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Analysis and Forecast on China Feed Industry (2015-2016)

  • ID: 3782898
  • March 2016
  • Region: China
  • 103 Pages
  • Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd
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Corn Prices Have Decreased by 20% Year on Year

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Asia-Pacific Zhonghui
  • CP Group
  • Dabeinong Group
  • Haid Group
  • New Hope Liuhe
  • Ningbo Tech-Bank
  • MORE

This report will provide important decision-making to domestic and foreign feed material producers, traders, feed producers and investment companies and also will provide important reference for industrial associations and research institutions.

Background
In 2015, due to a downturn of livestock and poultry farming sectors such as a drop in hog stocks and a continuous loss for poultry farming, feed output dropped slightly. China’s macroeconomic growth entered a middle-high-speed growth period instead of a high-speed growth and the development of feed for livestock and poultry also represented new features.

Although China’s feed output kept stable with some decline, yet production profit improved. Influenced by an increase in supply at home and abroad, the prices of feed materials such as corn and soybean meal kept falling, of which corn price decreased by 20% year on year; soybean meal price has approached to a low level during the period of financial crisis in 2008, and many listed feed companies’ profits all increased greatly.

Economic structural transformation will continue in 2016 and feed producers and livestock/poultry farming companies also will have good developmental opportunities and challenges. This report will represent: main feed materials’ production, consumption and trade; changes in market price in main feed materials; operational situation of feed sector and competitiveness trends about feed sector; operating performance and investment situation of key feed companies; forecast on developmental trends of feed sector in 2016.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Asia-Pacific Zhonghui
  • CP Group
  • Dabeinong Group
  • Haid Group
  • New Hope Liuhe
  • Ningbo Tech-Bank
  • MORE

Chapter 1: Chinese Feed Feed industry analysis and forecast
1.1 The Change Of Chinese Feed Production in 2015
1.1.1 2015 Industrial Feed Output Recorded 192 Million MT, down 2.5% Year on Year
1.1.2 Large-Scale Feed Companies’ (Groups’) Output Descended
1.2 The Change Of Chinese Feed Product Structure in 2015
1.2.1 Proportion of Compound Feed in Industrial Feed Output Increased To 85.17%
1.2.2 Concentrated Feed Output Went Down 9.42%
1.2.3 Additive Premix Feed Output Decreased
1.3 2015 Feed Production And Structural Changes In Different Poultry Species
1.3.1 Hog Feed Output Dropped 15.15%
1.3.2 Meat Poultry Feed Output Ascended 15.83%
1.3.3 Egg Poultry Feed Output Fell 1.76%
1.3.4 Aqua Feed Output Went Down 19.33%
1.3.5 Ruminate Feed production declined slightly by 1.99%
1.3.6 Prices of Feed for Livestock/Poultry Kept Dropping
1.4 2016 Chinese Industrial Feed Industry Forecast
1.4.1 Industrial Feed Output to Steadily Go up
1.4.2 Corn price will lower and protein feed price will maintain at a low level
1.4.3 Industry Consolidation to Be Further Accelerated and Industrial Concentration to be Further Improved

Chapter 2: China Corn Market Analysis and Forecast
2.1 Chinese Corn Market Policy Analysis
2.1.1 Planting Structure was Adjusted, Reducing Corn Planting Areas in Non-dominant Producing Areas
2.1.2 A drop in purchase price for temporary storage for the first time
2.1.3 Subsidies for Corn Further Processing Companies Were Increased
2.2 2015 Chinese Corn Production
2.2.1 China corn production increased by 8.93 million tons in 2015
2.2.2 Corn Planting Areas and Yield both Improved
2.3 2015 China Corn Trade
2.3.1 Corn Imports Amounted To 4.73 Million Tons
2.3.2 Reduce the amount of corn imports from the United States, a substantial increase from the Ukraine
2.3.3 China corn exports continued to decline
2.4 2015 China Corn Demand
2.4.1 Corn Consumption Down 0.44% Year on Year
2.4.2 Feed Output Dropped and Feed Corn Consumption Fell
2.4.3 Increased demand for corn processing
2.5 Temporary storage price cut, corn prices went down
2.6 2015 Replacement Demand For Corn
2.6.1 Sorghum Imports Reached 10.69 Million MT
2.6.2 Barley imports reached 10.73 million MT
2.6.3 Wheat Price Increased and Substitution Volume Decreased
2.7 2016 China Corn Market Forecast
2.7.1 Temporary Corn Storage Policy to be Further Reformed and Stocks for Temporary Storage to be Alleviated
2.7.2 Corn Planting Structure Adjustment, Acreage Will Be Reduced
2.7.3 Due to Difference on Domestic and Foreign Price, Corn Import to Ascend Steadily
2.7.4 Owing to a Cheap Price, Cereal Alternative Import Volume to Further Ascend

Chapter 3: Plant Protein Feed Market Analysis and Forecast
3.1 Soybean Meal Market Analysis and Forecast
3.1.1 Global Soybean Output Increased and Soybean Meal Output Ascended
3.1.2 Soybean Import Kept Growing
3.1.3 Due to an Increase in Soybean Supply, Soybean Meal Price Kept Decreasing
3.1.4 In addition to increase the proportion of feed meal
3.1.5 Soymeal Meal Exports Fell 19%
3.1.6 The export of soybean meal is still in Japan
3.2 Rapeseed Market Analysis and Forecast
3.2.1 Rapeseed Sowing Areas Reduced and Rapeseed Meal Output Kept Decreasing
3.2.2 Rapeseed meal feed consumption fell by 1.37%
3.2.3 Rapeseed imports 4.46 million MT, down 12%
3.2.4 Rapeseed imports significantly reduced 54.7%
3.2.5 Along with a Drop in Soybean Meal Price, Rapeseed Meal Price Fell
3.3 Cottonseed Meal Market Analysis and Forecas
3.3.1 Cottonseed Output Went Down and Supply was Tight
3.3.2 Cottonseed meal exports continued to decline
3.3.3 Sustainable Development of Cattle and Sheep Farming Sectors Drove up Demand for Cottonseed Meal
3.3.4 Cottonseed Meal Price Fell
3.4 DDGS Market Analysis and Forecast
3.4.1 Owing to a Serious Deficit, Operating Rate of Alcohol Companies Reduced
3.4.2 DDGS Producers are Mainly Located in the Corn Producing Areas of Northeast and Huang-Huai Region
3.4.3 2015 DDGS imports amounted to 6.82 million MT
3.4.4 Anti-dumping and Anti-subsidy Investigation on DDGS Import
3.5 China Plant Protein Supply and Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast

Chapter 4: Animal Protein Feed Market Analysis and Forecast
4.1 International Fishmeal Market Analysis and Forecast
4.1.1 Peru fishing quota of 1.11 million MT, compared to the same period last year decreased
4.1.2 South American fish meal production decreased 3.7%, exports fell 1.78%
4.1.3 Influenced by the El Nino, Fish Meal Price to Increase in 2016
4.2 China Fishmeal Market Analysis and Forecast
4.2.1 The coastal fish resources reduce, China fishmeal production decline
4.2.2 Chinese fishmeal imports 1.25 million MT, reduced by 1.25%
4.2.3 Imported fishmeal concentration is high, increased imports from Peru
4.2.3 Owing to a Drop in Livestock/Poultry Stocks, Fish Meal Demand Reduced
4.2.4 Along with a Slow Recovery of Aquaculture, 2016 Fish Meal Demand will Increase Steadily
4.3 MBM Market Analysis and Forecast
4.3.1 Domestic production decreased, 45% year-on-year increase imported meat and bone meal
4.3.2 Main Original Countries of China’s Meat and Bone Meal Import: Uruguay and Australia
4.3.3 A Fall in Fish Meal Price Impacted the Price of Meat and Bone Meal
4.4 Chinese Animal Protein Supply and Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast

Chapter 5: Feed Additives Market Analysis and Forecast
5.1 Vitamin Market Analysis and Forecast
5.1.1 Owing to an Overcapacity, Vitamin was in an Oversupply
5.1.2 Vitamin A Chinese exports grew by 4.5%, the export price fell 16.7%
5.1.3 Vitamin A number of imports fell by 10%, import price down 20%
5.1.4 Along with an Oversupply and a Downturn of Downstream Consumption, Vitamin Price Lowered
5.1.5 Thanks to production suspension and de-stocking, vitamin price will ascend
5.2 Lysine Market Analysis and Forecast
5.2.1 Due to an Overcapacity, Lysine Price Kept Decreasing
5.2.2 Lysine export prices declined slightly, a substantial increase lysine export
5.2.3 Lysine salts and esters export increased slightly
5.3 Methionine Market Analysis and Forecast
5.3.1 Due to the Depression of Breeding, Lysine Import Dropped
5.3.2 Methionine import volume increased 26 thousand and 600 tons, the import price of an increase of 15.3%
5.3.3 The export volume of methionine increased 6 times, the export price fell 53%

Chapter 6: China Feed Industry Enterprise Group Analysis and Forecast
6.1 Main Industrial Feed Groups’ Production and Operation
6.1.1 Small and Medium-Sized Feed Companies were Poor-Performed and Large Feed Companies Still Were Expanding
6.2 Analysis on Large Feed Enterprise Groups
6.2.1 Dabeinong Group
6.2.2 Tangrenshen Group
6.2.3 Haid Group
6.2.4 Zhengbang Group
6.2.5 Twins Group
6.2.6 New Hope Liuhe
6.2.7 CP Group
6.2.8 Wellhope Group
6.2.9 Ningbo Tech-Bank
6.2.10 Asia-Pacific Zhonghui
6.3 Developmental Forecasts on Feed Companies

Attached Figures
Attached Figure 2: The spot price of corn in selling area 2012-2015
Attached Figure 3: The port spot price of corn 2012-2015
Attached Figure 4: The spot price of corn protein powder 2012-2015
Attached Figure 5: The spot price of corn germ meal 2012-2015
Attached Figure 6: DDGS spot price 2012-2015
Attached Figure 7: Lysine spot price 2012-2015
Attached Figure 8: The northern port to the southern port of corn trade profit 2011-2015
Attached Figure 9: Corn imports profit 2011-2015
Attached Figure 10: The trend of hog herds 2011-2015
Attached Figure 11: Breeding sows livestock 2011-2015
Attached Figure 12: The amount of pig slaughtering sentinel enterprises 2008-2015
Attached Figure 13: The amount of grain imports 2011-2015
Attached Figure 14: The spot price of soybean meal 2013-2015
Attached Figure 15 :The spot price of Rapseed meal 2013-2015
Attached Figure 16: The spot price of cottonseed meal 2013-2015
Attached Figure 17: The spot price of fish meal 2013-2015
Attached Figure 18: Lysine spot price 2013-2015
Attached Figure 19: Vitamin A spot price 2013-2015
Attached Figure 20: The spot price of calcium 2013-2015
Attached Figure 21: China Corn Imports By Country 2015
Attached Figure 22: China Soybean Import By Country 2015
Attached Figure 23: China Rapseed Import By Country 2015
Attached Figure 23: Landed cost of imported soybeans 2008-2015
Attached Figure 24: World corn production and trade
Attached Figure 25: US corn production and yields 2001-2015
Attached Figure 26: World soybean production and trade
Attached Figure 27: US soybean production and exports 2001-2015
Attached Figure 28: Imports of soybean stocks
Attached Figure 29: Imported soybean crush margins 2008-2015
Attached Figure 30: Temporary storage of corn auction volume and average transaction price
Attached Figure 31: Inter-provincial transfer library auction volume and average transaction price of corn

Attached Tables
Attached Table 1: China major grain imports 2015
Attached Table 2: Corn import by country 2015
Attached Table 3: Corn export by country 2015
Attached Table 4: Corn import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 5: Soybean meal import by country 2015
Attached Table 6: Soybean meal export by country 2015
Attached Table 7: Soybean meal export by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 8: Rapseed meal export by country 2015
Attached Table 9: Rapseed meal import by country 2015
Attached Table 10 : Cottonseed meal export by country 2015
Attached Table 11 : Barley import by country 2015
Attached Table 12 : Barley import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 13 : Sorghum import by country 2015
Attached Table 14: Sorghum import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 15: DDGS import by country 2015
Attached Table 16: DDGS import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 17: Fish meal import by country 2015
Attached Table 18: Fish meal import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 19: MBM-cattle and sheep ingredients import by country 2015
Attached Table 20: MBM-free cattle and sheep ingredients import by country 2015
Attached Table 21: Whey powder import by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 22: Lysine export by enterprise 2015
Attached Table 23: Methionine import by enterprise 2015

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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- Asia-Pacific Zhonghui
- CP Group
- Dabeinong Group
- Haid Group
- New Hope Liuhe
- Ningbo Tech-Bank
- Tangrenshen Group
- Twins Group
- Wellhope Group
- Zhengbang Group

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
4 of 4
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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