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The Banking Market In Serbia 2007 - CEE Banking Series
Intelace Research, May 2007, Pages: 52
Despite increasing political tensions the Serbian economy continues to grow fast. The average GDP growth rate remained stable (~6%) during 2005-06, and the mid-term forecasts indicate similar growth for the near future. A consequent restrictive policy of the Central Bank has contributed to the drop of inflation rate to a single digit value at the end of 2006 and it has also helped the Dinar to gain in value against Euro. Some other issues like high unemployment and C/A imbalance still need to be addressed. Fortunately thanks to continued privatization, attracting FDIs and increased transfers from emigrants, most of the foreign trade gap can be covered.
The banking market is developing rapidly since the year 2004. The annual assets growth rate during 2004-2006 surged to nearly 50%. In the league table of most rapidly growing banking markets in the CEE15 area Serbia has advanced to the second place after Romania. In 2006 most of the growth came from surging deposits, in particular in the retail segment as well from retail lending with particularly strong retail mortgage. The ownership changes and increased activity of foreign banks is leading to gradual growth of the market concentration. Out of top 12 banks, 11 are controlled by foreign industry investors and most of them belong to strong pan-EE players like UniCredit or Raiffeisen.
About the report: “Banking Market in Serbia 2007” is the next edition of annual publication covering banking sectors in Serbia. This report is describing the present market structure and recent trends on the market. It also provides short term estimates of banking assets and households and corporate for the years 2007-2009. When preparing this report we have also responded to the feedback received form our customers and have incorporated several improvements making this new issue extremely client-friendly and informative.
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