World Optical Cross Connect (OXC) Fiber Optic Equipment Markets for Core Long Haul and Metro/Regional Networks

Frost & Sullivan, October 2001

Cost Savings Drives Optical Cross Connect Equipment Markets

As telecommunications carriers begin to build the Next Generation

infrastructure to accommodate increased network traffic and higher-bandwidth
applications, they are expected to turn to optical cross connect
(OXC) fiber optic equipment. By providing 100 times the bandwidth of
traditional equipment and facilitating easier operation and maintenance, OXC
systems will dramatically reduce capital and operational expenses, and
increase network manageability.

This study analyzes the markets for OXC fiber optic equipment used in both
core long haul and metro/regional networks, including optical-electrical-optical
(OEO) and optical-optical-optical (OOO) systems. It evaluates pricing
trends and provides market size forecasts for each technology. With such a
comprehensive guide to the industry, your company will be poised to
capitalize on a fast-growing field.

Functionality Assurances Will Determine Wide-Scale Deployment

Optical cross connect providers need to convince companies that all

network management and reliability issues associated with transparent core
networks and optical fabrics are solved, says the study‘s analyst. Wide-scale

adoption will be restrained until early adopters have debugged new systems
and proven them to be reliable.

To win contracts, OXC providers must also assure carriers that
their equipment can be easily integrated with legacy systems. Established

providers should find market acceptance with current customers if their
products are efficient, integrate seamlessly with legacy systems, and
are early to market. This study highlights challenges that market participants
face and offers strategic recommendations, enabling you to anticipate and
overcome obstacles.

Equipment Sales Projected to Grow Despite Reduced Carrier Budgets

Optical cross connects will grow very strongly over the next six years, says
the analyst. The recent U.S. economic setback should not significantly restrain
growth of these markets. In fact, as carriers reduce their budgets and attempt
to sustain profitability in difficult economic times, OXC solutions will become
increasingly practical because of their substantial cost savings.

Furthermore, governments around the world will likely provide stimulus
packages to help sluggish economies, thereby encouraging adoption of
advanced network equipment. This study is the most up-to-date guide to
the industry. With its in-depth discussions of economic trends and their
influence on the marketplace, your company will be well prepared to optimize
its resources.

Additional Information

Market Participants

AcceLight Networks

ADC

ADVA Optical Networking
Agilent Technologies, Inc.
Alcatel USA, Inc.
All Optical Networks, Inc.

Altamar
Networks/Ditech
Communications Corp.
Applied Micro Circuits Corp.
Analog Devices, Inc.
ATOGA Systems, Inc.
Axiowave Networks, Inc.

Blue Sky Research

Bookham Technology Plc
BrightLink Networks, Inc.
C Speed Corp.
Calient Networks, Inc.
Caspian Networks, Inc.

Celio
Chiaro Networks, Inc.
Ciena Corp.
Cinta Networks Corp.

Comstellar
Technologies, Inc.

Continuum Photonics
Coree Networks, Inc.
Corning, Inc.
Corvis Corp.

Cronos Integrated
Microsystems/JDS
Uniphase Corp.
Cypress Semiconductor Corp.
DigiLens, Inc.
ECI Telecom Ltd.
edgeflow, Inc.
Exar Corp.
Hitachi America Ltd.
Huawei Co.

Integrated Micro Machine
Inara Networks, Inc.
InLight Communications, Inc.

Internet Machines

IP Optical
JDS Uniphase Corp.
Kymata Ltd.
LightCross, Inc.
LightPath Technologies, Inc.

Lucent Technologies
Luxcore Networks, Inc.

LYNX Photonic Networks
Mahi Networks, Inc.

Maple Optical Systems
Marconi Corp. plc
MEMX, Inc.

Movaz Networks
Nayna Networks, Inc.
NEC USA, Inc.
Network Photonics, Inc.
Nortel Networks Ltd.
Ocular Networks, Inc.
Oepic, Inc.

Onix Microsystems
Opthos, Inc.
Optical Micro Machines, Inc.
Optical Switch Corp.
Optisphere/Simens AG

OpXCon
Paxonet Communications, Inc.

PhotonEx
PMC Sierra, Inc.
Polatis Ltd.
Primawave Photonics, Inc.

Princeton Optical

Radiant Photonics

Siemens AG

Solus Micro
Technologies, Inc.
Southhampton Photonics, Inc.
Standard MEMs, Inc.

SwitchCore AB
Sycamore Networks, Inc.
Tellabs, Inc.
Tellium, Inc.

Tenor Net
Tera Fiberoptics, Inc.
TeraBurst Networks, Inc.
Texas Instruments, Inc.

Trellis Photonics
Velio Communications, Inc.
Village Networks, Inc.
Vitesse Semiconductor Corp.
Vivace Networks, Inc.

1. Executive Summary
A. Intro to Optical Cross Connects (OXC)
B. Summary of Major Findings
C. Market Opportunities
D. Competitive Analysis
E. Conclusions

2. Challenges, Drivers, and Market Restraints
A. Introduction
B. Challenges
C. Total OXC Market Drivers
D. Total OXC Restraints

3. Total OXC Market
A. Introduction
B. OpNet Market Segmentation
C. Four Competitor Types
D. Forecast parameters
E. Total Market Forecast (Worldwide)
F. Total OXC Market - Geographic Distribution
G. Total Worldwide Market Share
H. Research Methodology

4. Core Long Haul OXC Market
A. Introduction
B. Core Products
C. Geographic Core Network Market Share
D. Core OEO - Drivers and Restraints
E. Core OEO: Market Share Analysis (2001)
F. Core OEO Forecast 2001-2006
G. Core OOO - Driver and Restraints
H. Core OOO: Market Share Analysis (2001)
I. Core OOO Forecast 2001-2006

5. Metropolitan and Regional Area OXC Market
A. Introduction
B. Metro Products
C. Geographic Worldwide Metro Network Market Share
D. Metro OEO - Drivers and Restraints
E. Metro OEO: Market Share Analysis (2001)
F. Metro OEO Forecast 2001-2006
G. Metro OOO - Drivers and Restraints
H. Metro OOO: Market Share Analysis (2001)
I. Metro OOO Forecast 2001-2006

6. Strategic Recommendations
A. Introduction
B. Equipment Vendor Recommendations
C. Service Provider Recommendations
D. Investor Recommendations

7. Awards
A. Introduction
B. Market Leadership Award
C. Product Innovation Award
D. Technology Development Award
E. Product Differentiation Award
F. Product Strategy Award

8. OXC Company Profiles
A. Alcatel
B. Altamar Networks
C. Ciena Corp.
D. Edgeflow, Inc.
E. LM Ericsson Telephone Co.
F. Fujitsu
G. Lightscape Networks
H. Lucent Technologies
I. Marconi Plc
J. Movaz Networks
K. Nortel Networks
L. Sycamore Networks
M. Tellium, Inc.
N. TeraBurst Networks

9. Glossary
A. Definition of terms used in this report
B. Questions?

List Of Figures

OXC: Market Challenges Ranked in Order of Impact (World), 2000-2006
OXC: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (World), 2000-2006
OXC: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (World), 2000-2006
OXC: Competitive Structure (World), 2001
Total OXC: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006
OXC: Geographic Distribution of Revenue (Total Market), July 2000-July 2001
Total OXC: Vendor Revenues by Geographic Region (Total Market), July 2000 -July 2001
Core OXC: Product Functionality (Worldwide), 2001
Core OXC: Vendor Product Comparison (Metro/Regional Market)
Core OXC: Vendor Revenues by Geographic Region (Total Core Market), July 2000-July 2001
Core OXC: Geographic Distribution of Revenue (Core Total Market), July 2000- July 2001
Core Total OXC: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006
OXC: Core OEO Market Share (World), July 2000- July 2001
Core OEO Forecast: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), July 2000- July 2001
Core OOO: Market Share (Worldwide), June 2000- June 2001
Core OOO Forecast: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006
Metro OXC: Product Functionality (Worldwide), 2001
Metro OXC: Vendor Product Comparison (Metro/Regional Market)
Total Metro OXC: Vendor Revenues by Geographic Region (Worldwide), July 2000-July 2001
Total Metro OXC: Geographic Distribution of Revenue (Metro/Regional Market), July 2000- July 2001
Total Metro OXC Forecast: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006
Metro OEO: Market Share (Worldwide), July 2000- July 2001
Metro OEO Forecast: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006
Metro OOO Forecast: Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts (World), 2001-2006

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