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Impact of 42-Volt Electrical Systems on North American Automobiles

Frost & Sullivan, August 2002



Growing Demand for Vehicular Electric Systems Drives Move to 42-volt Technology

As the need for onboard electrical power in North American-made automobiles grows rapidly, the transition from currently used 14-volt to 42-volt automotive electrical systems becomes imminent, creating manifold opportunities for new and established market participants. The emerging market for 42-volt automotive electrical systems is poised for expansion, as auto manufacturers focus on delivering increased comfort and convenience to consumers.

This Frost & Sullivan research examines the impact of 42-volt electrical systems on North American automobiles. It provides demand and opportunity analyses and market forecasts, examines market issues, and identifies strategies to address them.

Potential Benefits of 42-volt Systems Attract Auto Manufacturers

There is a growing inclination among automakers to adopt 42-volt electrical systems, which offer a host of attractive benefits such as additional electrical applications, enhanced safety through improved vehicle handling, reduced fuel consumption and emissions, and environment friendliness. As production volumes of 42-volt systems and components increase, prices are bound to decline, boosting demand from automakers. Adoption of the 42-volt standard will unleash changes that will impact vehicles over many years as automakers realize more and more possibilities, says the analyst.

Technical difficulties and the increased costs arising from the necessity to retain 14-volt systems till 42-volt systems gain acceptance, pose challenges to suppliers. To counter these challenges, suppliers should focus on educating automakers about the potential benefits of 42-volt systems and invest substantially in research and development.

New Production Opportunities for Market Participants

Both new and existing participants can exploit opportunities to create novel products needed for 42-volt electrical systems. Manufacturers of electronic products with new applications-electronic control modules for managing batteries-will be able to penetrate the market easily, as they will have virtually no competition. Participants capable of seamless adaptation to change will take the lead in this market, particularly if they have the resources and technical know-how to do so.

Technology-strong participants can gain a competitive edge by developing 42-volt versions of mechanical and hydraulic systems ahead of demand from automakers. The development of 42-volt alternators and crankshaft-mounted integrated starter-alternators should be the prime focus of manufacturers' efforts. As the analyst says, Benefits such as better fuel economy and lower exhaust emissions are likely to cause automakers to spread 42-volt technology across their vehicular product lines more quickly, especially once costs of 42-volt components begin to come down.

This study identifies key opportunities arising out of the impending introduction of 42-volt technology for North American automobiles and helps your company develop an effective business plan by offering strategic insight.

1Executive Summary
A.Market Overview

1. Introduction  

2Competitive Analysis

3Technologies
B.Major Research Findings

1Opportunities and Forecasts

2Market Segment Analysis

3Strategic Conclusions

4Related Studies

2Total Market
A.Overview and Definitions

1Introduction

2Market Drivers

3Market Restraints

4Industry Challenges
B.Demand, Technology, and Pricing Trends

1Demand Analysis

2Technology Trends

3Pricing Trends

4Other Components
C.Competitive Analysis

1Competitive Structure

2Product Analysis

3Winners and Losers
D.Recommendations and Evaluation

1Strategies Overview

2Strategies for Challenge 1

3Strategies for Challenge 2

4Strategies for Challenge 3

5Strategies for Challenge 4

6Strategies for Challenge 5

7Strategies for Challenge 6

8Strategies for Challenge 7
E.Market Engineering Awards
1Product Line Strategy -- 42-Volt Automotive Electrical Systems: Delphi Corporation
2Market Penetration -- Starters and Alternators: Continental AG
3Technology Innovation -- Electrical Storage: Maxwell Technologies Inc.
4Technology Innovation -- Electronics: Yazaki North America Inc.

342-Volt Vehicle Production Forecast
A.Overview and Definitions

1Introduction

2Global Overview

3Demand Analysis

4Impact on Starters and Alternators
A.42-Volt Starters and Alternators

1Overview and Definitions

2Demand Analysis

3Market and Technology Issues

4Competitive Analysis

5Product Analysis

5Impact on Batteries
A.Total Market Analysis

1Overview and Definitions

2Challenges

3Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecasts

4Demand Analysis

5Pricing Trends

6Technology Trends

7Competitive Structure

8Product Analysis

6Impact on Electronics
A.Total Market Analysis

1Overview and Definitions

2Challenges

3Revenue Forecasts

4Demand Analysis

5Pricing Trends

6Market and Technology Trends

7Competitive Structure

7Appendix
A.Acronyms and Definitions

1Acronyms

2Definitions
B.Equations

1Compound Annual Growth Rate

2Conversion Equations

3Exchange Rates

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