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Argentina Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3554596
  • January 2016
  • Region: Argentina
  • 75 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We believe that, with export quotas for corn and wheat having been removed by the new government, soybeans will lose acreage to both crops and yields will decrease as farmers swap soybeans for wheat in early plantings. What is more, soybean hoarding will decrease due to a lower export tax and the peso devaluation. As such, we hold a bearish view on soybean production in Argentina through to the end of our forecast period in 2018/19. Meanwhile, we expect moderate output growth for corn over our forecast period to 2018/19, as we expect corn prices to increase from current levels, which will incentivise production. Over the same period we are also predicting wheat production to trend higher, although this will be largely due to base effects.

Key Forecasts
- Sugar production growth to 2018/19: 43.3% to 2.6mn tonnes. The sharp decline in 2013/14 was due to a dry summer followed by severe frosts that impacted key sugar-growing regions and, as a result, the sector will enjoy growth coming from a low base.

- Pork production growth to 2018/19: 26.1% to 557,300 tonnes. Over the long term, government efforts to reduce the proportion of beef in the local diet, in order to free up more for export, will lead to an increase in pork production.

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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar - Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Argentina - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)

Soybean Outlook
Table: Soybean - Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)

Dairy Outlook
Table: Argentina - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)

Grains Outlook
Table: Argentina Grains - Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Argentina 2011-2019)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Americas GM Outlook

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)

Downstream Analysis

Food

Latest Updates

Structural Trends
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Canned Food Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2012-2019)
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2012-2019)

Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Argentina 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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Our Clients

  • ConAgra Foods, Inc.
  • Monsanto Company
  • Cargill, Incorporated
  • Agrium Inc.
  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
  • BASF SE