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Poland Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3526587
  • January 2016
  • Region: Poland
  • 76 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Milk prices remained low into H215, but production in Poland has increased regardless as dairy farmers take advantage of the end of the quota scheme. The Polish government is lobbying for EU support on behalf of the dairy industry; however, in the long run it will take the exploitation of overseas markets to secure the future well-being of the sub-sector. We are less optimistic about the sugar segment,
which will struggle to increase yields sufficiently to thrive in the post-quota environment. Grain yields will fall sharply on the back of this summer's drought, but our longer-term view is for improved farming practices to continue to boost output per hectare. The livestock segment is adjusting to the fallout from Russian sanctions and the outbreak of African swine fever. We are now confident that pork and poultry producers will enjoy export-led growth, although low prices are a concern for pig farmers.

Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 5.3% to 10.0mn tonnes. Expansion in output will be relatively sluggish, though coming from a high base.

- Pork consumption growth to 2019: 8.8% to 1.8mn tonnes. Demand for pork will grow in response to lower prices.

- 2015 real GDP growth: 3.4%, down from 3.6% in 2014.

- 2015 consumer price inflation (ave): -0.4% y-o-y, down from 0.0% in 2014.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Grains Outlook
Table: Poland - Wheat Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Corn Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Barley Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Corn Production (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)

Dairy Outlook
Table: Poland - Milk Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Butter Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Cheese Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Poland - Poultry Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Pork Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Poland - Beef Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)

Sugar Outlook
Table: Poland - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Poland 2011-2019)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Europe Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)

Europe Fertiliser Outlook

Europe GM Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)

Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)

Fish
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)

Oils And Fats
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)

Frozen Fruit & Vegetables

Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)

Snack Foods
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Poland 2012-2019)

Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019)

Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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