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Brazil Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3606575
  • January 2016
  • Region: Brazil
  • 116 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the preceding five. In particular, corn production will lose acreage to soybean and see negative growth in 2015/16. Soybean production will outpace that of corn, as lower production costs for soybean relative to corn will make the commodity more attractive to grow. However, we see limited growth out to 2018/19 given the scarcity of area available for expansion as well as high import costs for fertilisers. We also see strong growth in the livestock and dairy sectors, as these will continue to benefit from Russia's ban on imports of US products, which has been extended to August 2016. We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we have held in the past, due to reforms in the ethanol sector and the significant depreciation in the real over the past several months. Real weakness will be a net positive for the country's agricultural sector.

Soybean production growth 2014/15 to 2018/19: 1.6% to 96.0mn tonnes. We see limited growth out to 2018/19 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers. Poultry consumption growth to 2019: 15.0% to 10.7mn tonnes. A growing middle class and the general preference for poultry over all other meat groups because of its health properties and lower prices will encourage demand growth. Beef production growth to 2018/19: 9.8% to 10.4mn tonnes. Reduced cattle availability will weigh on beef production until 2016/17, as increasing cattle supply will take time (a period of 30 months is required from birth to slaughter).

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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Sugar Outlook
Table: Brazil - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Grains Outlook
Table: Brazil - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Cocoa Outlook
Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Dairy Outlook
Table: Brazil - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Coffee Outlook
Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Brazil - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Cotton Outlook
Table: Brazil - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Soybean Outlook
Table: Brazil - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2011-2019)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)

Americas GM Outlook

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Structural Trends
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019)

Processed Food
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)

Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)

Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players

Company Profile

JBS
Table: JBS Financial Results

São Martinho
Table: São Martinho Financial Results

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

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JBS
São Martinho

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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Our Clients

  • ConAgra Foods, Inc.
  • Monsanto Company
  • Cargill, Incorporated
  • Agrium Inc.
  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
  • BASF SE