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Botswana Mining Report Q2 2016

  • ID: 3621219
  • February 2016
  • Region: Botswana
  • 53 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The expansion of Botswana's mining industry will be tempered by weakness in global diamond prices over the next few quarters, with the country's largest producer, Debswana, revealing plans to scale back production at two of its mines over the next three years. A sluggish diamond sector will be mitigated to an extent by rapid expansion in thermal coal mining as the government aims to become a net power exporter within the next few years. Growth in thermal coal output will pave the way for the gradual, but long-awaited, diversification of the country's mining sector.

Latest Updates & Structural Trends:

- We have revised our medium-term production forecasts for Botswana downwards this quarter, following the announcement that the country's leading producer, Debswana, will suspend operations at one of its smaller mines, citing the recent collapse in global diamond prices. The company will also downsize output at another facility for a period of three years. With Debswana accounting for the bulk of the country's diamond output, we consequently forecast output to contract by 6.1% in 2016 to 21.8mn carats (mnct). Growth levels will be muted thereafter, growing by 1.4% a year on average through to 2020.

- Nevertheless, we continue to maintain the view that Botswana will become an increasingly important destination for global mining investment due to its stable political and economic environment. In December 2015, Canada's Lucara Diamond Corp announced plans for an expenditure of USD15-18mn on an additional large diamond recovery process at its Karowe mine. The company stated that the mine is estimated to treat between 2.2mn and 2.4mn tonnes of ore in 2016, producing around 350,000ct of diamonds.

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- Industry View

- Table: Botswana Mining Industry Value Forecast (2015-2020)

- SWOT

- Industry Forecast

- Diamonds: Output To Recover In 2016

- Latest Updates

- Structural Trends

- Table: Botswana - Main Diamond Projects

- Table: Diamond Production (Botswana 2013-2020)

- Coal: Increasingly Key To Energy Mix

- Latest Developments

- Structural Trends

- Table: Botswana - Coal Deposits

- Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2013-2020)

- Industry Risk/Reward Index

- Botswana Risk/Reward Index

- Rewards

- Industry Rewards

- Country Rewards

- Risks

- Industry Risks

- Country Risks

- Africa: Major Risks Remain

- Key Takeaways

- Latest Revisions

- Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index

- Regulatory Development

- Table: Africa - Mining Regulatory Outlook

- Africa: Major Risks Remain

- Key Takeaways

- Latest Revisions

- Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index

- Commodities Forecast

- Commodities Outlook

- Table: Commodities Price Forecasts

- Competitive Landscape

- International & Domestic Key Players

- Company Profile

- Anglo American

- Company Strategy

- Latest Results

- Table: Anglo American - Financial Data

- Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel

- Company Overview

- Company Strategy

- Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis

- Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data

- Regional Overview

- Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector

- Methodology

- Industry Forecast Methodology

- Sources

- Risk/Reward Index Methodology

- Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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- Anglo American

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