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Indonesia Mining Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3554563
  • January 2016
  • Region: Indonesia
  • 74 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • PT Antam
  • PT Bumi Resources
  • PT Timah
  • MORE

Indonesia's mineral production growth will slow on the back of the country's ban on mineral exports and continued mineral price weakness.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends
- With the boom years in commodity prices behind us, we believe more miners in Indonesia will be forced to put the brakes on investment over the coming quarters. In January 2014, the government implemented the ban on unprocessed minerals, in order to stimulate smelter construction and increase mineral export value.

- Contrary to numerous smelter project proposals in 2014 and our past expectations on high smelter investment from China, smelter investment for bauxite has been stagnant with just one local smelter owned by Inalum completed in 2014 and all other projects halted to date. This will lead to further production cuts by bauxite miners in the near term. As such, we have revised down our forecasts as we expect the majority of new smelter projects will not materialise due to both low bauxite prices and the mineral ore export ban staying in place over the coming quarters. We have revised down our average annual bauxite production growth forecast for Indonesia down from 550% to 40.0%, 58.0% to -4.0% and 20.0% to -4.0% for 2015, 2016 and 2017, respectively.

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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • PT Antam
  • PT Bumi Resources
  • PT Timah
  • MORE

Table: Indonesia - Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2019)

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Bauxite: Growth To Recover Gradually

Latest Developments
Table: Bauxite Production Forecast (Indonesia 2014-2019)

Structural Trends

Coal: Slow Growth In Years To Come

Latest developments
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Indonesia 2011-2019)

Structural Trends

Production Fall In 2015
Table: Indonesia - Select Coal Projects

Copper: Growth Cooling Down

Latest Developments
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Indonesia 2011-2019)

Structural Developments

Grasberg To Drive Output Growth
Table: Indonesia - Major Copper Projects

Nickel: Production Making A Recovery

Latest Developments
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Indonesia 2010-2020)

Structural Trends

Ban Moderation Unlikely

Modest Price Growth
Table: Indonesia - Largest Nickel Projects

Smelters Being Built

Tin: Refined Export Control Will Limit Growth

Latest Developments
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Indonesia 2011-2019)

Structural Trends

Failure To Maintain Export Quota

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

Indonesia - Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Industry Rewards

Country Rewards

Risks

Industry Risks

Country Risks

Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index

Regulatory Development

Key Developments

Ban Moderation On The Horizon
Table: Indonesia - Export Restrictions On Select Commodities

The 2009 Mining Law

Trade & Investment Risk Analysis

Commodities Forecast

Commodities Outlook
Table: Commodities Price Forecasts

Competitive Landscape

Key Players
Table: Financial Data For Key Mining Firms Listed In Indonesia

Company Profile

PT Antam
Table: PT Antam - Key Financial Data

PT Bumi Resources
Table: Bumi Resources - Key Financial Data

PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG)
Table: ITMG - Key Financial Data

PT Timah
Table: PT Timah - Key Financial Data

Global Company Strategy - Freeport-McMoRan - Q1 2016

Company Strategy

Latest Results

Financial Data
Table: Freeport-McMoRan - Key Financial Data

Address Details

Regional Overview

Asia Mining: The Four Key Themes

Key Themes

Australia To Dominate Iron Ore Sector

Indian Coal Consumption To Remain Solid

Weak Chinese Demand To Keep Prices Low

Indonesian Ban Moderation Increasingly Likely

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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PT Antam
PT Bumi Resources
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG)
PT Timah

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
4 of 4
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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