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China Information Technology Report Q2 2016

  • ID: 3625586
  • February 2016
  • Region: China
  • 70 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Data for 2015 and the forecast for 2016 were revised down in the Q216 update but the core scenario continues to be for an expanding Chinese IT market and local industry. Despite heightened uncertainty we expect a stronger growth trend in 2016 as the hardware market gains momentum and envisage a CAGR of 8.1% for 2016-2020 as a whole. A hard landing is a downside risk, but under the core scenario we envisage broad based income growth, enterprise modernisation, and government support for the IT industry, and particularly emerging technologies such as cloud computing and the internet of things will drive market expansion over the medium term.

The overall outlook is positive but opportunities will not be distributed evenly and challenges for foreign vendors operating in China as it pursues its national interest will remain a factor.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Computer Hardware Sales: CNY592.1bn in 2016 to CNY735.5bn in 2020, a CAGR of +5.2% in local currency terms. Market maturity means growth will be slower than the decade to 2013, but rising incomes has upside for vendors to focus on higher price and margin PCs in the retail market.

- Software Sales: CNY100.8bn in 2016 to CNY164.5bn in 2020, CAGR of +11.9%. Rising labour costs and broader dynamic of enterprise modernisation will underpin increased software spending, while cloud delivery models offering lower costs and more flexibility will deepen the market.

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- SWOT

- IT SWOT

- Industry Forecast

- Latest Developments

- Structural Trends

- Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2020)

- Industry Risk/Reward Index

- Table: IT RRI Score Breakdown By Region

- Table: Asia Pacific IT Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016

- Market Overview

- Hardware

- Software

- Cloud Computing

- Table: China Cloud Vendor Developments, 2015

- IT Services

- Industry Trends And Developments

- Regulatory Development

- Table: Government Authority

- Regulatory Developments

- Competitive Landscape

- International Companies

- Table: Apple

- Table: Foxconn

- Local Companies

- Table: Inspur

- Table: Neusoft

- Table: Yonyou Software

- Regional Overview

- Demographic Forecast

- Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)

- Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)

- Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)

- Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)

- Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)

- Methodology

- Industry Forecast Methodology

- Sources

- Risk/Reward Index Methodology

- Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators

- Table: Weighting Of Components

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