

Canned Food

Processed Fish

Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)

Oils & Fats

Dairy

Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Canada - Major Agribusiness Companies

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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