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Autoimmune Market Outlook to 2012


Description: Autoimmune related disorders continue to maintain prominence within the global disease burden, having achieved a worldwide market growth of 9.4% over the 2002-06 period. However, the inherent threat of generic competition and novel product launches are forecast to transform the dynamics of the autoimmune market over the next 5 years. The autoimmune pipeline represents a key opportunity for drug development companies, with the potential for success largely attributable to substantial unmet demand, a significant patient population and the medical proclivity for long term treatments.

In consequence, the effective exploitation of market potential is becoming increasingly crucial, and hinges upon drug developments that accurately reflect the shifting demographics of autoimmune disorders and unmet patient needs. Autoimmune Market Outlook to 2012 is a new report published, examining how the competitive dynamics of major pharma companies will influence the market positions of products and shape the direction of future global autoimmunology. Market trends and leading brands of treatment are extensively profiled, while the most commercially promising R&D therapies are investigated and assessed to discover their sales potential.

This report will also provide a comprehensive epidemiological analysis of the major indications and detailed product sales forecasts. Use this report to identify opportunities in the autoimmune pipeline, assess the dynamics of leading competitors and evaluate the impact of key trends across the global market.

Some key findings from this report

- The global autoimmune market is forecast to expand at a CAGR of 3.7% over the period 2006-12, as weak performances from generics dominated classes weigh down the development of innovative medicines in the arthritis and psoriasis market segments.

- 68.9% or $19,241m of the global market in 2006 was held by the ten leading companies, despite a slowdown in growth attributed to strong generic competition, lack of innovation and mature product portfolios.

- Original brand sales dominate the autoimmune market, accounting for 62.7% or $17.5bn of the market in 2006, largely due to labelling extensions across original branded products.

- The uptake of biologics remains slow, despite established clinical efficacy profiles due to high price points associated with their use. In addition, a weak regulatory procedure related to their approval has further hampered a strong hold on the market.

- The autoimmune market is forecast to offer declining returns, with future growth being driven by a small number of blockbuster products and the re-uptake of COX-II inhibitors.

Top five reasons to order your copy today

- Quantify patient potential, assess treatment trends and sales patterns across the major and emerging markets, in addition to the 10 leading companies within the global autoimmune market.

- Discover which autoimmune drug classes will provide the greatest franchise growth potential and identify the growth drivers of major treatment classes including immunosuppressants, antirheumatic agents, COX-II inhibitors, NSAIDs and corticosteroids.

- Compare and evaluate the franchises of top pharmaceutical marketers across the global autoimmune market, and evaluate how market share will change over the next 6 years for leading companies including Amgen, J&J, Novartis and Pfizer.

- Gain up-to-date competitive intelligence across the global autoimmune market and understand how the major issues are affecting key pharmaceutical marketers and product development.

- Forecast autoimmune sales to 2012 for currently marketed major products and key pipeline products.

Key issues examined in this report

- Resilience of biologics. Biologic compounds with indications in auto-immune disorders have remained prominent in R&D endeavours, despite experiencing a slow uptake attributed to high price points and weak regulatory procedures.

- Threat of immunosuppressants. Astellas’ Prograf and Roche’s Cellcept may pose a threat over the forecast period to established autoimmune agents such as Remicade, Enbrel and Humira, after seeking approval for rheumatoid arthritis and lupus nephritis.

- Reinvigoration of COX-II sales. The global market for COX-II inhibitors witnessed a damaging 66.3% ($5.0bn) drop in sales for 2005 due to the removal of blockbuster products, however modest growth of 6.3% over 2005-06 suggests confidence is returning.

- Aggressive marketing strategies of arthritis drugs. Several leading pharma companies including Humira and Abbot have expanded their currently marketed arthritis offering to include indications such as juvenile rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, psoriasis and Crohn’s disease.

Your questions answered

- What are the market size forecasts, growth rates and major growth drivers within the global market over the period 2006-2012?

- How have recent launches from companies such as Novartis and BMS performed?

- Which companies are best positioned to succeed and what will the competitive landscape look like over the period 2006-12?

- What are the most exciting compounds currently in development for autoimmune-related disorders, and what is the forecast market potential of these products?

- How significant is the threat of generics to the overall performance of the global autoimmune market?

- What are the current trends within the major autoimmune drug classes across the seven major markets?


Contents: Autoimmune Market Outlook to 2012
Executive Summary
Patient potential
Global market analysis
Pipeline analysis
Competitive landscape

Chapter 1 Epidemiology of the Autoimmune therapeutic area
Summary
Introduction
Osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis
Overview
Diagnosis, treatment and management
Epidemiology
Forecast epidemiology
Spondyloarthropathies
Overview
Diagnosis, treatment and management
Epidemiology
Forecast epidemiology
Lupus
Overview
Diagnosis, treatment and management
Epidemiology
Forecast epidemiology
Psoriasis
Overview
Diagnosis, treatment and management
Epidemiology
Forecast epidemiology
Crohn’s disease
Overview
Diagnosis, treatment and management
Epidemiology
Forecast epidemiology

Chapter 2 Global Market Analysis
Summary
Introduction
Market analysis by country
Licensing/generics trends
Market analysis by drug class
Leading brands dynamics
Key events in the autoimmune market
Immunosuppressants
Competitive dynamics of immunosuppressants
Leading brands of immunosuppressants
Key brands analysis
Immunosuppressants sales forecasts to 2012
Antirheumatic agents
Competitive dynamics of antirheumatic agents
Leading brands of antirheumatic agents
Key brands analysis
Antirheumatic sales forecasts to 2012
NSAIDs
Competitive dynamics of NSAIDs
Leading brands of NSAIDs
Key brands analysis
NSAIDs sales forecasts to 2012
Topical antirheumatics
Competitive dynamics of topical antirheumatics
Leading brands of topical antirheumatics
Topical antirheumatic sales forecasts to 2012
COX-II inhibitors
Competitive dynamics of COX-II inhibitors
Leading brands of COX-II inhibitors
Key brands analysis
COX-II inhibitors sales forecasts to 2012
Corticosteroids
Competitive dynamics of corticosteroids
Leading brands of corticosteroids
Corticosteroids sales forecasts to 2012
Total autoimmune sales forecasts to 2012

Chapter 3 Pipeline Analysis
Summary
Introduction
Key trends in R&D
Biologics
Combination drugs
Fully human monoclonal antibodies
B-cell depleting therapies
The autoimmune pipeline
Leading drugs in development
Profiles of key pipeline products
Phase III compounds
Licofelone (ML3000)
Cimzia (certolizumab pegol)
LymphoStat-B (belimumab)
Golimumab (CNTO 148)
R1594 / PRO70769 (ocrelizumab)
Recently marketed drugs
Actemra (tocilizumab)
Rituxan (rituximab)
Taclonex (calcipotriene/betamethasone)
Panaclar/BG-12
Pipeline forecasts
Factors affecting forecasts
Autoimmune pipeline forecasts

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape
Summary
Introduction
Amgen
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Johnson & Johnson
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Pfizer
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Novartis
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Abbott
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Wyeth
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Roche
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Astellas
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Boehringer Ingleheim
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth
Schering-Plough
Overview
Sales focus by drug class
Marketed product portfolio
R&D pipeline analysis
Strategic and growth analysis
Drivers of growth
Resistors of growth

Chapter 5 Appendix
IMS data
L4A0 Immunosuppressive agents
M1A1 Antirheumatics, non-steroidal plain
M1A2 Antirheumatics, non-steroidal combination
M1A3 Coxibs
M1B0 Antirheumatics, steroidal combination
M1C0 Specific anti-rheumatic agents
M2A0 Antirheumatics, topical
Index

List of Figures
Figure 1.1: Typical treatment patterns in the treatment of psoriasis
Figure 2.2: Global autoimmune market share by geography, 2006
Figure 2.3: Sales of types of autoimmune brands, 2005-06
Figure 2.4: Competitive dynamics of the global autoimmune market by drug class, 2006
Figure 2.5: Competitive dynamics of the leading 10 brands in the global autoimmune market, 2005-06
Figure 2.6: Competitive dynamics of the leading immunosuppressant treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-6
Figure 2.7: Competitive dynamics of the leading antirheumatic treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-6
Figure 2.8: Competitive dynamics of the leading NSAID treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-06
Figure 2.9: Competitive dynamics of the leading topical antirheumatic treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-06
Figure 2.10: Competitive dynamics of the leading COX-II treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-6
Figure 2.11: Competitive dynamics of the leading corticosteroid treatments in the global autoimmune market, 2005-06
Figure 3.12: Prevailing R&D approaches, 2006
Figure 3.13: The autoimmune pipeline by indication and stage of development, 2006
Figure 3.14: Leading recently launched products and late-stage R&D compounds indicated for the treatment of autoimmune disorders, 2006
Figure 4.15: Competitive dynamics of the leading players in the global autoimmune market, 2006
Figure 4.16: Amgen’s auto-immune sales, 2006
Figure 4.17: J&J’s autoimmune sales, 2006
Figure 4.18: Pfizer’s autoimmune sales, 2006
Figure 4.19: Novartis’ autoimmune sales by drug class, 2006
Figure 4.20: Abbott’s autoimmune sales by drug class, 2006
Figure 4.21: Wyeth’s autoimmune sales by drug class, 2006
Figure 4.22: Roche’s autoimmune sales by drug class, 2006
Figure 4.23: Astellas’ autoimmune salesby drug class, 2006
Figure 4.24: BI’s autoimmune salesby drug class, 2006
Figure 4.25: Schering-Plough’s autoimmune sales by drug class, 2006

List of Tables
Table 1.1: Estimated prevalence of autoimmune-related diseases in the seven major
pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.2: Estimated prevalence of osteoarthritis across the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.3: Estimated prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis across the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.4: Forecast prevalence of OA across the seven major markets,
Table 1.5: Forecast prevalence of RA across the seven major markets,
Table 1.6: Estimated prevalence of ankylosing spondylitis across the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.7: Estimated prevalence of psoriatic arthritis across the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.8: Forecast prevalence of ankylosing spondylitis across the seven major markets, 2006–12
Table 1.9: Forecast prevalence of psoriatic arthritis across the seven major markets, 2006–12
Table 1.10: Estimated prevalence of lupus across the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.11: Forecast prevalence of lupus across the seven major markets, 2006–12
Table 1.12: Estimated prevalence of psoriasis across seven major markets, 2006
Table 1.13: Forecast prevalence of psoriasis across the seven major markets, 2006-12
Table 1.14: Estimated prevalence of Crohn’s disease in the seven major pharmaceutical markets, 2006
Table 1.15: Forecast prevalence of Crohn’s disease across the seven major markets, 2006–12
Table 2.16: Breakdown of the global autoimmune market by drug class, 2002-06
Table 2.17: Leading brands in the global autoimmune market, 2005–06
Table 2.18: Leading immunosuppressant brands in the global autoimmune market, 2005–06
Table 2.19: Immunosuppressive agents sales forecast, 2006-12
Table 2.20: Leading antirheumatic brands in the global autoimmune market, 2005–06


Companies Mentioned - Johnson & Johnson - Pfizer - Novartis - Abbott - Wyeth - Roche - Astellas - Boehringer Ingleheim - Schering-Plough


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