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Venezuela Retail Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3606560
  • January 2016
  • Region: Venezuela
  • 60 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We continue to have a gloomy outlook for the Venezuelan retail sector over the medium term. The country's economic troubles, including a low oil price, high inflation and weak exchange rate, as well as the government's highly interventionist stance, will continue to dampen consumer and investor confidence in the country.

We forecast that total household spending will reach VEF7,342.1bn in 2016, equivalent to USD1978.7bn. By 2019 these figures should be VEF21,576,2bn and USD333.8bn. High inflation is driving the rapid growth in bolívar terms, but is rapidly eroding real wages and curbing consumer confidence. The government's attempts to control prices of basic goods, meanwhile, have led to shortages that have increased the role of the black market in the economy and kept the proportion of spending that goes on essential goods high.

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SWOT

Political

Economic

Industry Forecast

Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Retail Sector Forecast

Food And Drink
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Clothing And Footwear
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Personal Care
Table: Personal Care Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Household Income And Numbers Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Labour Market Data (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Babies (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Children (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young People (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Urban (Venezuela 2012-2019)

Macroeconomic Forecasts

Economic Analysis

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

Latin America Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116

Venezuela - Risk/Reward Index

Rewards

Risks

Market Overview

Competitive Landscape

Malls And Department Stores

Mass Grocery Retail

Fashion

Pharmacies

Glossary

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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