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South Africa Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • ID: 3615996
  • February 2016
  • Region: Africa, South Africa
  • 67 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The report hold a mixed outlook for the South African agricultural market as a whole. Both corn and wheat will be hit by severe drought and the effects of El Niño, but we do expect grains to rebound over the course of our forecast period. Furthermore, livestock production and sugar consumption will both embark on a positive trajectory. Over the medium term, a weak rand, weather volatility and falling farm incomes will exert downward pressures on the market. However, economic growth, increasing demand and a higher population with more discretionary spending power will be boosts for growth.

Key Forecasts

- Corn production will take another year of heavy losses in 2015/16 due to severe drought, declining by an additional 25.9% y-o-y to reach 8.0mn tonnes.

- Sugar production will decline by 20.2% to reach 1.75mn tonnes in 2015/16, as El Niño and severe regional weather droughts hit output.

- Poultry production will reach 1.3mn tonnes in 2015/16, representing a y-o-y increase of 1.2%.

- Pork production will rise by 2.1% in 2016 to reach 245,000 tonnes, while consumption will see a rise to 306,000 tonnes.

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Industry View

SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Sugar Outlook
Table: South AfricaSugar ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Sugar ConsumptionProduction (South Africa 2012-2020)

Rice Outlook
Table: South AfricaRice Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks to Outlook
Table: Rice Consumption (South Africa 2012-2020)

Grains Outlook
Table: South AfricaGrains ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains ProductionConsumption (South Africa 2013-2020)

Livestock Outlook
Table: South AfricaLivestock ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Livestock ProductionConsumption (South Africa 2012-2020)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select CommoditiesPerformance And Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region

Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)

Africa Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food

Food Consumption

Latest Updates

Structural Trends
Table: Food Consumption IndicatorsHistorical DataForecasts (South Africa 2012-2019)

Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, ProductionTradeHistorical DataForecasts (South Africa 2012-2019)

Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, ProductionTradeHistorical DataForecast (South Africa 2014-2019)

Other Prepared Foods
Table: JamsJellies Volume Sales, ProductionTradeHistorical DataForecast (South Africa 2014-2019)

OilsFats
Table: Oils and Fats Value/Volume Sales, ProductionTradeHistorical DataForecasts (South Africa 2014-2019)

Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, ProductionTradeHistorical DataForecasts (South Africa 2014-2019)

Regional Overview

Middle EastAfrica Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies

Demographic Forecast

Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural PopulationLife Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group(South Africa 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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