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New Business Models For The Indian Ocean & Persian Gulf Submarine Fibre Optics Industry

  • ID: 45553
  • Report
  • April 2004
  • Region: India
  • 264 pages
  • Pioneer Consulting
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The first fleeting signs of a recovery in the worldwide submarine fibre optics industry have begun to appear. Restructured companies are emerging from bankruptcy protection and new installation projects are being proposed. However, the processes of consolidation and retrenchment continue and the scale of the revitalized worldwide market for submarine fibre optic cables is going to be considerably smaller than the market which went from boom to bust between 1998 and 2003.

So where are the shoots of this recovery appearing ? Not on the traditional transatlantic route or the Europe Atlantic region where demand growth has yet to soak up the capacity installed in the boom years. Not in the Americas, where major intercontinental trunks have only a fraction of their design capacity lit. And not yet in Asia Pacific where we continue to predict that the next construction boom will occur.

Somewhat ironically, the conflict in Iraq (and possibly also in Afghanistan) has sparked renewed interest in further developing the Persian Gulf communications network. This has combined with the de-regulation of the Indian telecom market attracting fresh capital, and the realization by a number of countries in the region that their current connections to the World Wide Web are not robust enough, to produce a flurry of announcements and rumoured new projects.

This 200-page report looks in detail at what is driving this activity and assesses the scale and type of submarine cable opportunities which exist in the region. Which countries will be the drivers of demand ? When will system upgrades take place and where will major new systems be required ? Who will be the major players and what business models will be used to seize those opportunities ? Ultimately, what will the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf market look like in the future and which business models are likely to succeed ?

Using an improved methodology which enhances forecasts while maintaining continuity with our previous submarine reports, the Report provides analyses on a country-by-country basis and reveals how the balance between demand for and supply of submarine capacity in each country is likely to change over the next 10 years.

We have taken our proven demand methodology to new levels by providing easy-to-use profiles for each of the 21 countries covered with detailed forecasts of multiple parameters. On the supply side, the Report contains profiles of all existing, planned, and proposed cables in the Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf regions. All together, this Report represents our vision of the future for the region and clarifies where the opportunities lie for carriers, system suppliers, and marine contractors alike.
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Executive Summary
1.1 Report aims
1.2 Report structure and methodology
1.3 Demand Forecasts
1.4 Opportunities
1.4.1 Indian Ocean Region
1.4.2 Persian Gulf Region
1.5 New Business Models
1.5.1 Indian Ocean Region
1.5.2 Persian Gulf Region
1.5.3 Conclusions

Chapter 2 - Introduction
2.1 Purpose of the Report
2.2 Report Scope
2.3 Methodology

Chapter 3 - Submarine Cable Connectivity
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Regional Overview
3.3 Asia-Europe Cables
3.3.1 Falcon (Proposed)
3.3.2 FLAG Europe-Asia
3.3.3 SAFE / SAT-3 / WASC
3.3.4 SEA-ME-WE-2
3.3.5 SEA-ME-WE-3
3.3.6 SEA-ME-WE-4 (Planned)
3.4 Indian Ocean Regional Cables
3.4.1 Bangladesh - India (Proposed)
3.4.2 Bangladesh-Singapore (Proposed)
3.4.3 i2i
3.4.4 India - Middle East (Proposed)
3.4.5 India-Singapore-Malaysia (Proposed)
3.4.6 India-Sri Lanka (Proposed)
3.4.7 Pakistan - India (Proposed)
3.4.8 Pakistan-Oman (Proposed)
3.4.9 TICSCS (Planned)
3.5 Persian Gulf Cables
3.5.1 Aden-Djibouti
3.5.2 FOG
3.5.3 FOG-2 (Proposed)
3.5.4 Kuwait-Iran (Planned)
3.5.5 Qatar-UAE (Planned)
3.5.6 Sudan-Saudi Arabia
3.5.7 UAE-Iran-2 (Proposed)
3.5.8 UAE-Iran

Chapter 4 - Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.1 Internet Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.2 Corporate Data Demand Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.3 Voice Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions
4.2.4 Submarine Cable Capacity Supply Methodology & Assumptions
4.3 North East African Country Profiles & Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.3.1 Djibouti
4.3.2 Egypt
4.3.3 Eritrea
4.3.4 Somalia
4.3.5 Sudan
4.4 Indian Ocean Country Profiles & Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.4.1 Bangladesh
4.4.2 India
4.4.3 Maldives
4.4.4 Mauritius
4.4.5 Pakistan
4.4.6 Sri Lanka
4.5 Persian Gulf Country Profiles & Supply-Demand Forecasts
4.5.1 Bahrain
4.5.2 Iran
4.5.3 Iraq
4.5.4 Jordan
4.5.5 Kuwait
4.5.6 Oman
4.5.7 Qatar
4.5.8 Saudi Arabia
4.5.9 UAE
4.5.10 Yemen
4.6 Regional Supply-Demand Balance Summaries
4.6.1 Indian Ocean
4.6.2 Persian Gulf & North East Africa

Chapter 5 - New Business Models for the Indian Ocean & Persian Gulf Submarine Cable Industry
5.1 Historical Perspective
5.1.1 Indian Ocean
5.1.2 Persian Gulf
5.2 The New Commercial Environment in the Indian Ocean & Persian Gulf
5.2.1 Indian Ocean
5.2.2 Persian Gulf
5.3 Future Submarine Cable business models
5.3.1 Indian Ocean
5.3.2 Persian Gulf
5.4 Conclusions
5.4.1 Financing
5.4.2 Scale & Scope
5.4.3 Ownership

Chapter 6 - Conclusion
6.1 Finance
6.1.1 Availability
6.1.2 Equity vs. Debt
6.2 Demand
6.2.1 Leading Countries
6.2.2 Demand Profile
6.2.3 Access Speed vs. Bandwidth Usage
6.3 Competition
6.3.1 De-regulation
6.3.2 Competitive Strategies
6.4 Supply-Demand Balances
6.4.1 Europe & Asia Connectivity Supply-Demand Balances
6.4.2 Intra-Regional Supply-Demand Balances
6.5 New Construction
6.5.1 New Europe-Asia Systems
6.5.2 New Regional Systems
6.6 Future Business Models
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