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Kenya Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • ID: 3616071
  • February 2016
  • Region: Kenya
  • 56 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Kenya will continue to underperform its regional peers with regard to the development of its agricultural sector. Despite COMESA granting a one-year extension to the sugar import safeguard, which will provide a short-term boost, The report predicts the country's sugar sector to remain regionally inefficient and therefore to post very limited growth over the coming years. However, The report forecast steady coffee production growth due to relatively high domestic prices and improvement in husbandry techniques. Kenya will largely bypass the El Niño-related droughts currently affecting SSA, but the country will face more expensive corn imports due to higher regional corn prices.

Key Forecasts

- Corn production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 16.5% to 3.1mn tonnes. Corn production growth will befairly limited as subdued prices relative to previous years will limit plantings, while yield growth will be poor. Most of the gains will be due to base effects.

- Wheat consumption growth 2016 to 2020: 15.5% to 2.1mn tonnes. Kenyans already have a high rate of wheat consumption by regional standards. Improvements in availability and growth in population and incomes will drive consumption.

- Coffee production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: 8.9% to 980,000 60kg bags. Growth will be driven by increased financial support from the government in the form of funds and debt relief. In addition, new coffee varieties are likely to help boost yields.

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Industry View

SWOT

Agribusiness

Industry Forecast

Coffee Outlook
Table: KenyaCoffee ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee ProductionConsumption (Kenya 2012-2020)

Grains Outlook
Table: KenyaGrains ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains ProductionConsumption (Kenya, 2012-2020)

Sugar Outlook
Table: KenyaSugar ProductionConsumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar ProductionConsumption (Kenya 2011-2019)

Commodities Price Analysis

Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select CommoditiesPerformance And Forecasts

Upstream Analysis

Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region

Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)

Africa Fertiliser Outlook

Downstream Analysis

Food
Table: Food Consumption IndicatorsHistorical DataForecasts (Kenya 2012-2019)
Table: Meat Volume SalesHistorical DataForecast (Kenya 2014-2019)
Table: Dairy Volume SalesHistorical DataForecasts (Kenya 2014-2019)

Regional Overview

Middle EastAfrica Regional Overview

Competitive Landscape
Table: Competitive Landscape

Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural PopulationLife Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group(Kenya 1990-2025)

Methodology

Industry Forecast Methodology

Sector-Specific Methodology

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