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Fixed Operators Fight Back: Using Prepaid and DSL to Maximize Revenus and Minimize the Mobile Threat

Pyramid Research, Inc, January 2002, Pages: 50

Across Latin America, main line growth is slowing and mobile operators are chipping away at fixed line subscribers. But despite the sometimes dire predictions, fixed operators are well positioned to capitalize on growing demand for high-speed data and insatiable demand for basic connectivity.
This new report shows how operators are currently under-exploiting the profitability potential of the local loop. This may come as a surprise considering that the local loop is currently a cash cow for Latin American operators, some of which exhibited Ebidta margins as high as 52% at year-end 2001. The provisioning of DSL and prepaid services provides key opportunities for carriers to further increase their profitability. But they must act quickly and wisely.
In order for Latin American operators to boost their revenues via increased Internet revenues and decreased uncollectables, they should concentrate on targeting two groups: high-end and low-end customers. High-end customers can be approached with a DSL offering and a prepaid alternative can be offered to lower-end customers. This report provides forecasts and case studies to help operators implement profitable customer segmentation strategies.
Although this report focuses primarily on Latin American operators, all fixed operators will benefit from the strategies and company case studies provided. Valuable data and analysis in this report includes near-term broadband opportunities for vendors in Latin America case study analysis of the evolution of prepaid services in the Philippines Internet user penetration in the top six Latin American markets for 1997-2006 and an in-depth company profile of Cantv.

Region:

Latin America

Number of Exhibits: 37

Executive Summary

Winds of Change Bring Opportunities for Growth

Despite a Sluggish Main Line and Revenue Growth…

… The Local Loop is Still an Operator’s Cash Cow

So what does all this mean?

Boosting Revenues by Understanding your Customers

A Tale of Two Segments

DSL Gains Momentum throughout Latin America

The Broadband Race

Drivers/inhibitors of DSL Growth in Latin America

The Addressable Market for DSL

Spotlight on CANTV: Using Marketing as a Tool for Driving ADSL Subscriber Number Growth

Money Talks

The NPV of a DSL Customer

Spotlight on Covad: What Incumbents can Learn from a CLEC

Driving Revenues and Fixed Penetration Rates Amongst Lower Income Segments

Prepaid is the Answer to Servicing Low-end Customers’ Communication Needs…

Spotlight on Telmex: Positioning Itself to Kill Two Birds with the Same Stone

Prepaid Services: Same Tool for Different Strategies

Conclusions and Recommendations

Appendix A: Internet User Penetration: Regional and in Top 6 Latin American Markets, 1997-2006

Appendix B: Identifying Geographic Hotspots for Broadband in Latin America

Appendix C: First Opportunities in Latin American Broadband for Vendors

Appendix D: Local Loop Unbundling Variants

Appendix E: Prepaid in the Philippines: Will Fixed Follow Mobile?

Appendix F: DSL Adoption in Europe

Appendix G: CANTV Company Profile

<b>List of Exhibits:</b>

Latin America Regional Main Line Growth and Penetration Rates, 1997-2006

ARPH: Comparison Between Latin America and the USA, 1998-2006

EBIDTA Margins for Selected Latin American Operators, 1999-2001

CATV Household Penetration Throughout Latin America, 2001

Broadband Technologies in Latin America, 2001-2006

Drivers and Inhibitors of DSL Growth in Latin America

Different Types of ISPs Throughout Latin America

DSL: Meeting the Needs of High-End Customers

CANTV ADSL Accounts, 1Q00-4Q01

Dial-up vs. ADSL: Average Monthly Fees

DSL Figures with price Variations, 2006

Profit Margin Change Impact Over NPV: Hypothetical Scenarios

Covad ADSL Lines in Service and Revenues: 1998-2001

Telmex: Positioning of Multifón Hogar vs. Ladafón

Select Anatel Buildout Requirements for 2003

Fixed vs. Mobile Penetration in Venezuela, 1997-2001

CANTV Residential Lines Net Additions, 3Q00-4Q01

Internet User Penetratioin: Regional and In Top Six Latin American Markets, 1997-2006

Identifying Geographic Hotspots for Broadband in Latin American

First Opportunities in Latin American Broadband for Equipment Vendors

Local Loop Unbundling Variants

APPENDIX: Prepaid in the Philippines. Will Fixed Follow Mobile?

Mobile Phone Subscriber Growth in the Philippines, 1996-2006

Mobile Phone vs. Fixed Line Penetration, 1996-2001

Prepaid Fixed-Lines, 3Q00-4Q01

Prepaid vs. Post-Paid Net Additions, 3Q00-4Q01

APPENDIX: CANTV Company Profile

Venworld Consortium Structure at Time of CANTV Privatization, 1991

CANTV Ownership Structure, 1996 and 2002

Key Financial Indicators, 2000 vs. 2001 (US$m)

CANTV’s Subscribers, 2000-2001 (000s)

CANTV’s Western Fiber Optic Network

Movilnet Subscribers by Generation

Mobile Market Share, 2000-2001

Drivers and Inhibitors of CANTV’s Business

<b>Companies Mentioned:</b>

AOL

AT&T

BellSouth

Brasil Telecom

Cable Onda (Mexico)

Cablemas (Panama)

Covad Communications (USA)

Embratel (Brazil)

Empresa de Teléfonos de Bogotá, ETB (Colombia)

IG (Brazil)

Manquehue (Chile)

NorthPoint (USA)

Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company, PLDT

Prodigy (Mexico)

Rhythms Communications (USA)

Sercomtel (Brazil)

Siemens

SuperCable (Venezuela)

SVNet (El Salvador)

Telecom (Colombia)

Telefónica CTC Chile

Telefónica de Argentina

Telefónica del Perú

Telesp (Brazil)

Telemar (Brazil)

Telmex (Mexico)

Terra

TIM (Peru)

UOL (Brazil)

Yunque.net (Puerto Rico)

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