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Sweet And Salty Snacks Market Assessment 2006


Description: Executive Summary

This report defines the sweet snacks sector in this report as comprising filled chocolate countlines, chocolate biscuit bars, cereal bars and cake bars/mini rolls. The salty snacks sector encompasses potato crisps, other savoury snacks, and snack nuts. The `other savoury snacks' subsector focuses largely on extruded or pelleted products, but also includes tortilla chips, baked snack biscuits, and rice- and corn-based snacks. In terms of retail sales value in the year to May 2006, the salty snacks sector accounted for 54.4% of the total sweet and salty snacks market, and sweet snacks represented the remaining 45.6%.

The three largest subsectors in the market in the year to May 2006 were chocolate countlines (with a 27.4% market share by retail sales value), potato crisps (24.8%) and `other savoury snacks' (23.9%). Chocolate biscuit bars represented 9.3%, and cereal bars and snack nuts accounted for 6.8% and 5.7% shares, respectively. The cake bars and mini rolls subsector was by far the smallest, at 2.1%. However, potato crisps and chocolate countlines are currently static subsectors, while sales of `other savoury snacks' are in slight decline. Only the snack nuts and cereal bars subsectors show strong and continuous growth, with chocolate biscuit bars and cake bars/mini rolls in significant decline.

The Government's and others' campaigns to reduce levels of fat, salt and sugar in consumers' diets — in response to the substantial and growing numbers of overweight and obese persons in the population — have had an adverse effect on sales of sweet and salty snacks. Between the year ending September 2004 and the year to May 2005, retail sales of salty snacks declined by 3.3% in value terms, although this fall was followed by a very slight rise in the year ending May 2006. The value of the sweet snacks sector grew by 4% between the year ending September 2004 and the year to May 2005, but fell by 2% in the year ending May 2006.

Within the salty snacks sector, manufacturers have acted to combat lost sales by increasing their development and production of potato crisps and other savoury snacks with lower fat and salt content. This tactic had previously achieved little success, but the dominant producers of such snacks — PepsiCo's Walkers Snack Foods and the United Biscuits companies KP Foods, McVitie's and Jacob's Bakery — are now reducing the fat content of their major brands instead of just producing specific low-fat brands. The newer rice- and corn-based snacks, principally from Quaker, are all low-fat products. The success of snack nuts in recent years is attributable to consumers' perception of them as `healthy'. The major supplier of branded products in this subsector is KP Foods. However, snack nuts is the only subsector within the sweet and salty snacks market to be largely held by retailers' own-label products.

In addition, manufacturers are segmenting the salty snacks sector to a greater extent in order to attract more adults. Currently, a large proportion of salty snacks are eaten by children and teenagers. However, premium crisps and snacks, with more `sophisticated' flavours, are now common. This trend is expected to address the issue of the ageing population profile, as older consumers tend to have more refined tastes, to which such products should appeal. The pioneer of this segmentation has been Kettle Foods.

There has been less visible activity from major manufacturers in producing healthier sweet snacks, although smaller chocolate countline bars are now on sale, and Masterfoods has experimented with lighter fillings for its Mars Bars. In addition, the Government is campaigning for clearer information on packaging regarding the fat and sugar content of products. The sweet snacks sector is dominated by Masterfoods, Nestlé Rowntree and Cadbury Trebor Bassett, with Nestlé Rowntree being the market leader in chocolate biscuit bars.

Kellogg's, a pioneer and leader in cereal bars, regained some lost share of this subsector of the market in 2005/2006. Cereal bars have benefited from having a healthy image, although this perception of them as `healthy' is not necessarily accurate. Growth has attracted many major producers to the subsector, resulting in its fragmentation. Most have moved towards offering healthier low-fat bars, with some success. In contrast to this, the cake bars and mini rolls subsector is in decline, with the market leader, Manor Bakeries, losing substantial sales and share. The only other main player, McVitie's, has retained its share of the subsector but experienced a decline in sales in 2005/2006, despite increases in sales values prior to this. The cake bars and mini rolls subsector has shown significant growth in sales of retailers' own-label products.

The sweet and salty snacks market is projected to show a slight decline in value terms each year over the next 5 years (to 2010/2011), with sales of sweet snacks forecast to fall to a slightly greater extent than those of salty snacks.


Contents: 1. Introduction

BACKGROUND

SOURCES OF INFORMATION

DEFINITIONS

Sweet Snacks

Chocolate Countlines

Chocolate Biscuit Bars

Cereal Bars

Cake Bars and Mini Rolls

Salty Snacks

Potato Crisps

Other Savoury Snacks

Snack Nuts

2. Strategic Overview

ISSUES DRIVING OR AFFECTING THE MARKET

Health Issues

Sweet Snacks

Salty Snacks

Brand Extensions and New Product Developments

Sweet Snacks

Chocolate Countlines

Chocolate Biscuit Bars

Cereal Bars

Cake Bars and Mini Rolls

Salty Snacks

Potato Crisps and Other Savoury Snacks

Snack Biscuits

Rice- and Corn-Based Snacks

Snack Nuts

Changing Lifestyles: Increased Snacking Occasions

Table 1: The UK Working Population by Sex (million and %), 1971, 1975, 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005

Table 2: Number of Full-Time and Part-Time Employed and Self-Employed Workers in the UK by Sex (million), 1985 and 2005

Children's Pocket Money and Disposable Income

MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION

Table 3: The Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Figure 1: The Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 4: The Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Subsector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE

ADVERTISING

Table 5: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Sweet and Salty Snacks (£m), Years Ending March 2004-2006

THE CONSUMER

MARKET FORECASTS

Table 6: The Forecast Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending May 2007-2011

3. Sweet Snacks

MARKET SIZE

Table 7: The UK Sweet Snacks Sector by Subsector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Figure 2: The UK Sweet Snacks Sector by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Chocolate Countlines

Table 8: The UK Chocolate Countlines Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 9: The UK Chocolate Countlines Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Chocolate Biscuit Bars

Table 10: The UK Chocolate Biscuit Bars Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 11: The UK Chocolate Biscuit Bars Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Cereal Bars

Table 12: The UK Cereal Bars Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 13: The UK Cereal Bars Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Cake Bars and Mini Rolls

Table 14: The UK Cake Bars and Mini Rolls Subsector by Product Segment by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 15: The UK Cake Bars and Mini Rolls Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 16: The UK Cake Bars and Mini Rolls Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

CONSUMER TRENDS

ADVERTISING

DISTRIBUTION

4. Salty Snacks

MARKET SIZE

Table 17: The UK Salty Snacks Sector by Subsector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Figure 3: The UK Salty Snacks Sector by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Potato Crisps

Table 18: The UK Potato Crisps Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 19: The UK Potato Crisps Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Other Savoury Snacks

Table 20: The UK `Other Savoury Snacks' Subsector by Product Segment by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 21: The UK `Other Savoury Snacks' Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 22: The UK `Other Savoury Snacks' Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Snack Nuts

Table 23: The UK Snack Nuts Subsector — Sales by Selected Leading Manufacturers by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), Years Ending September 2003 and 2004, and Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

Table 24: The UK Snack Nuts Subsector — Major Brands by Share of Retail Sales Value (%), Years Ending May 2005 and 2006

CONSUMER TRENDS

ADVERTISING

DISTRIBUTION

5. Advertising and Promotion

MAIN MEDIA ADVERTISING EXPENDITURE

Table 25: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Sweet and Salty Snacks by Brand (£000 and %), Years Ending March 2004-2006

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

Advertising to Children

Ofcom Report on Food and Drink Advertising to Children

Food Labelling

Promotion of Healthier Products

European Nutrition and Health Claims Regulation

Sponsorship Deals

6. Distribution

SALES BY OUTLET TYPE

Table 26: Sales of Crisps, Nuts and Other Savoury Snacks by Outlet Type by Value (%), Years Ending April 2003 and March 2004

Table 27: Sales of Chocolate Countlines by Outlet Type by Value (%), 2003 and 2005

7. An International Perspective

SWEET SNACKS

Table 28: Consumption of Chocolate Confectionery and of Biscuits/Wafers in the EU and EFTA by Volume (million tonnes), 2003 and 2004

Table 29: Per Capita Consumption of Chocolate Confectionery and Biscuits/Wafers by Country by Volume (kilograms per head), 2004

SALTY SNACKS

The EU Market

Table 30: The EU Savoury Snacks Market by Sector by Value (Äbn and %), 2003 and 2004

The Non-EU Market

Table 31: The Non-EU Savoury Snacks Market by Sector by Value (Äm and %), 2003 and 2004

Scandinavia

Table 32: The Scandinavian Salty Snacks Market by Sector by Value by Country (Äm and %), 2005

Germany

Table 33: The German Salty Snacks Market by Sector by Value (Äm and %), 2004

8. PEST Analysis

POLITICAL FACTORS

ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS

SOCIAL FACTORS

TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS

9. Consumer Dynamics

PRODUCT PENETRATION AND LEVELS OF USAGE

Sweet Snacks

Sweet Biscuits

Table 34: Penetration of Sweet Biscuits by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

Chocolate Bars

Table 35: Penetration of Chocolate Bars by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

Other Chocolate Items (Excluding Boxed Chocolate Assortments)

Table 36: Penetration of Other Chocolate Items (Excluding Boxed Chocolate Assortments) by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

Fresh or Packeted Cakes

Table 37: Penetration of Fresh or Packeted Cakes by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

Salty/Savoury Snacks

Savoury Biscuits

Table 38: Penetration of Savoury Biscuits by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

Crisps Snacks

Table 39: Penetration of Crisps Snacks by Sex, Age and Social Grade (% of adults), 2005

Other Savoury Snacks

Table 40: Penetration of Other Savoury Snacks by Sex, Age and Social Grade by Frequency of Consumption (% of adults), 2005

ORIGINAL RESEARCH INTO CONSUMERS' PURCHASING HABITS AND ATTITUDES

Table 41: Summary of Research Findings Regarding Consumers' Purchasing Habits and Attitudes Towards Sweet and Salty Snacks (% of respondents), June 2006

Regular (Monthly) Purchasing of Snack Products

Potato Crisps or Other Savoury Snacks

Table 42: Purchasing of Potato Crisps or Other Savoury Snacks at Least Once a Month (% of respondents), June 2006

Filled Chocolate Bars

Table 43: Purchasing of Filled Chocolate Bars at Least Once a Month (% of respondents), June 2006

Chocolate Biscuit Bars

Table 44: Purchasing of Chocolate Biscuit Bars at Least Once a Month (% of respondents), June 2006

Cereal Bars

Table 45: Purchasing of Cereal Bars at Least Once a Month (% of respondents), June 2006

Cake Bars/Mini Rolls

Table 46: Purchasing of Cake Bars/Mini Rolls at Least Once a Month (% of respondents), June 2006

Reducing Purchases of Snack Products Because of Their Fat, Sugar and/or Salt Content

Potato Crisps and Other Savoury Snacks

Table 47: Reducing Purchases of Potato Crisps or Other Savoury Snacks Because of Their Fat and Salt Content (% of respondents), June 2006

Filled Chocolate Bars and Chocolate Biscuit Bars

Table 48: Reducing Purchases of Filled Chocolate Bars or Chocolate Biscuit Bars Because of Their Sugar and Fat Content (% of respondents), June 2006

Switching to Low-Fat, Low-Sugar and/or Low-Salt Variants of Snack Products

Potato Crisps and Other Savoury Snacks

Table 49: Tendency to Purchase Low-Fat Potato Crisps or Savoury Snacks (% of respondents), June 2006

Cereal Bars

Table 50: Tendency to Purchase Low-Fat Cereal Bars (% of respondents), June 2006

Branded Versus Own-Label Snack Products

Preferences for Branded Snack Products

Table 51: Tendency to Largely Buy Branded Snack Products (% of respondents), June 2006

Preferences for Own-Label Snack Products

Table 52: Tendency to Largely Buy Retailers' Own-Label Snack Products (% of respondents), June 2006

Opinions on Manufacturers' Responsibilities to Reduce Fat, Sugar and Salt Content in Snack Products

Table 53: Opinion That Manufacturers Should Do More to Reduce Levels of Fat, Sugar and Salt in Snack Products (% of respondents), June 2006

10. Company Profiles

INTRODUCTION

BURTON'S FOODS LTD

Profitability

Table 54: Financial Results for Burton's Foods Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 31st August 2002 and 30th August 2003, and 70 Weeks Ending 1st January 2005

CADBURY TREBOR BASSETT — CADBURY SCHWEPPES PLC

Profitability

Table 55: Financial Results for Cadbury Schweppes PLC (£000 and %), Year Ending 28th December 2003, 53 Weeks Ending 2nd January 2005 and Year Ending 1st January 2006

FOX'S BISCUITS — NORTHERN FOODS PLC

Profitability

Table 56: Financial Results for Northern Foods PLC (£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 3rd April 2004, and Years Ending 2nd April 2005 and 1st April 2006

GOLDEN WONDER LTD — TAYTO (NI) LTD

Profitability

Table 57: Financial Results for Golden Wonder Ltd (£000 and %), Year Ending 29th June 2002, 26 Weeks Ending 28th December 2002 and Year Ending 27th December 2003

Table 58: Financial Results for Tayto (NI) Ltd (£000 and %), 78 Weeks Ending 30th June 2003, 53 Weeks Ending 3rd July 2004 and Year Ending 2nd July 2005

W JORDAN (CEREALS) LTD

Profitability

Table 59: Financial Results for W Jordan (Cereals) Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 28th February 2003, 29th February 2004 and 28th February 2005

KELLOGG MARKETING AND SALES COMPANY (UK) LTD

Profitability

Table 60: Financial Results for Kellogg Marketing and Sales Company (UK) Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 28th December 2002 and 27th December 2003, and 53 Weeks Ending 1st January 2005

KETTLE FOODS LTD

Profitability

Table 61: Financial Results for Kettle Foods Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 30th September 2003-2005

KP FOODS, MCVITIE'S AND THE JACOB'S BAKERY LTD — UNITED BISCUITS FINANCE PLC

Profitability

Table 62: Financial Results for United Biscuits Finance PLC (£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 3rd January 2004 and Years Ending 1st January 2005 and 31st December 2005

Table 63: Financial Results for The Jacob's Bakery Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 31st December 2002-2004

MANOR BAKERIES — RHM PLC

Profitability

Table 64: Financial Results for RHM PLC (£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 3rd May 2003 and Years Ending 1st May 2004 and 30th April 2005

Table 65: Financial Results for Manor Bakeries Ltd (£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 3rd May 2003 and Years Ending 1st May 2004 and 30th April 2005

MASTERFOODS UK — MARS UK LTD

Profitability

Table 66: Financial Results for Mars UK Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 28th December 2002 and 27th December 2003, and 53 Weeks Ending 1st January 2005

NESTLé ROWNTREE

Profitability

Table 67: Financial Results for Nestlé UK Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005

PROCTER & GAMBLE UK

Profitability

QUAKER TRADING LTD

Profitability

Table 68: Financial Results for Quaker Oats Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 31st December 2002-2004

Table 69: Financial Results for Quaker Trading Ltd (£000 and %), 61 Weeks Ending 31st December 2003 and Year Ending 31st December 2004

RED MILL SNACK FOODS LTD

Profitability

Table 70: Financial Results for Red Mill Snack Foods Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 30th April 2003-2005

THOMAS TUNNOCK LTD

Profitability

Table 71: Financial Results for Thomas Tunnock Ltd (£000 and %), 51 Weeks Ending 22nd February 2003, 53 Weeks Ending 28th February 2004 and Year Ending 26th February 2005

Walkers SNACK FOODS LTD

Profitability

Table 72: Financial Results for Walkers Snack Foods Ltd (£000 and %), Years Ending 28th December 2002, 27th December 2003 and 25th December 2004

WEETABIX FOOD COMPANY — WEETABIX LTD

Profitability

Table 73: Financial Results for Weetabix Ltd (£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 3rd August 2002, Year Ending 31st July 2003 and 73 Weeks Ending 25th December 2004

OTHER, SMALLER MANUFACTURERS

Highlander Snacks Ltd

Percy Dalton's Famous Peanut Company Ltd

Real Crisps — Sirhowy Valley Foods Ltd

Seabrook Crisps Ltd

Trigon Snacks Ltd

11. The Future

MARKET FORECASTS

Table 74: The Forecast Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Subsector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), Years Ending May 2007-2011

Figure 4: The Forecast Total UK Market for Sweet and Salty Snacks by Value at Current Prices (£bn at rsp), Years Ending May 2007-2011

12. Consumer Confidence

METHODOLOGY

KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER

THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW

Confidence Declines Again

Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006

Signs That the Decline Could be Bottoming Out

Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006

THE WILLINGNESS TO SPEND FROM SAVINGS

Sharp Decline in Spending from Savings

Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006

Table D: The Proportion of Adults Without Any Savings (%), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006

Borrowing Grows in Relative Importance

Table E: The Average Amounts Adults are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006

13. Further Sources

Associations

Government Sources

General Sources

Major Manufacturers and Suppliers

Trade Journals

Bisnode Sources




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