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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • ID: 3608858
  • January 2016
  • Region: Bangladesh
  • 58 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term. The limited amount of arable land available for acreage expansion, as well as poor safety standards, will constrain growth over our forecast period. Structural problems still plague the industry, in particular the logistical challenges of food transportation within the country. Over the long term, we believe there is much more room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20% of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area to look out, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts
- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 25.4% on the 2013/14 level to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).

- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 16.5% growth to 151,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.

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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Rice Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)

Grains Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)

Sugar Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)

Livestock Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Asia GM Outlook
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)

Asia Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares

Asia Fertiliser Outlook

Regional Overview
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops

Competitive Landscape
Table: Bangladesh - Major Agribusiness Companies

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

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Our Clients

  • ConAgra Foods, Inc.
  • Monsanto Company
  • Cargill, Incorporated
  • Agrium Inc.
  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
  • BASF SE