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Ukraine Autos Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3608796
  • January 2016
  • Region: Ukraine
  • 34 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The combination of a poor consumer story and a downbeat outlook for local businesses informs the negative view on the Ukrainian new vehicle sales market in 2016. We are targeting a 6.2% fall in sales across for the sector as a whole, with passenger cars set to outperform commercial vehicles.

Table: Key Views
- As of end-November 2015, Ukraine had produced a total of 6,434 vehicles, according to figures from the Ukrainian Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association (UkrAutoProm). This places the country on track to slightly exceed BMI's bearish forecast of 6,848 units for the full year, but fully underlines the bearish stance we take over the evolution of domestic auto production over the near term.

- We expect commercial vehicle (CV) manufacturers to be the least affected by the ongoing conflict in 2016 given the important role of heavy trucks in infrastructure redevelopment projects across the conflict-damaged regions of the country and the more numerous export opportunities for the heavy truck segment.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Table: Key Views

SWOT

Industry Forecast

Production And Sales
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)

Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)
Table: Ukraine, Top 10 Brands 9M15

Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019)
Table: Key Players Table: Goods Vehicles (LCV and Heavy Truck) Sales By Brands, Units
Table: Key Players Table: Bus Sales By Brands, Units

Industry Risk/Reward Index

Europe - Risk/Reward Index

Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential

Developed States Show Signs Of Risk

Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position

Company Profile

AvtoKrAZ

AvtoZAZ

Regional Overview
Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecasts

Sector-Specific Methodology

Sources

Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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AvtoKrAZ
AvtoZAZ

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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