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User Generated Video 2006 - 2007: Mania and Myth


Description: UGV shot into prominence in 2006 with new sources of content, a unique distribution stage and pent up viewer demand for content that formally resided on the edge of the counter culture experience, but became a pop culture phenomenon. But meteoric broadband successes can cut both ways, and the market is showing clear signs of maturation. This report offers detailed usage, trending data and audience analysis for UGV sites including Yahoo Video, Ebaumsworld, YouTube, MySpace, Guba, Grouper, Sharkle, Break.com, Revver.com, Google Video, Metacafe, Clipshack, ManiaTV!, Heavy.com and others.

Top line report findings and analysis:
- An in-depth library analysis of top UGV sites, based on the month files were uploaded and the number of cumulative views
- Sites included in the UGV library analysis are YouTube, MySpace, LiveDigital, Revver, Yahoo Video, Metacafe
- The author is currently forecasting a total of 30.9 billion views for 2006, and 50+% growth in '07
- Youtube and MySpace combine to capture an estimated 64.4% of the market in 2006, with Metacafe at 13.6%, Break.com at 9.7% and StupidVideos at 2.9%
- There is substantial file duplication taking place on UGV sites, with not only exact files being posted by different users, but exact files posted in different content categories by the same uploader
- There has been rapid maturation in UGV content categories, based on a month-by-month and category by category analysis of UGV libraries including YouTube, MySpace, Revver.com, LiveDigital, Yahoo Video and Metacafe
- The market is highly competitive and good content is scarce


Contents: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The UGV market went vertical in 2006
MySpace and YouTube capture a combined 64% of views in '06
UGV Viewing Share: 2006
UGV Year-Over-Year View Growth Comparison and Forecast: 2005 - 2007
UGV sites have unique business and publishing models
There isn't one user or creator of UGV
A transformation six years in the making

INTRODUCTION TO UGV
Development Trends, Market Size and Forecasts
Views and market visibility went vertical in 2006
UGV Growth in 2006
UGV Year-Over-Year View Comparison: 2005 vs. 2006
User Generated Video: 2005 Views
UGV Growth In 2007
UGV Year-Over-Year View Growth Comparison and Forecast: 2005 - 2007
MySpace and YouTube capture a combined 64% of views in '06
User Generated Video: 2006 Views and 2007 Market Growth Forecasts
UGV Viewing Share: 2006
UGV sites have unique business and publishing models
There isn't one user or creator of UGV
Six years of increasing broadband penetration finally create a genre "hit"
One way video becomes a linked in, linked to and multi-way experience
UGV is many things, but is it greater than the sum of its parts?
UGV is new, and so is the creative community's engagement
New leaders getting the attention of old leaders
UGV: Have a good idea? Place your bets on yourself
Let me touch your brand
How big is the transformation?
Is user generated video a fad?
International audiences: Generating content and views, but hard to monetize

SECTION ONE
Break.com, ClipShack and Ebaumsworld
Break.com: Short, Funny Video and an Incentive-Driven Upload Model
Video programming
Break.com Usage Metrics: 2005 and 2006
Clipshack/Reality Digital: The Front End of Reality Digital's UGV Capture and Management Platform
Video programming
Usage Metrics
Ebaumsworld.com: Extreme, Outrageous, Hilarious and Incentive-Based
Video programming
Ebaumsworld.com Usage Metrics: 2006

SECTION TWO
Google, Grouper and Guba
Google Video: It's About Search and Discovery, Plus Linking Affiliated Sites with Advertisers
Video Programming
Google: Video Usage 2005 and 2006
Grouper.com: A Global Audition and Product Review Platform
Video programming
Grouper.com Usage Metrics: 2006
Guba.com
Video programming
Guba.com Usage Metrics: 2006

SECTION THREE
Heavy.com, Maniatv, Sharkle.com
Heavy.com: Thrills, Spills and Babes
Video Programming
Heavy.com Usage Metrics: 2006 58
Mania Tv!: 24/7 Site Produced And User Created Video Channels
Video programming
Mania TV!: Streams Served/Hours Viewed 2005 - 2006
Usage Metrics
Sharkle/Vitrue: User Generated Content And Advertising Combine To Create Social Networked Marketing
Video programming
Sharkle Usage Metrics: 2006

SECTION FOUR
Livedigital/Oversee.Net: Personality Brands and Personalized Channels
Video Programming
Usage Metrics
Livedigital Category Ranking
Livedigital Category Share: % Total Views Oct. 2005 - July 2006
Livedigital.com Content Category Analysis
The Top Three Categories on Livedigital Make Up 52% of Total Viewing Share
Live Digital Content Category Share
Livedigital Content Category Share: Oct. '05 - Sept. '06
Historical Average Views per Month Hold Stable Through September, but 3rd Q. Trends Continue Downward
Livedigital Monthly Upload and View Trends
Livedigital Monthly View Trend Analysis: Oct. '05 - Sept. 06
Livedigital Upload and View Ratio
Uploads Increase on Livedigital, Views per Upload Decline in '06
Livedigital Upload and View Ratio Analysis: Oct. '05 - Sept. '06
The Top 500 Clips on Livedigital Account for 28% of Total Views through September 2006
Livedigital Top 500 Clips: All Time

SECTION FIVE
Metacafe: User Review, Installed Client Base Combine to Create a Deep UGV Library that Generates Views
Video Programming
Usage Metrics
Metacafe: Total Views June - August 2006
Metacafe: Total Views and Client Downloads: June - August 2006
Metacafe Usage Metrics: August 2006 Library and Client Application
Metacafe: Total Video Clips Published July 2004 - July 2006
Metacafe Total Views: Data Capture Run August 11 - 12 2006
Metacafe Total Video Views: July 2004 - July 2006
Metacafe Library Daily Usage Comparison: Top 500 Clips '04 - '06

SECTION SIX
Revver.com, Stupidvideos
Revver.com: A Boutique Petry Dish For Advertainment And Creative Exposure
Video Programming
Usage Metrics
Upload Activity Has Increased Dramatically
Library Views By Month Also Exhibit A Similar Growth Pattern In '06
Revver.com: File to Views Analysis
Revver.Com: Files Uploaded Trending Pattern: Sept. '05 - July '06
Revver.Com Library Views by Month: Sept. '05 - July '06
Revver.com: Unique User Analysis
High Number of Seldom Viewed Clips
Revver.com: The Top 500 Videos December 2005 - August 2006
Stupidvideos.com
Video Programming
Usage Metrics
Stupidvideos.com: 2003 - 2006 User Metrics

SECTION SEVEN
Yahoo Video (Video.Yahoo.com): A Hybrid Hosted and Linked to Best of UGV Environment
Video Programming
Yahoo Content Category and Channel Linking Analysis
Yahoo UGV Content Stream Origination: 2006
Posters are Actually Yahoo Video "Channels"
Usage Metrics
Yahoo Content Category and Channel Linking Analysis
Yahoo Video UGV Summary and Totals
Yahoo UGV Channel Usage Analysis
Yahoo Video Experiences Some Seasonality
Yahoo Video Monthly Catalog Analysis
Yahoo Video Monthly Catalog Usage Analysis: May-October '06
Animals, Humor Popular Categories on Yahoo Video
Yahoo Content Category Share Analysis
Yahoo Video Content Category Share: 2006
Long-Form Episodic Files Boost Average Clip Length
Yahoo Video: The Top 500 Viewed Clips
Yahoo Video Q & A

SECTION EIGHT
YouTube: A Large UGV Library, Industry Buzz, A Major Media Owner, but Still the Most Unpredictable Entertainment Experience and Viewing Trends
Video Programming
Early Visibility
YouTube' Polar Ends: Immediate Adulation or Internet Obscurity?
UGV Discovery: Browsing for Gems
Valuation Based on Usage Metrics Yields a Rich Multiple
What Inventory Might be Worth in a Pre-Roll Advertising Environment
Google Buys A Brand and Market Share
Usage Metrics
The Deeper into Library, the Fewer the Views
YouTube Usage Profile: 58,200 Total Clip Data Harvest all Categories
YouTube Category Share Analysis
YouTube Content View Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. 06
Establishing a Monthly Average Clip View Benchmark
The Top 100 YouTube Videos: 105 Million Views in June '06
Large Library, A Potentially Uneven Entertainment Experience
YouTube Video Library Upload Flow: 8/31/06 - 9/7/06
Over 411,000 Video Clips Added The First Week In September 2006
YouTube Views Go Vertical When People Talk About the Clip
Ratings Surprise: Highly Rated Content Under Performs on YouTube
UGV: Viral Video, Blogs And People Watching People
YouTube Videos By Category (Top 100 Videos In Each Category)
Top 1,215 Videos Generate An Average Of 188,360 Views In September 2006
YouTube: Top Video Clip Views By Category
Comedy The Top Content Category On, Followed by People, Sports and Entertainment
YouTube Content Category Viewing Share: Data Run 9/7/06 taken from 4,800 Clip Sample/Category
YouTube Usage Profile: 58,200 Total Clip Data Harvest All Categories
Category Performance: 4,800 Clips/Category
YouTube Top Videos: All Time
YouTube Top Videos By Group
Dramatic Drop-Off In Views Going Deeper Into the Library for Most Content Categories
YouTube Top Views Comparison
Analysis Of 228,870 Video Clips Shows Comedy Remains the Top Category, Followed by Entertainment, Music and Arts
YouTube Category Share Analysis
YouTube Content Category Clips: Average Views Based on 228,870 File Sample Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
YouTube Content Category Share: 228,870 File Analysis
Each YouTube Content Category Shows Some Signs Category-Specific Seasonality and the Effects of Competition and/or Maturation
Comedy
YouTube Comedy Category Analysis
YouTube Comedy Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Entertainment
YouTube Entertainment Category Analysis
YouTube Entertainment Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Music
YouTube Music Category Analysis
YouTube Music Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Arts
YouTube Arts Category Analysis
YouTube Arts Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
People
YouTube People Category Analysis
YouTube People Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Sports
YouTube Sports Category Analysis
YouTube Sports Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Video Games
YouTube Video Games Category Analysis
YouTube Video Games Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
News/Blogs
YouTube News/Blogs Category Analysis
YouTube News/Blogs Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Science
YouTube Science Category Analysis
YouTube Science Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Autos
YouTube Autos Category Analysis
YouTube Autos Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Pets
YouTube Pets Category Analysis
YouTube Pets Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Travel
YouTube Travel Category Analysis
YouTube Travel Category Analysis: Sept. '05 - Sept. '06
Global Audience Ramps Up, Average Views Trends Down
YouTube Worldwide Unique Users And Views
Views per Unique World User Per Month
The Following Comments Were Made By YouTube CEO And Co-Founder Chad Hurley at Digital Hollywood, August 15 2006 During a Panel Discussion called The Next Level of Consumer Entertainment Experience
Our Addenda on YouTube
YouTube Most Viewed Videos by Time (All Time, This Week, This Month, This Day)

SECTION NINE
MySpace.com: UGV, Professional And Semi-Professional Video Nested Inside A Social Community And Networking Environment
Video Programming
File Duplication Abounds
Semi-Professional and Professional Content
MySpace Professional and Semi-Professional Content Analysis: 2006/2007
Usage Metrics
MySpace UGV Content Category Analysis 2006/2007
MySpace Average Views per Content Category
MySpace File Usage Analysis: Category Files and Views
MySpace On Track to Deliver and Average About 1.5 Billion Views per Month in 4th Q 2006 and into 2007
MySpace UGV Content Category Analysis 2006/2007
MySpace Content Category Analysis: Seasonality Declines Noted Across Library
Animals
MySpace Category Analysis: Animals Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Animals
Animation
Animation/CGI
MySpace Category Analysis: Animation/CGI Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Automotive
Automotive
MySpace Category Analysis: Automotive Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Comedy
Comedy
MySpace Category Analysis: Comedy Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Entertainment
Entertainment
MySpace Category Analysis: Entertainment Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Extreme
Extreme
MySpace Category Analysis: Extreme Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Instructional
Instructional
MySpace Category Analysis: Instructional Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Music
Music
MySpace Category Analysis: Music Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
News
News
MySpace Category Analysis: News Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Schools/Ed
Schools/Ed
MySpace Category Analysis: Schools/Ed Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Science
Science
MySpace Category Analysis: Science Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Sports
Sports
MySpace Category Analysis: Sports Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Travel
Travel
MySpace Category Analysis: Travel Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Video Games
Video Games
MySpace Category Analysis: Video Games Jan. '06 - Oct. '06
Weird
Weird
MySpace Category Analysis: Weird Jan. '06 - Oct. '06

SECTION TEN
Our UGV Database 2006


Summary: User Generated Video (UGV) will reach 31 billion views in 2006, up 429% over 2005

The report, User Generated Video 2006 - 2007: Mania and Myth, contains extensive upload plus UGV library usage and trends analyses for LiveDigital, Revver.com, YouTube, MySpace, Yahoo Video and Metacafe.

The report also contains abundant usage data, business model analysis and interviews with Heavy.com, Sharkle, Clipshack, Ebaumsworld, ManiaTV!, Break.com, StupidVideos.com, Google Video, Guba, Grouper.com, and others.
UGV shot up quickly in 2006, and continued its impressive climb through the first half of the year.

However, a monthly library analysis (based on file upload dates) for UGV sites including YouTube and MySpace indicate a peak in June and July, with big view drop offs in subsequent months.

The report analyzes video file duplication. For example, while MySpace.com publishes sixteen content categories listing over 16 million files, factoring out duplicates (same file, poster and date) leaves a library of about 8 million videos.

Duplicate UGV files are spread throughout numerous content categories, with additional duplication occurring when exact files are posted by multiple individuals, or in slightly modified form. And while good UGV content is scarce, there is little exclusivity.

A business model analysis for UGV sites shows sophistication and diversity, from platform licensing to pure advertising.

A category share analysis reveals how popular extreme, outrageous, comedy, music (spoofs and parodies), animals and science content have become to a new generation of video sources uploading regularly, and to those who enjoy a peek at the bizarre, humorous or unusual side of life.

"Meteoric UGV cuts two ways. We believe future UGV success will rely on better content, more editorial filtering, semi-professionals and professionals becoming engaged with and empowered by UGV brands, incubating new talent and advertising, plus directing audiences to content."




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