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Argentina Retail Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3554571
  • January 2016
  • Region: Argentina
  • 67 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The election of Marcelo Macri as the new president of Argentina will have a number of positive impacts for the country's economy. We anticipate a number of reforms to improve business environment and increase Argentina's appeal for foreign retailers. While the country's households will suffer from high inflation and weak income growth in the medium term, Argentina's retail sector will accelerate after 2019.

The Argentine economy has experienced significant turbulence over the past five years. Economic growth,
which peaked at 9.5% in 2010, fell to 0.5% in 2014 and is expected to only achieve 0.7% in 2015.

Consequently, the retail sector faces considerable challenges going forward owing to high inflation and a business environment that remains unwelcoming to foreign firms. Many are therefore awaiting positive changes following the election of Marcelo Macri, the country's new president following narrow victory in November. We currently forecast GDP to grow by 2.5% in 2016 and pick up steam later into the forecast period.

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SWOT

Political

Economic

Industry Forecast

Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)

Retail Sector Forecast

Food, Drink And Tobacco
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)

Clothing And Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)

Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)

Personal Care And Effects
Table: Personal Care Spending (Argentina 2012-2019)

Household Numbers And Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Labour Market Data (Argentina 2012-2019)

Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Babies (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Children (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Children (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young People (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Urban (Argentina 2012-2019)

Macroeconomic Forecast

Economic Analysis
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Argentina 2012-2019)

Industry Risk Reward Index

Latin America Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116

Argentina Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Competitive Landscape

Mass Grocery Retail

Fashion

OTC Pharmaceuticals

Glossary

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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