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United States Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • ID: 3608861
  • January 2016
  • Region: United States
  • 72 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Corn and soybean production season will decline year-on-year in the upcoming 2016/17, yet will still be among the largest crops in US agricultural history. Livestock will see some mild improvement in production growth in 2015/16, mainly owing to the poultry and beef sectors. Over the long term, the poultry sub-sector will remain the outperformer in the livestock complex and we see the strongest production growth potential for soybeans among the grains complex. We believe grains production will stagnate overall due to a lower planted area on the back of lower prices.

Key Trends
- Beef production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 7% to 11.9mn tonnes. The length of the cattle cycle means we expect production to stagnate until the end of our forecast period, but we expect improvements in production starting in 2016.

- Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 7% to 23.3mn tonnes. The US is the world's second-largest poultry exporter, behind Brazil. As such, increased global demand for poultry, particularly from emerging markets, is likely to serve as a powerful production incentive.

- Corn production growth to 2018/19: 4.0% to 360.7mn tonnes. Corn production growth will slow over the next five years as opportunities to increase yields (such as through the adoption of GM seeds) are waning.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Grains Outlook
Table: United States - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Barley, Corn & Wheat Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Dairy Outlook
Table: United States - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Dairy Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Soybean Outlook
Table: United States - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Soybean Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Sugar Outlook
Table: United States - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Sugar Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Livestock Outlook
Table: United States - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Beef, Pork & Poultry Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Cotton Outlook
Table: United States - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: United States - Cotton Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Americas GM Outlook

Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (United States 2012-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (United States 2012-2019)

Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (United States 2014-2019)

Regional Overview

Americas Fertiliser Outlook

Competitive Landscape
Table: United States Agribusiness Competitive Landscape

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
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